For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
6.5 |
27.94 |
3.87 |
1.69 |
65 |
18 |
8 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
6.0 |
24.30 |
3.71 |
2.89 |
20 |
32 |
19 |
12 |
8 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
Houdini 6.03 |
5.5 |
23.60 |
2.63 |
3.00 |
10 |
29 |
31 |
17 |
8 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
4.5 |
21.12 |
2.81 |
4.33 |
2 |
10 |
19 |
26 |
20 |
13 |
7 |
5 |
Fire 7.1 |
4.0 |
19.32 |
2.74 |
5.30 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
17 |
25 |
23 |
16 |
6 |
Andscacs 095 |
3.5 |
17.91 |
3.92 |
5.90 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
14 |
17 |
20 |
7 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
3.5 |
17.16 |
3.90 |
6.22 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
8 |
12 |
16 |
21 |
8 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
3.5 |
16.65 |
2.63 |
6.67 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
11 |
20 |
32 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
63.384% |
18.600% |
|
81.984% |
|
8.343% |
4.636% |
2.604% |
1.471% |
|
0.962% |
|
0.700% |
0.262% |
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
20.422% |
30.479% |
|
50.901% |
|
18.699% |
12.406% |
8.151% |
5.491% |
|
4.352% |
|
3.021% |
1.331% |
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
9.939% |
28.542% |
|
38.481% |
|
30.395% |
17.855% |
8.438% |
3.479% |
|
1.352% |
|
1.135% |
0.217% |
4. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
2.656% |
10.043% |
|
12.699% |
|
18.647% |
24.817% |
20.503% |
13.635% |
|
9.699% |
|
7.108% |
2.591% |
5. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
1.664% |
4.659% |
|
6.323% |
|
7.476% |
10.658% |
14.161% |
17.210% |
|
44.172% |
|
19.382% |
24.790% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
1.198% |
3.669% |
|
4.867% |
|
5.910% |
8.593% |
11.898% |
16.088% |
|
52.644% |
|
21.236% |
31.408% |
7. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
0.703% |
3.672% |
|
4.375% |
|
9.129% |
16.767% |
24.272% |
23.061% |
|
22.396% |
|
15.415% |
6.981% |
8. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.034% |
0.336% |
|
0.370% |
|
1.401% |
4.268% |
9.973% |
19.565% |
|
64.423% |
|
32.003% |
32.420% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Houdini 6.03 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
72.582% |
16.867% |
|
89.449% |
|
5.506% |
2.697% |
1.318% |
0.655% |
|
0.375% |
|
0.273% |
0.102% |
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
17.752% |
35.626% |
|
53.378% |
|
18.287% |
11.813% |
7.600% |
4.872% |
|
4.050% |
|
2.747% |
1.303% |
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
4.982% |
25.042% |
|
30.024% |
|
32.283% |
20.704% |
10.475% |
4.542% |
|
1.972% |
|
1.616% |
0.356% |
4. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
1.914% |
9.832% |
|
11.746% |
|
19.535% |
24.911% |
20.338% |
13.590% |
|
9.880% |
|
7.150% |
2.730% |
5. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
1.333% |
4.965% |
|
6.298% |
|
7.748% |
10.777% |
14.045% |
17.165% |
|
43.967% |
|
19.483% |
24.484% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
0.908% |
3.802% |
|
4.710% |
|
6.279% |
8.781% |
12.056% |
16.031% |
|
52.143% |
|
21.068% |
31.075% |
7. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
0.502% |
3.529% |
|
4.031% |
|
8.986% |
16.172% |
24.076% |
23.478% |
|
23.257% |
|
16.063% |
7.194% |
8. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.027% |
0.337% |
|
0.364% |
|
1.376% |
4.145% |
10.092% |
19.667% |
|
64.356% |
|
31.600% |
32.756% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Houdini 6.03 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
59.207% |
20.302% |
|
79.509% |
|
9.778% |
5.344% |
2.927% |
1.473% |
|
0.969% |
|
0.714% |
0.255% |
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
21.896% |
27.711% |
|
49.607% |
|
18.677% |
12.786% |
8.747% |
5.516% |
|
4.667% |
|
3.170% |
1.497% |
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
11.785% |
29.773% |
|
41.558% |
|
30.133% |
16.560% |
7.549% |
3.114% |
|
1.086% |
|
0.913% |
0.173% |
4. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
2.996% |
9.948% |
|
12.944% |
|
18.279% |
25.090% |
20.477% |
13.577% |
|
9.633% |
|
7.177% |
2.456% |
5. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
1.878% |
4.583% |
|
6.461% |
|
7.019% |
10.423% |
13.976% |
17.168% |
|
44.953% |
|
19.892% |
25.061% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
1.265% |
3.548% |
|
4.813% |
|
5.775% |
8.476% |
11.899% |
16.322% |
|
52.715% |
|
21.201% |
31.514% |
7. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
0.929% |
3.806% |
|
4.735% |
|
9.034% |
17.069% |
24.384% |
22.954% |
|
21.824% |
|
15.161% |
6.663% |
8. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.044% |
0.329% |
|
0.373% |
|
1.305% |
4.252% |
10.041% |
19.876% |
|
64.153% |
|
31.772% |
32.381% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Houdini 6.03 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
45.817% |
22.076% |
|
67.893% |
|
13.657% |
8.325% |
5.022% |
2.994% |
|
2.109% |
|
1.508% |
0.601% |
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
24.360% |
23.175% |
|
47.535% |
|
18.784% |
13.429% |
9.058% |
6.036% |
|
5.158% |
|
3.504% |
1.654% |
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
20.924% |
32.356% |
|
53.280% |
|
25.723% |
12.964% |
5.383% |
1.992% |
|
0.658% |
|
0.553% |
0.105% |
4. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
3.784% |
10.299% |
|
14.083% |
|
18.337% |
24.801% |
20.035% |
13.294% |
|
9.450% |
|
6.810% |
2.640% |
5. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
2.254% |
4.408% |
|
6.662% |
|
7.083% |
10.271% |
13.781% |
17.363% |
|
44.840% |
|
19.781% |
25.059% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
1.610% |
3.303% |
|
4.913% |
|
5.524% |
8.482% |
11.909% |
16.149% |
|
53.023% |
|
21.423% |
31.600% |
7. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
1.208% |
4.066% |
|
5.274% |
|
9.511% |
17.412% |
24.510% |
22.282% |
|
21.011% |
|
14.448% |
6.563% |
8. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.043% |
0.317% |
|
0.360% |
|
1.381% |
4.316% |
10.302% |
19.890% |
|
63.751% |
|
31.973% |
31.778% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-31 00:25 |
39 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2018-12-31 03:31 |
40 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2018-12-31 06:36 |
41 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2018-12-31 09:41 |
42 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2018-12-31 12:47 |
43 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2018-12-31 15:52 |
44 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2018-12-31 18:57 |
45 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2018-12-31 22:03 |
46 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-01 01:08 |
47 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-01 04:13 |
48 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-01 07:19 |
49 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-01 10:24 |
50 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-01 13:29 |
51 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-01 16:34 |
52 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-01 19:40 |
53 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-01 22:45 |
54 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-02 01:50 |
55 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-02 04:56 |
56 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-02 08:01 |
57 |
Stockfish 181224 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-02 11:06 |
58 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-02 14:12 |
59 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-02 17:17 |
60 |
Fire 7.1 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-02 20:22 |
61 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-02 23:28 |
62 |
Andscacs 095 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-03 02:33 |
63 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-03 05:38 |
64 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-03 08:44 |
65 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-03 11:49 |
66 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-03 14:54 |
67 |
Fire 7.1 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-03 18:00 |
68 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-03 21:05 |
69 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-04 00:10 |
70 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-04 03:16 |
71 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-04 06:21 |
72 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-04 09:26 |
73 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-04 12:32 |
74 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-04 15:37 |
75 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-04 18:42 |
76 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-04 21:48 |
77 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-05 00:53 |
78 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-05 03:58 |
79 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-05 07:04 |
80 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-05 10:09 |
81 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-05 13:14 |
82 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-05 16:20 |
83 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-05 19:25 |
84 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-05 22:30 |
85 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-06 01:35 |
86 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-06 04:41 |
87 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-06 07:46 |
88 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-06 10:51 |
89 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-06 13:57 |
90 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-06 17:02 |
91 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-06 20:07 |
92 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-06 23:13 |
93 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-07 02:18 |
94 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-07 05:23 |
95 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-07 08:29 |
96 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-07 11:34 |
97 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-07 14:39 |
98 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-07 17:45 |
99 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-07 20:50 |
100 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-07 23:55 |
101 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-08 03:01 |
102 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-08 06:06 |
103 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-08 09:11 |
104 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-08 12:17 |
105 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-08 15:22 |
106 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-08 18:27 |
107 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-08 21:33 |
108 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-09 00:38 |
109 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-09 03:43 |
110 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-09 06:49 |
111 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-09 09:54 |
112 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-09 12:59 |
113 |
Stockfish 181224 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-09 16:05 |
114 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-09 19:10 |
115 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-09 22:15 |
116 |
Fire 7.1 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-10 01:21 |
117 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-10 04:26 |
118 |
Andscacs 095 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-10 07:31 |
119 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-10 10:36 |
120 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 13:42 |
121 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 16:47 |
122 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-10 19:52 |
123 |
Fire 7.1 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-10 22:58 |
124 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 02:03 |
125 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 05:08 |
126 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-11 08:14 |
127 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-11 11:19 |
128 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-11 14:24 |
129 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 17:30 |
130 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 20:35 |
131 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-11 23:40 |
132 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 02:46 |
133 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 05:51 |
134 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-12 08:56 |
135 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-12 12:02 |
136 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-12 15:07 |
137 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 18:12 |
138 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-12 21:18 |
139 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 00:23 |
140 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 03:28 |
141 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 06:34 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 09:39 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 12:44 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 15:50 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 18:55 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 22:00 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 01:06 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 04:11 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 07:16 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 10:22 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 13:27 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 16:32 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 19:38 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 22:43 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 01:48 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 04:53 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 07:59 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 11:04 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 14:09 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 17:15 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 20:20 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 23:25 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-16 02:31 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-16 05:36 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 08:41 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 11:47 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 14:52 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |