For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 7.5 | 29.00 | 3.67 | 1.45 | 74 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | Komodo 2227.00 | 6.0 | 24.39 | 3.71 | 2.85 | 17 | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| 3 | Houdini 6.03 | 5.5 | 23.02 | 2.57 | 3.25 | 5 | 26 | 33 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 4.5 | 20.96 | 2.80 | 4.36 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 21 | 14 | 7 |
| 5 | Fire 7.1 | 4.0 | 19.14 | 2.75 | 5.34 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 24 | 16 |
| 6 | Andscacs 095 | 3.5 | 17.86 | 3.89 | 5.88 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 20 |
| 7 | Ethereal 11.14 | 3.5 | 17.11 | 3.92 | 6.20 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 21 |
| 8 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 3.5 | 16.53 | 2.63 | 6.68 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 32 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 72.952% | 16.589% | 89.541% | 5.473% | 2.658% | 1.337% | 0.653% | 0.338% | 0.264% | 0.074% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 17.376% | 35.561% | 52.937% | 18.206% | 12.016% | 7.849% | 4.856% | 4.136% | 2.840% | 1.296% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 4.931% | 25.468% | 30.399% | 32.274% | 20.452% | 10.419% | 4.644% | 1.812% | 1.500% | 0.312% | |||||
| 4. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.885% | 9.768% | 11.653% | 19.255% | 24.974% | 20.305% | 13.771% | 10.042% | 7.300% | 2.742% | |||||
| 5. | Andscacs 095 | 1.357% | 4.823% | 6.180% | 7.843% | 10.733% | 14.292% | 17.212% | 43.740% | 19.180% | 24.560% | |||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.950% | 3.850% | 4.800% | 6.372% | 8.763% | 11.993% | 16.093% | 51.979% | 21.290% | 30.689% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 0.526% | 3.623% | 4.149% | 9.091% | 16.173% | 23.815% | 23.162% | 23.610% | 16.092% | 7.518% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.023% | 0.318% | 0.341% | 1.486% | 4.231% | 9.990% | 19.609% | 64.343% | 31.534% | 32.809% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Fire 7.1 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 72.661% | 16.491% | 89.152% | 5.718% | 2.912% | 1.273% | 0.640% | 0.305% | 0.234% | 0.071% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 17.404% | 35.417% | 52.821% | 18.477% | 12.284% | 7.767% | 4.753% | 3.898% | 2.652% | 1.246% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 4.907% | 24.686% | 29.593% | 31.723% | 21.622% | 10.786% | 4.486% | 1.790% | 1.457% | 0.333% | |||||
| 4. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 2.544% | 12.469% | 15.013% | 22.639% | 26.808% | 18.480% | 10.415% | 6.645% | 5.013% | 1.632% | |||||
| 5. | Andscacs 095 | 1.286% | 4.822% | 6.108% | 7.679% | 10.620% | 14.729% | 17.105% | 43.759% | 19.220% | 24.539% | |||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.912% | 3.642% | 4.554% | 6.220% | 8.692% | 12.576% | 16.288% | 51.670% | 20.752% | 30.918% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 0.256% | 2.155% | 2.411% | 6.089% | 12.874% | 23.403% | 25.911% | 29.312% | 19.234% | 10.078% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.030% | 0.318% | 0.348% | 1.455% | 4.188% | 10.986% | 20.402% | 62.621% | 31.438% | 31.183% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Fire 7.1 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 72.685% | 16.734% | 89.419% | 5.600% | 2.567% | 1.320% | 0.709% | 0.385% | 0.275% | 0.110% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 17.660% | 35.896% | 53.556% | 18.166% | 11.530% | 7.691% | 4.949% | 4.108% | 2.827% | 1.281% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 5.126% | 25.540% | 30.666% | 32.561% | 19.987% | 10.265% | 4.624% | 1.897% | 1.575% | 0.322% | |||||
| 4. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.703% | 9.064% | 10.767% | 18.565% | 24.846% | 20.893% | 14.570% | 10.359% | 7.551% | 2.808% | |||||
| 5. | Andscacs 095 | 1.281% | 5.023% | 6.304% | 8.039% | 10.977% | 13.753% | 16.817% | 44.110% | 19.554% | 24.556% | |||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.003% | 3.782% | 4.785% | 6.275% | 8.925% | 11.916% | 16.095% | 52.004% | 21.001% | 31.003% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 0.522% | 3.640% | 4.162% | 9.364% | 16.977% | 24.328% | 22.904% | 22.265% | 15.528% | 6.737% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.020% | 0.321% | 0.341% | 1.430% | 4.191% | 9.834% | 19.332% | 64.872% | 31.689% | 33.183% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Fire 7.1 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 72.808% | 16.642% | 89.450% | 5.490% | 2.610% | 1.374% | 0.711% | 0.365% | 0.270% | 0.095% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 17.648% | 35.770% | 53.418% | 18.094% | 11.590% | 7.616% | 5.098% | 4.184% | 2.905% | 1.279% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 5.282% | 26.228% | 31.510% | 32.937% | 19.045% | 10.156% | 4.480% | 1.872% | 1.554% | 0.318% | |||||
| 4. | Andscacs 095 | 1.338% | 5.090% | 6.428% | 8.135% | 10.787% | 13.241% | 16.961% | 44.448% | 19.939% | 24.509% | |||||
| 5. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.079% | 6.405% | 7.484% | 14.436% | 22.080% | 22.845% | 18.249% | 14.906% | 10.552% | 4.354% | |||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.978% | 3.904% | 4.882% | 6.420% | 8.805% | 11.473% | 16.047% | 52.373% | 21.598% | 30.775% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 0.851% | 5.621% | 6.472% | 13.041% | 20.974% | 24.059% | 19.601% | 15.853% | 11.288% | 4.565% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.016% | 0.340% | 0.356% | 1.447% | 4.109% | 9.236% | 18.853% | 65.999% | 31.894% | 34.105% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-12-31 03:54 | 40 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2018-12-31 07:00 | 41 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-31 10:06 | 42 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2018-12-31 13:11 | 43 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2018-12-31 16:17 | 44 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2018-12-31 19:23 | 45 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2018-12-31 22:29 | 46 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-01 01:35 | 47 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-01 04:41 | 48 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-01 07:47 | 49 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-01 10:53 | 50 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-01 13:59 | 51 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-01 17:05 | 52 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-01 20:11 | 53 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-01 23:17 | 54 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-02 02:22 | 55 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-02 05:28 | 56 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-02 08:34 | 57 | Stockfish 181224 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-02 11:40 | 58 | Komodo 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-02 14:46 | 59 | Houdini 6.03 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-02 17:52 | 60 | Fire 7.1 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-02 20:58 | 61 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-03 00:04 | 62 | Andscacs 095 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-03 03:10 | 63 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-03 06:16 | 64 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-03 09:22 | 65 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-03 12:28 | 66 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-03 15:33 | 67 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-03 18:39 | 68 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-03 21:45 | 69 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-04 00:51 | 70 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-04 03:57 | 71 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-04 07:03 | 72 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-04 10:09 | 73 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-04 13:15 | 74 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-04 16:21 | 75 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-04 19:27 | 76 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-04 22:33 | 77 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-05 01:39 | 78 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-05 04:44 | 79 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-05 07:50 | 80 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-05 10:56 | 81 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 14:02 | 82 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-05 17:08 | 83 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 20:14 | 84 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-05 23:20 | 85 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-06 02:26 | 86 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 05:32 | 87 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-06 08:38 | 88 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-06 11:44 | 89 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 14:50 | 90 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-06 17:55 | 91 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-06 21:01 | 92 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-07 00:07 | 93 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-07 03:13 | 94 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-07 06:19 | 95 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-07 09:25 | 96 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-07 12:31 | 97 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-07 15:37 | 98 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-07 18:43 | 99 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-07 21:49 | 100 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-08 00:55 | 101 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-08 04:01 | 102 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-08 07:06 | 103 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-08 10:12 | 104 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-08 13:18 | 105 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-08 16:24 | 106 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-08 19:30 | 107 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-08 22:36 | 108 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-09 01:42 | 109 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-09 04:48 | 110 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-09 07:54 | 111 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-09 11:00 | 112 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-09 14:06 | 113 | Stockfish 181224 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-09 17:12 | 114 | Komodo 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-09 20:17 | 115 | Houdini 6.03 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-09 23:23 | 116 | Fire 7.1 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-10 02:29 | 117 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-10 05:35 | 118 | Andscacs 095 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-10 08:41 | 119 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-10 11:47 | 120 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 14:53 | 121 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 17:59 | 122 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-10 21:05 | 123 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-11 00:11 | 124 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-11 03:17 | 125 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-11 06:23 | 126 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-11 09:28 | 127 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-11 12:34 | 128 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-11 15:40 | 129 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 18:46 | 130 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 21:52 | 131 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-12 00:58 | 132 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-12 04:04 | 133 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-12 07:10 | 134 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-12 10:16 | 135 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-12 13:22 | 136 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-12 16:28 | 137 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 19:34 | 138 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 22:39 | 139 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 01:45 | 140 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 04:51 | 141 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 07:57 | 142 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 11:03 | 143 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-13 14:09 | 144 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-13 17:15 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 20:21 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-13 23:27 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 02:33 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 05:39 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 08:45 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 11:50 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 14:56 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 18:02 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 21:08 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-15 00:14 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 03:20 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 06:26 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 09:32 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 12:38 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 15:44 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 18:50 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 21:56 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-16 01:01 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-16 04:07 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-16 07:13 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 10:19 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 13:25 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 16:31 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |