For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5
1 LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 15.5 16.23 0.38 1.00 100 0 0 0 0
2 KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 13.5 14.12 0.41 2.00 0100 0 0 0
3 Chiron S14 11.5 12.06 0.43 3.51 0 0 58 33 9
4 Fizbo 2 12.0 12.00 0.00 3.58 0 0 42 58 0
5 Jonny 8.1 11.0 11.38 0.41 5.11 0 0 0 9 71
6 Laser 181205 10.5 10.94 0.43 5.80 0 0 0 0 20
7 Fritz 16.10 7.0 7.27 0.38 7.00 0 0 0 0 0

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-7. 7.
1. LCZero v19.1-11248 100.000% 100.000%
2. KomodoMCTS 2221.00 100.000% 100.000%
3. Fizbo 2 57.423% 42.577%
4. Chiron S14 42.577% 26.235% 23.407% 7.781%
5. Laser 181205 23.407% 20.811% 55.782%
6. Jonny 8.1 7.781% 55.782% 36.437%
7. Fritz 16.10 100.000% 100.000%

Speculate Fizbo 2 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-7. 7.
1. LCZero v19.1-11248 100.000% 100.000%
2. KomodoMCTS 2221.00 100.000% 100.000%
3. Fizbo 2 56.885% 43.115%
4. Chiron S14 43.115% 26.022% 22.984% 7.879%
5. Laser 181205 22.984% 20.796% 56.220%
6. Jonny 8.1 7.879% 56.220% 35.901%
7. Fritz 16.10 100.000% 100.000%

Speculate Fizbo 2 – Ginkgo 2.18b 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-7. 7.
1. LCZero v19.1-11248 100.000% 100.000%
2. KomodoMCTS 2221.00 100.000% 100.000%
3. Fizbo 2 56.956% 43.044%
4. Chiron S14 43.044% 25.771% 23.419% 7.766%
5. Laser 181205 23.419% 20.597% 55.984%
6. Jonny 8.1 7.766% 55.984% 36.250%
7. Fritz 16.10 100.000% 100.000%

Speculate Fizbo 2 – Ginkgo 2.18b 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-7. 7.
1. LCZero v19.1-11248 100.000% 100.000%
2. KomodoMCTS 2221.00 100.000% 100.000%
3. Fizbo 2 57.231% 42.769%
4. Chiron S14 42.769% 26.125% 23.334% 7.772%
5. Laser 181205 23.334% 20.654% 56.012%
6. Jonny 8.1 7.772% 56.012% 36.216%
7. Fritz 16.10 100.000% 100.000%

Expected start time based on estimate of 2.10h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2018-12-24 03:47 110 Chiron S14 Laser 181205
2018-12-24 05:53 111 LCZero v19.1-11248 Fritz 16.10
2018-12-24 07:59 112 KomodoMCTS 2221.00 Jonny 8.1