For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 4.0 | 29.01 | 4.99 | 1.81 | 63 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.0 | 24.89 | 4.99 | 2.95 | 24 | 31 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Houdini 6.03 | 3.0 | 23.71 | 2.86 | 3.05 | 8 | 29 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Fire 7.1 | 2.5 | 20.40 | 3.04 | 4.67 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 10 |
| 5 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 2.5 | 20.14 | 3.05 | 4.80 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 19 | 11 |
| 6 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 2.5 | 17.39 | 2.90 | 6.16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | Andscacs 095 | 2.0 | 16.92 | 4.91 | 6.05 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 23 |
| 8 | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.5 | 15.54 | 4.97 | 6.50 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 62.079% | 18.898% | 80.977% | 7.752% | 4.320% | 2.951% | 2.012% | 1.988% | 1.337% | 0.651% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 23.881% | 30.083% | 53.964% | 15.055% | 10.175% | 7.460% | 5.935% | 7.411% | 4.480% | 2.931% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 8.033% | 28.344% | 36.377% | 32.859% | 17.222% | 8.534% | 3.616% | 1.392% | 1.161% | 0.231% | |||||
| 4. | Andscacs 095 | 2.149% | 5.345% | 7.494% | 7.268% | 9.089% | 10.861% | 14.173% | 51.115% | 21.663% | 29.452% | |||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 1.332% | 7.122% | 8.454% | 15.845% | 23.246% | 22.833% | 16.841% | 12.781% | 9.554% | 3.227% | |||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.296% | 3.805% | 5.101% | 5.328% | 6.834% | 8.520% | 12.058% | 62.159% | 19.998% | 42.161% | |||||
| 7. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.126% | 5.606% | 6.732% | 12.780% | 21.096% | 23.577% | 19.408% | 16.407% | 12.004% | 4.403% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.104% | 0.797% | 0.901% | 3.113% | 8.018% | 15.264% | 25.957% | 46.747% | 29.803% | 16.944% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Andscacs 095 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 63.225% | 19.069% | 82.294% | 7.553% | 4.045% | 2.682% | 1.824% | 1.602% | 1.110% | 0.492% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 23.471% | 30.556% | 54.027% | 15.288% | 10.027% | 7.500% | 5.821% | 7.337% | 4.521% | 2.816% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 7.774% | 28.510% | 36.284% | 33.090% | 17.238% | 8.426% | 3.577% | 1.385% | 1.146% | 0.239% | |||||
| 4. | Andscacs 095 | 1.601% | 4.679% | 6.280% | 6.712% | 8.965% | 10.628% | 14.133% | 53.282% | 22.511% | 30.771% | |||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 1.388% | 7.026% | 8.414% | 15.889% | 23.707% | 22.910% | 16.669% | 12.411% | 9.273% | 3.138% | |||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.343% | 3.850% | 5.193% | 5.377% | 6.883% | 8.612% | 12.212% | 61.723% | 20.094% | 41.629% | |||||
| 7. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.089% | 5.471% | 6.560% | 12.976% | 21.053% | 23.898% | 19.510% | 16.003% | 11.831% | 4.172% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.109% | 0.839% | 0.948% | 3.115% | 8.082% | 15.344% | 26.254% | 46.257% | 29.514% | 16.743% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Andscacs 095 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 60.474% | 19.524% | 79.998% | 8.180% | 4.667% | 3.020% | 2.052% | 2.083% | 1.426% | 0.657% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 24.885% | 29.380% | 54.265% | 15.107% | 10.018% | 7.409% | 5.832% | 7.369% | 4.488% | 2.881% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 8.321% | 28.322% | 36.643% | 32.343% | 17.429% | 8.458% | 3.692% | 1.435% | 1.190% | 0.245% | |||||
| 4. | Andscacs 095 | 2.159% | 5.351% | 7.510% | 7.610% | 9.458% | 11.183% | 14.302% | 49.937% | 21.783% | 28.154% | |||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 1.455% | 7.070% | 8.525% | 15.700% | 23.195% | 22.756% | 16.982% | 12.842% | 9.557% | 3.285% | |||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.389% | 3.871% | 5.260% | 5.271% | 6.670% | 8.453% | 11.979% | 62.367% | 19.351% | 43.016% | |||||
| 7. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.200% | 5.686% | 6.886% | 12.720% | 20.647% | 23.501% | 19.608% | 16.638% | 12.177% | 4.461% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.117% | 0.796% | 0.913% | 3.069% | 7.916% | 15.220% | 25.553% | 47.329% | 30.028% | 17.301% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Andscacs 095 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 57.528% | 20.260% | 77.788% | 8.734% | 5.084% | 3.526% | 2.383% | 2.485% | 1.624% | 0.861% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 26.170% | 27.824% | 53.994% | 14.909% | 9.888% | 7.514% | 5.984% | 7.711% | 4.642% | 3.069% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 9.071% | 27.936% | 37.007% | 31.744% | 17.374% | 8.585% | 3.756% | 1.534% | 1.284% | 0.250% | |||||
| 4. | Andscacs 095 | 2.805% | 6.289% | 9.094% | 8.360% | 10.111% | 11.675% | 14.753% | 46.007% | 20.808% | 25.199% | |||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 1.518% | 7.278% | 8.796% | 15.478% | 22.787% | 22.399% | 17.106% | 13.434% | 9.997% | 3.437% | |||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.506% | 3.707% | 5.213% | 5.129% | 6.661% | 8.233% | 11.758% | 63.006% | 18.908% | 44.098% | |||||
| 7. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.281% | 5.801% | 7.082% | 12.567% | 20.377% | 23.283% | 19.477% | 17.214% | 12.541% | 4.673% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.121% | 0.905% | 1.026% | 3.079% | 7.718% | 14.785% | 24.783% | 48.609% | 30.196% | 18.413% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.83h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-28 17:24 | 23 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2018-12-28 20:14 | 24 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2018-12-28 23:04 | 25 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-29 01:54 | 26 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-29 04:44 | 27 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-29 07:34 | 28 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-29 10:24 | 29 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-29 13:14 | 30 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-29 16:04 | 31 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-29 18:54 | 32 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2018-12-29 21:44 | 33 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-30 00:34 | 34 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2018-12-30 03:24 | 35 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2018-12-30 06:14 | 36 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-30 09:04 | 37 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-30 11:54 | 38 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-30 14:44 | 39 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2018-12-30 17:34 | 40 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2018-12-30 20:24 | 41 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-30 23:15 | 42 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2018-12-31 02:05 | 43 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-31 04:55 | 44 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-31 07:45 | 45 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-31 10:35 | 46 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2018-12-31 13:25 | 47 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2018-12-31 16:15 | 48 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2018-12-31 19:05 | 49 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-31 21:55 | 50 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-01 00:45 | 51 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-01 03:35 | 52 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-01 06:25 | 53 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-01 09:15 | 54 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-01 12:05 | 55 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-01 14:55 | 56 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-01 17:45 | 57 | Stockfish 181224 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-01 20:35 | 58 | Komodo 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-01 23:25 | 59 | Houdini 6.03 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-02 02:15 | 60 | Fire 7.1 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-02 05:05 | 61 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-02 07:55 | 62 | Andscacs 095 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-02 10:45 | 63 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-02 13:35 | 64 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-02 16:25 | 65 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-02 19:15 | 66 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-02 22:05 | 67 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-03 00:56 | 68 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-03 03:46 | 69 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-03 06:36 | 70 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-03 09:26 | 71 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-03 12:16 | 72 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-03 15:06 | 73 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-03 17:56 | 74 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-03 20:46 | 75 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-03 23:36 | 76 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-04 02:26 | 77 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-04 05:16 | 78 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-04 08:06 | 79 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-04 10:56 | 80 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-04 13:46 | 81 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-04 16:36 | 82 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-04 19:26 | 83 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-04 22:16 | 84 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-05 01:06 | 85 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-05 03:56 | 86 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 06:46 | 87 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-05 09:36 | 88 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-05 12:26 | 89 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 15:16 | 90 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-05 18:06 | 91 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-05 20:56 | 92 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-05 23:46 | 93 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 02:37 | 94 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-06 05:27 | 95 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-06 08:17 | 96 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-06 11:07 | 97 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 13:57 | 98 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-06 16:47 | 99 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-06 19:37 | 100 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 22:27 | 101 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-07 01:17 | 102 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-07 04:07 | 103 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-07 06:57 | 104 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-07 09:47 | 105 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-07 12:37 | 106 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-07 15:27 | 107 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-07 18:17 | 108 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-07 21:07 | 109 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-07 23:57 | 110 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-08 02:47 | 111 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-08 05:37 | 112 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-08 08:27 | 113 | Stockfish 181224 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-08 11:17 | 114 | Komodo 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-08 14:07 | 115 | Houdini 6.03 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-08 16:57 | 116 | Fire 7.1 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-08 19:47 | 117 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-08 22:37 | 118 | Andscacs 095 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-09 01:27 | 119 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-09 04:18 | 120 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-09 07:08 | 121 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-09 09:58 | 122 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-09 12:48 | 123 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-09 15:38 | 124 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-09 18:28 | 125 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-09 21:18 | 126 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-10 00:08 | 127 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-10 02:58 | 128 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-10 05:48 | 129 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 08:38 | 130 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 11:28 | 131 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-10 14:18 | 132 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-10 17:08 | 133 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-10 19:58 | 134 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-10 22:48 | 135 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-11 01:38 | 136 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-11 04:28 | 137 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 07:18 | 138 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-11 10:08 | 139 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 12:58 | 140 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-11 15:48 | 141 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-11 18:38 | 142 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 21:28 | 143 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 00:18 | 144 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-12 03:08 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 05:59 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-12 08:49 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-12 11:39 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-12 14:29 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 17:19 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 20:09 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-12 22:59 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-13 01:49 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 04:39 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 07:29 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 10:19 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 13:09 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-13 15:59 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-13 18:49 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-13 21:39 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-14 00:29 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 03:19 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 06:09 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 08:59 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 11:49 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 14:39 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 17:29 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-14 20:19 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |