For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 5.0 | 29.75 | 4.66 | 1.57 | 73 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Houdini 6.03 | 3.0 | 23.59 | 2.84 | 3.06 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| 3 | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.5 | 23.39 | 4.68 | 3.43 | 14 | 28 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 4 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 3.0 | 20.69 | 3.05 | 4.50 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 16 | 8 |
| 5 | Fire 7.1 | 2.5 | 20.29 | 3.02 | 4.71 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 24 | 18 | 10 |
| 6 | Ethereal 11.14 | 2.0 | 17.03 | 4.67 | 6.04 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 2.0 | 16.66 | 2.90 | 6.48 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 |
| 8 | Andscacs 095 | 2.0 | 16.58 | 4.70 | 6.20 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 21 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 71.403% | 14.494% | 85.897% | 6.021% | 3.392% | 2.230% | 1.351% | 1.109% | 0.745% | 0.364% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 14.672% | 27.729% | 42.401% | 16.667% | 12.459% | 10.061% | 8.275% | 10.137% | 6.173% | 3.964% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 7.499% | 30.162% | 37.661% | 29.746% | 17.426% | 9.368% | 4.204% | 1.595% | 1.341% | 0.254% | |||||
| 4. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.879% | 8.901% | 10.780% | 16.915% | 22.835% | 22.314% | 15.807% | 11.349% | 8.466% | 2.883% | |||||
| 5. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.722% | 5.716% | 7.438% | 7.225% | 8.823% | 10.970% | 15.224% | 50.320% | 20.248% | 30.072% | |||||
| 6. | Andscacs 095 | 1.462% | 4.874% | 6.336% | 6.304% | 8.261% | 10.427% | 14.341% | 54.331% | 20.594% | 33.737% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 1.313% | 7.548% | 8.861% | 15.042% | 21.507% | 23.197% | 17.737% | 13.656% | 10.047% | 3.609% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.050% | 0.576% | 0.626% | 2.080% | 5.297% | 11.433% | 23.061% | 57.503% | 32.386% | 25.117% |
Speculate Houdini 6.03 – Fire 7.1 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 71.038% | 14.460% | 85.498% | 6.363% | 3.499% | 2.199% | 1.321% | 1.120% | 0.756% | 0.364% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 14.330% | 26.971% | 41.301% | 17.786% | 12.800% | 10.099% | 7.998% | 10.016% | 6.000% | 4.016% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 8.937% | 34.366% | 43.303% | 30.186% | 15.478% | 7.247% | 2.789% | 0.997% | 0.852% | 0.145% | |||||
| 4. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.800% | 8.704% | 10.504% | 17.532% | 23.948% | 21.858% | 15.349% | 10.809% | 8.095% | 2.714% | |||||
| 5. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.639% | 5.352% | 6.991% | 7.144% | 9.130% | 11.387% | 15.281% | 50.067% | 20.226% | 29.841% | |||||
| 6. | Andscacs 095 | 1.436% | 4.522% | 5.958% | 6.503% | 8.536% | 10.606% | 14.460% | 53.937% | 20.183% | 33.754% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 0.773% | 5.142% | 5.915% | 12.380% | 20.932% | 24.460% | 19.812% | 16.501% | 11.939% | 4.562% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.047% | 0.483% | 0.530% | 2.106% | 5.677% | 12.144% | 22.990% | 56.553% | 31.949% | 24.604% |
Speculate Houdini 6.03 – Fire 7.1 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 71.724% | 14.284% | 86.008% | 5.795% | 3.400% | 2.232% | 1.368% | 1.197% | 0.837% | 0.360% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 14.797% | 28.023% | 42.820% | 16.288% | 12.069% | 10.299% | 8.180% | 10.344% | 6.213% | 4.131% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 6.996% | 29.746% | 36.742% | 29.676% | 18.143% | 9.598% | 4.193% | 1.648% | 1.387% | 0.261% | |||||
| 4. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.919% | 9.030% | 10.949% | 16.925% | 22.524% | 22.192% | 15.999% | 11.411% | 8.522% | 2.889% | |||||
| 5. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.689% | 5.656% | 7.345% | 7.299% | 8.619% | 11.081% | 15.241% | 50.415% | 20.383% | 30.032% | |||||
| 6. | Andscacs 095 | 1.497% | 4.854% | 6.351% | 6.332% | 8.013% | 10.237% | 14.539% | 54.528% | 20.514% | 34.014% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 1.324% | 7.879% | 9.203% | 15.734% | 21.929% | 23.295% | 17.396% | 12.443% | 9.362% | 3.081% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.054% | 0.528% | 0.582% | 1.951% | 5.303% | 11.066% | 23.084% | 58.014% | 32.782% | 25.232% |
Speculate Houdini 6.03 – Fire 7.1 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 71.928% | 14.062% | 85.990% | 5.590% | 3.405% | 2.325% | 1.486% | 1.204% | 0.846% | 0.358% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 15.216% | 28.755% | 43.971% | 15.187% | 11.931% | 10.234% | 8.558% | 10.119% | 6.163% | 3.956% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 5.452% | 24.615% | 30.067% | 28.287% | 20.276% | 12.582% | 6.249% | 2.539% | 2.093% | 0.446% | |||||
| 4. | Fire 7.1 | 2.133% | 11.573% | 13.706% | 19.124% | 22.587% | 20.955% | 14.267% | 9.361% | 7.118% | 2.243% | |||||
| 5. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.921% | 9.610% | 11.531% | 16.432% | 21.246% | 22.484% | 16.369% | 11.938% | 8.956% | 2.982% | |||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.780% | 5.796% | 7.576% | 7.123% | 8.289% | 10.763% | 15.633% | 50.616% | 20.583% | 30.033% | |||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 1.506% | 5.066% | 6.572% | 6.327% | 7.562% | 10.162% | 14.581% | 54.796% | 20.827% | 33.969% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.064% | 0.523% | 0.587% | 1.930% | 4.704% | 10.495% | 22.857% | 59.427% | 33.414% | 26.013% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.02h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-29 03:34 | 25 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-29 06:36 | 26 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-29 09:37 | 27 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-29 12:38 | 28 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-29 15:40 | 29 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-29 18:41 | 30 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-29 21:42 | 31 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-30 00:43 | 32 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2018-12-30 03:45 | 33 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-30 06:46 | 34 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2018-12-30 09:47 | 35 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2018-12-30 12:49 | 36 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-30 15:50 | 37 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-30 18:51 | 38 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-30 21:53 | 39 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2018-12-31 00:54 | 40 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2018-12-31 03:55 | 41 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-31 06:57 | 42 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2018-12-31 09:58 | 43 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-31 12:59 | 44 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-31 16:00 | 45 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-31 19:02 | 46 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2018-12-31 22:03 | 47 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-01 01:04 | 48 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-01 04:06 | 49 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-01 07:07 | 50 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-01 10:08 | 51 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-01 13:10 | 52 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-01 16:11 | 53 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-01 19:12 | 54 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-01 22:14 | 55 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-02 01:15 | 56 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-02 04:16 | 57 | Stockfish 181224 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-02 07:17 | 58 | Komodo 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-02 10:19 | 59 | Houdini 6.03 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-02 13:20 | 60 | Fire 7.1 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-02 16:21 | 61 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-02 19:23 | 62 | Andscacs 095 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-02 22:24 | 63 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-03 01:25 | 64 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-03 04:27 | 65 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-03 07:28 | 66 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-03 10:29 | 67 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-03 13:31 | 68 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-03 16:32 | 69 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-03 19:33 | 70 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-03 22:34 | 71 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-04 01:36 | 72 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-04 04:37 | 73 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-04 07:38 | 74 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-04 10:40 | 75 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-04 13:41 | 76 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-04 16:42 | 77 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-04 19:44 | 78 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-04 22:45 | 79 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-05 01:46 | 80 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-05 04:48 | 81 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 07:49 | 82 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-05 10:50 | 83 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 13:51 | 84 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-05 16:53 | 85 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-05 19:54 | 86 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 22:55 | 87 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-06 01:57 | 88 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-06 04:58 | 89 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 07:59 | 90 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-06 11:01 | 91 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-06 14:02 | 92 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-06 17:03 | 93 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 20:05 | 94 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-06 23:06 | 95 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-07 02:07 | 96 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-07 05:08 | 97 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-07 08:10 | 98 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-07 11:11 | 99 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-07 14:12 | 100 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-07 17:14 | 101 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-07 20:15 | 102 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-07 23:16 | 103 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-08 02:18 | 104 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-08 05:19 | 105 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-08 08:20 | 106 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-08 11:22 | 107 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-08 14:23 | 108 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-08 17:24 | 109 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-08 20:25 | 110 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-08 23:27 | 111 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-09 02:28 | 112 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-09 05:29 | 113 | Stockfish 181224 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-09 08:31 | 114 | Komodo 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-09 11:32 | 115 | Houdini 6.03 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-09 14:33 | 116 | Fire 7.1 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-09 17:35 | 117 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-09 20:36 | 118 | Andscacs 095 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-09 23:37 | 119 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-10 02:39 | 120 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 05:40 | 121 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 08:41 | 122 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-10 11:42 | 123 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-10 14:44 | 124 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-10 17:45 | 125 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-10 20:46 | 126 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-10 23:48 | 127 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-11 02:49 | 128 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-11 05:50 | 129 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 08:52 | 130 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 11:53 | 131 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-11 14:54 | 132 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-11 17:55 | 133 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-11 20:57 | 134 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-11 23:58 | 135 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-12 02:59 | 136 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-12 06:01 | 137 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 09:02 | 138 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 12:03 | 139 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 15:05 | 140 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-12 18:06 | 141 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-12 21:07 | 142 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 00:09 | 143 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-13 03:10 | 144 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-13 06:11 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 09:12 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-13 12:14 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 15:15 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 18:16 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 21:18 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 00:19 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 03:20 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 06:22 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 09:23 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 12:24 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 15:26 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 18:27 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 21:28 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 00:29 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 03:31 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 06:32 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 09:33 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 12:35 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 15:36 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 18:37 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 21:39 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 00:40 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 03:41 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |