For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2.0 |
26.17 |
5.86 |
2.70 |
40 |
22 |
11 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
2 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2.0 |
25.59 |
5.94 |
2.88 |
36 |
22 |
12 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
3 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2.0 |
24.01 |
3.02 |
3.00 |
12 |
28 |
29 |
17 |
9 |
4 |
1 |
4 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
2.0 |
21.22 |
3.22 |
4.35 |
3 |
10 |
18 |
24 |
22 |
15 |
7 |
5 |
Fire 7.1 |
2.0 |
20.95 |
3.23 |
4.48 |
3 |
9 |
16 |
23 |
23 |
16 |
8 |
6 |
Andscacs 095 |
1.5 |
16.82 |
5.36 |
6.03 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
8 |
10 |
14 |
21 |
7 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
1.0 |
16.70 |
3.05 |
6.44 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
12 |
26 |
33 |
8 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
1.5 |
16.56 |
5.39 |
6.12 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
10 |
14 |
21 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
39.605% |
21.071% |
|
60.676% |
|
10.767% |
8.163% |
6.810% |
5.774% |
|
7.810% |
|
4.467% |
3.343% |
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
36.148% |
21.418% |
|
57.566% |
|
11.257% |
8.252% |
7.444% |
6.161% |
|
9.320% |
|
5.251% |
4.069% |
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
11.937% |
27.333% |
|
39.270% |
|
28.461% |
17.730% |
9.311% |
3.889% |
|
1.339% |
|
1.171% |
0.168% |
4. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
3.251% |
5.470% |
|
8.721% |
|
6.985% |
8.165% |
10.216% |
14.377% |
|
51.536% |
|
20.085% |
31.451% |
5. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
3.190% |
10.041% |
|
13.231% |
|
17.743% |
23.070% |
21.646% |
14.652% |
|
9.658% |
|
7.366% |
2.292% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
2.892% |
9.037% |
|
11.929% |
|
16.604% |
22.119% |
23.045% |
15.800% |
|
10.503% |
|
8.089% |
2.414% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
2.882% |
5.090% |
|
7.972% |
|
6.271% |
7.511% |
9.795% |
14.277% |
|
54.174% |
|
20.368% |
33.806% |
8. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.095% |
0.540% |
|
0.635% |
|
1.912% |
4.990% |
11.733% |
25.070% |
|
55.660% |
|
33.203% |
22.457% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Fire 7.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
49.715% |
24.588% |
|
74.303% |
|
9.482% |
5.834% |
4.197% |
3.079% |
|
3.105% |
|
1.977% |
1.128% |
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
34.731% |
25.711% |
|
60.442% |
|
11.535% |
8.226% |
6.659% |
5.398% |
|
7.740% |
|
4.372% |
3.368% |
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
7.769% |
25.198% |
|
32.967% |
|
32.389% |
19.140% |
9.849% |
4.159% |
|
1.496% |
|
1.246% |
0.250% |
4. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
2.362% |
5.007% |
|
7.369% |
|
6.832% |
8.260% |
10.440% |
14.558% |
|
52.541% |
|
20.513% |
32.028% |
5. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
2.097% |
4.699% |
|
6.796% |
|
6.520% |
7.617% |
9.814% |
14.001% |
|
55.252% |
|
20.676% |
34.576% |
6. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
2.061% |
8.360% |
|
10.421% |
|
17.805% |
24.368% |
22.271% |
15.290% |
|
9.845% |
|
7.518% |
2.327% |
7. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
1.218% |
6.021% |
|
7.239% |
|
13.635% |
21.681% |
25.202% |
19.121% |
|
13.122% |
|
10.017% |
3.105% |
8. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.047% |
0.416% |
|
0.463% |
|
1.802% |
4.874% |
11.568% |
24.394% |
|
56.899% |
|
33.681% |
23.218% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Fire 7.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
37.113% |
17.479% |
|
54.592% |
|
10.803% |
8.607% |
7.899% |
7.011% |
|
11.088% |
|
6.093% |
4.995% |
2. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
31.219% |
20.476% |
|
51.695% |
|
12.685% |
10.046% |
8.902% |
7.254% |
|
9.418% |
|
5.617% |
3.801% |
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
15.639% |
28.221% |
|
43.860% |
|
25.922% |
16.281% |
8.963% |
3.670% |
|
1.304% |
|
1.104% |
0.200% |
4. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
4.097% |
11.043% |
|
15.140% |
|
17.886% |
22.036% |
21.093% |
14.565% |
|
9.280% |
|
7.068% |
2.212% |
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
4.053% |
10.964% |
|
15.017% |
|
18.069% |
22.666% |
21.458% |
14.259% |
|
8.531% |
|
6.640% |
1.891% |
6. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
4.011% |
5.721% |
|
9.732% |
|
6.603% |
7.970% |
10.301% |
14.414% |
|
50.980% |
|
20.010% |
30.970% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
3.786% |
5.517% |
|
9.303% |
|
6.158% |
7.409% |
9.827% |
14.308% |
|
52.995% |
|
20.046% |
32.949% |
8. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.082% |
0.579% |
|
0.661% |
|
1.874% |
4.985% |
11.557% |
24.519% |
|
56.404% |
|
33.422% |
22.982% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Fire 7.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
35.323% |
14.753% |
|
50.076% |
|
10.364% |
9.211% |
8.884% |
8.139% |
|
13.326% |
|
7.138% |
6.188% |
2. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
21.169% |
29.085% |
|
50.254% |
|
23.188% |
14.468% |
7.851% |
3.212% |
|
1.027% |
|
0.868% |
0.159% |
3. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
20.003% |
14.701% |
|
34.704% |
|
11.328% |
10.817% |
11.511% |
11.306% |
|
20.334% |
|
10.555% |
9.779% |
4. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
7.727% |
15.907% |
|
23.634% |
|
21.111% |
22.191% |
17.615% |
10.104% |
|
5.345% |
|
4.289% |
1.056% |
5. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
5.612% |
12.855% |
|
18.467% |
|
18.643% |
21.458% |
20.108% |
13.178% |
|
8.146% |
|
6.310% |
1.836% |
6. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
5.197% |
6.171% |
|
11.368% |
|
6.905% |
8.386% |
10.723% |
14.392% |
|
48.226% |
|
19.451% |
28.775% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
4.809% |
5.793% |
|
10.602% |
|
6.227% |
7.833% |
10.362% |
14.246% |
|
50.730% |
|
19.441% |
31.289% |
8. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.160% |
0.735% |
|
0.895% |
|
2.234% |
5.636% |
12.946% |
25.423% |
|
52.866% |
|
31.948% |
20.918% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.00h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-28 00:04 |
16 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2018-12-28 03:04 |
17 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2018-12-28 06:04 |
18 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2018-12-28 09:04 |
19 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2018-12-28 12:04 |
20 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2018-12-28 15:04 |
21 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2018-12-28 18:04 |
22 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2018-12-28 21:04 |
23 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2018-12-29 00:04 |
24 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2018-12-29 03:04 |
25 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2018-12-29 06:04 |
26 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2018-12-29 09:04 |
27 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2018-12-29 12:04 |
28 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2018-12-29 15:04 |
29 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2018-12-29 18:04 |
30 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2018-12-29 21:04 |
31 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2018-12-30 00:04 |
32 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2018-12-30 03:04 |
33 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2018-12-30 06:04 |
34 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2018-12-30 09:04 |
35 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2018-12-30 12:04 |
36 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2018-12-30 15:04 |
37 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2018-12-30 18:05 |
38 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2018-12-30 21:05 |
39 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2018-12-31 00:05 |
40 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2018-12-31 03:05 |
41 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2018-12-31 06:05 |
42 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2018-12-31 09:05 |
43 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2018-12-31 12:05 |
