For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 4.0 | 28.98 | 4.98 | 1.82 | 62 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.0 | 24.95 | 4.97 | 2.94 | 24 | 31 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Houdini 6.03 | 3.0 | 23.69 | 2.87 | 3.10 | 8 | 27 | 33 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 2.5 | 20.83 | 3.11 | 4.48 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 23 | 16 | 8 |
| 5 | Fire 7.1 | 2.5 | 20.40 | 3.02 | 4.70 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 9 |
| 6 | Andscacs 095 | 2.0 | 16.92 | 4.91 | 6.04 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 22 |
| 7 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 1.5 | 16.70 | 2.95 | 6.43 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.5 | 15.54 | 4.98 | 6.49 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 20 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 61.132% | 18.827% | 79.959% | 7.851% | 4.743% | 3.273% | 2.253% | 1.921% | 1.236% | 0.685% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 24.203% | 29.540% | 53.743% | 14.930% | 10.330% | 8.045% | 6.184% | 6.768% | 4.208% | 2.560% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 7.693% | 27.221% | 34.914% | 32.010% | 18.289% | 9.477% | 3.929% | 1.381% | 1.158% | 0.223% | |||||
| 4. | Andscacs 095 | 2.170% | 4.947% | 7.117% | 6.838% | 8.647% | 11.048% | 15.628% | 50.722% | 21.960% | 28.762% | |||||
| 5. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 2.117% | 8.617% | 10.734% | 16.911% | 23.860% | 22.723% | 15.669% | 10.103% | 7.736% | 2.367% | |||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 1.357% | 6.720% | 8.077% | 14.528% | 22.443% | 24.571% | 18.039% | 12.342% | 9.501% | 2.841% | |||||
| 7. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.279% | 3.637% | 4.916% | 5.053% | 6.469% | 8.830% | 13.111% | 61.621% | 20.808% | 40.813% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.049% | 0.491% | 0.540% | 1.879% | 5.219% | 12.033% | 25.187% | 55.142% | 33.393% | 21.749% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – LCZero v20rc2-32194 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 61.871% | 18.770% | 80.641% | 7.922% | 4.522% | 2.830% | 2.020% | 2.065% | 1.331% | 0.734% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 23.838% | 29.968% | 53.806% | 15.159% | 9.911% | 7.597% | 6.056% | 7.471% | 4.490% | 2.981% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 7.996% | 28.218% | 36.214% | 32.402% | 17.386% | 8.841% | 3.736% | 1.421% | 1.169% | 0.252% | |||||
| 4. | Andscacs 095 | 2.121% | 5.247% | 7.368% | 7.268% | 9.026% | 10.558% | 14.343% | 51.437% | 21.726% | 29.711% | |||||
| 5. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.377% | 6.284% | 7.661% | 13.827% | 21.730% | 23.573% | 18.684% | 14.525% | 10.793% | 3.732% | |||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 1.367% | 6.996% | 8.363% | 15.255% | 22.931% | 23.217% | 17.166% | 13.068% | 9.800% | 3.268% | |||||
| 7. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.322% | 3.737% | 5.059% | 5.156% | 6.817% | 8.559% | 11.973% | 62.436% | 20.284% | 42.152% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.108% | 0.780% | 0.888% | 3.011% | 7.677% | 14.825% | 26.022% | 47.577% | 30.407% | 17.170% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – LCZero v20rc2-32194 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 61.250% | 18.812% | 80.062% | 7.718% | 4.750% | 3.285% | 2.194% | 1.991% | 1.373% | 0.618% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 24.139% | 29.436% | 53.575% | 14.825% | 10.333% | 8.126% | 6.125% | 7.016% | 4.397% | 2.619% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 7.939% | 27.396% | 35.335% | 31.969% | 18.413% | 9.153% | 3.818% | 1.312% | 1.105% | 0.207% | |||||
| 4. | Andscacs 095 | 2.033% | 5.155% | 7.188% | 6.963% | 8.792% | 10.998% | 15.645% | 50.414% | 21.709% | 28.705% | |||||
| 5. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.855% | 8.119% | 9.974% | 16.646% | 23.561% | 23.331% | 16.067% | 10.421% | 8.022% | 2.399% | |||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 1.372% | 6.963% | 8.335% | 14.861% | 22.165% | 24.384% | 17.676% | 12.579% | 9.633% | 2.946% | |||||
| 7. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.349% | 3.634% | 4.983% | 5.074% | 6.637% | 8.519% | 12.935% | 61.852% | 20.517% | 41.335% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.063% | 0.485% | 0.548% | 1.944% | 5.349% | 12.204% | 25.540% | 54.415% | 33.244% | 21.171% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – LCZero v20rc2-32194 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 60.817% | 18.819% | 79.636% | 7.676% | 5.026% | 3.534% | 2.264% | 1.864% | 1.285% | 0.579% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 24.102% | 28.764% | 52.866% | 14.827% | 10.553% | 8.609% | 6.490% | 6.655% | 4.236% | 2.419% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 7.576% | 26.397% | 33.973% | 31.189% | 19.144% | 10.228% | 4.106% | 1.360% | 1.189% | 0.171% | |||||
| 4. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 2.803% | 10.819% | 13.622% | 19.565% | 24.966% | 22.024% | 13.134% | 6.689% | 5.347% | 1.342% | |||||
| 5. | Andscacs 095 | 2.006% | 4.862% | 6.868% | 6.651% | 8.354% | 11.525% | 16.908% | 49.694% | 21.973% | 27.721% | |||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.374% | 3.609% | 4.983% | 4.907% | 6.524% | 8.915% | 14.247% | 60.424% | 21.122% | 39.302% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 1.299% | 6.466% | 7.765% | 14.065% | 22.022% | 25.787% | 18.663% | 11.698% | 9.010% | 2.688% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.023% | 0.264% | 0.287% | 1.120% | 3.411% | 9.378% | 24.188% | 61.616% | 35.838% | 25.778% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.96h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-28 17:13 | 22 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2018-12-28 20:10 | 23 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2018-12-28 23:08 | 24 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2018-12-29 02:05 | 25 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-29 05:03 | 26 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-29 08:01 | 27 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-29 10:58 | 28 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-29 13:56 | 29 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-29 16:53 | 30 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-29 19:51 | 31 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-29 22:49 | 32 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2018-12-30 01:46 | 33 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-30 04:44 | 34 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2018-12-30 07:41 | 35 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2018-12-30 10:39 | 36 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-30 13:37 | 37 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-30 16:34 | 38 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-30 19:32 | 39 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2018-12-30 22:29 | 40 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2018-12-31 01:27 | 41 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-31 04:25 | 42 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2018-12-31 07:22 | 43 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-31 10:20 | 44 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-31 13:17 | 45 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-31 16:15 | 46 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2018-12-31 19:13 | 47 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2018-12-31 22:10 | 48 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-01 01:08 | 49 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-01 04:05 | 50 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-01 07:03 | 51 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-01 10:01 | 52 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-01 12:58 | 53 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-01 15:56 | 54 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-01 18:53 | 55 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-01 21:51 | 56 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-02 00:49 | 57 | Stockfish 181224 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-02 03:46 | 58 | Komodo 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-02 06:44 | 59 | Houdini 6.03 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-02 09:41 | 60 | Fire 7.1 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-02 12:39 | 61 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-02 15:37 | 62 | Andscacs 095 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-02 18:34 | 63 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-02 21:32 | 64 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-03 00:29 | 65 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-03 03:27 | 66 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-03 06:25 | 67 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-03 09:22 | 68 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-03 12:20 | 69 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-03 15:17 | 70 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-03 18:15 | 71 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-03 21:13 | 72 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-04 00:10 | 73 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-04 03:08 | 74 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-04 06:05 | 75 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-04 09:03 | 76 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-04 12:01 | 77 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-04 14:58 | 78 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-04 17:56 | 79 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-04 20:53 | 80 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-04 23:51 | 81 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 02:49 | 82 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-05 05:46 | 83 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 08:44 | 84 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-05 11:41 | 85 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-05 14:39 | 86 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 17:36 | 87 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-05 20:34 | 88 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-05 23:32 | 89 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 02:29 | 90 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-06 05:27 | 91 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-06 08:24 | 92 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-06 11:22 | 93 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 14:20 | 94 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-06 17:17 | 95 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-06 20:15 | 96 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-06 23:12 | 97 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-07 02:10 | 98 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-07 05:08 | 99 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-07 08:05 | 100 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-07 11:03 | 101 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-07 14:00 | 102 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-07 16:58 | 103 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-07 19:56 | 104 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-07 22:53 | 105 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-08 01:51 | 106 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-08 04:48 | 107 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-08 07:46 | 108 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-08 10:44 | 109 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-08 13:41 | 110 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-08 16:39 | 111 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-08 19:36 | 112 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-08 22:34 | 113 | Stockfish 181224 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-09 01:32 | 114 | Komodo 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-09 04:29 | 115 | Houdini 6.03 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-09 07:27 | 116 | Fire 7.1 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-09 10:24 | 117 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-09 13:22 | 118 | Andscacs 095 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-09 16:20 | 119 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-09 19:17 | 120 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-09 22:15 | 121 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 01:12 | 122 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-10 04:10 | 123 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-10 07:08 | 124 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-10 10:05 | 125 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-10 13:03 | 126 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-10 16:00 | 127 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-10 18:58 | 128 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-10 21:56 | 129 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 00:53 | 130 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 03:51 | 131 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-11 06:48 | 132 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-11 09:46 | 133 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-11 12:44 | 134 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-11 15:41 | 135 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-11 18:39 | 136 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-11 21:36 | 137 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 00:34 | 138 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 03:32 | 139 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 06:29 | 140 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-12 09:27 | 141 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-12 12:24 | 142 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 15:22 | 143 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 18:20 | 144 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-12 21:17 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 00:15 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-13 03:12 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 06:10 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 09:08 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 12:05 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-13 15:03 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-13 18:00 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-13 20:58 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 23:56 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 02:53 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 05:51 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 08:48 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 11:46 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 14:44 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 17:41 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-14 20:39 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 23:36 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 02:34 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 05:32 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 08:29 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 11:27 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 14:24 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 17:22 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |