For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 | 15.5 | 16.23 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 100 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 | 13.5 | 14.12 | 0.41 | 2.00 | 0100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Chiron S14 | 11.5 | 12.06 | 0.43 | 3.51 | 0 0 | 58 | 33 | 9 |
| 4 | Fizbo 2 | 12.0 | 12.00 | 0.00 | 3.58 | 0 0 | 42 | 58 | 0 |
| 5 | Jonny 8.1 | 11.0 | 11.38 | 0.41 | 5.11 | 0 0 | 0 | 9 | 71 |
| 6 | Laser 181205 | 10.5 | 10.94 | 0.43 | 5.80 | 0 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| 7 | Fritz 16.10 | 7.0 | 7.27 | 0.38 | 7.00 | 0 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 57.137% | 42.863% | ||||||||||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 42.863% | 26.015% | 23.479% | 7.643% | ||||||||||
| 5. | Laser 181205 | 23.479% | 20.665% | 55.856% | |||||||||||
| 6. | Jonny 8.1 | 7.643% | 55.856% | 36.501% | |||||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 100.000% | 100.000% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Laser 181205 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 3. | Chiron S14 | 100.000% | |||||||||||||
| 4. | Fizbo 2 | 100.000% | |||||||||||||
| 5. | Jonny 8.1 | 100.000% | |||||||||||||
| 6. | Laser 181205 | 100.000% | |||||||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 100.000% | 100.000% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Laser 181205 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 100.000% | |||||||||||||
| 4. | Chiron S14 | 100.000% | |||||||||||||
| 5. | Jonny 8.1 | 50.061% | 49.939% | ||||||||||||
| 6. | Laser 181205 | 49.939% | 50.061% | ||||||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 100.000% | 100.000% |
Speculate Chiron S14 – Laser 181205 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | LCZero v19.1-11248 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 3. | Fizbo 2 | 100.000% | |||||||||||||
| 4. | Laser 181205 | 74.964% | 25.036% | ||||||||||||
| 5. | Jonny 8.1 | 25.036% | 74.964% | ||||||||||||
| 6. | Chiron S14 | 74.964% | 25.036% | ||||||||||||
| 7. | Fritz 16.10 | 100.000% | 100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-24 06:07 | 111 | LCZero v19.1-11248 | Fritz 16.10 |
| 2018-12-24 08:13 | 112 | KomodoMCTS 2221.00 | Jonny 8.1 |