44 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2018-12-31 15:05 |
45 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2018-12-31 18:05 |
46 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2018-12-31 21:05 |
47 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-01 00:05 |
48 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-01 03:05 |
49 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-01 06:05 |
50 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-01 09:05 |
51 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-01 12:05 |
52 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-01 15:05 |
53 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-01 18:05 |
54 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-01 21:05 |
55 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-02 00:05 |
56 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-02 03:05 |
57 |
Stockfish 181224 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-02 06:05 |
58 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-02 09:05 |
59 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-02 12:05 |
60 |
Fire 7.1 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-02 15:05 |
61 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-02 18:06 |
62 |
Andscacs 095 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-02 21:06 |
63 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-03 00:06 |
64 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-03 03:06 |
65 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-03 06:06 |
66 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-03 09:06 |
67 |
Fire 7.1 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-03 12:06 |
68 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-03 15:06 |
69 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-03 18:06 |
70 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-03 21:06 |
71 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-04 00:06 |
72 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-04 03:06 |
73 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-04 06:06 |
74 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-04 09:06 |
75 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-04 12:06 |
76 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-04 15:06 |
77 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-04 18:06 |
78 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-04 21:06 |
79 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-05 00:06 |
80 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-05 03:06 |
81 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-05 06:06 |
82 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-05 09:06 |
83 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-05 12:06 |
84 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-05 15:06 |
85 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-05 18:07 |
86 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-05 21:07 |
87 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-06 00:07 |
88 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-06 03:07 |
89 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-06 06:07 |
90 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-06 09:07 |
91 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-06 12:07 |
92 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-06 15:07 |
93 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-06 18:07 |
94 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-06 21:07 |
95 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-07 00:07 |
96 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-07 03:07 |
97 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-07 06:07 |
98 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-07 09:07 |
99 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-07 12:07 |
100 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-07 15:07 |
101 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-07 18:07 |
102 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-07 21:07 |
103 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-08 00:07 |
104 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-08 03:07 |
105 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-08 06:07 |
106 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-08 09:07 |
107 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-08 12:07 |
108 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-08 15:07 |
109 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-08 18:08 |
110 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-08 21:08 |
111 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-09 00:08 |
112 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-09 03:08 |
113 |
Stockfish 181224 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-09 06:08 |
114 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-09 09:08 |
115 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-09 12:08 |
116 |
Fire 7.1 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-09 15:08 |
117 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-09 18:08 |
118 |
Andscacs 095 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-09 21:08 |
119 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-10 00:08 |
120 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 03:08 |
121 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 06:08 |
122 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-10 09:08 |
123 |
Fire 7.1 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-10 12:08 |
124 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-10 15:08 |
125 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-10 18:08 |
126 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-10 21:08 |
127 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-11 00:08 |
128 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-11 03:08 |
129 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 06:08 |
130 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 09:08 |
131 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-11 12:08 |
132 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-11 15:08 |
133 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-11 18:09 |
134 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 21:09 |
135 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-12 00:09 |
136 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-12 03:09 |
137 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 06:09 |
138 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-12 09:09 |
139 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 12:09 |
140 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-12 15:09 |
141 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-12 18:09 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 21:09 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 00:09 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 03:09 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 06:09 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 09:09 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-13 12:09 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 15:09 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 18:09 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 21:09 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 00:09 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 03:09 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 06:09 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 09:09 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 12:09 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 15:09 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 18:10 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 21:10 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 00:10 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 03:10 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 06:10 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 09:10 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 12:10 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 15:10 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 18:10 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 21:10 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 00:10 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |