For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 7.5 | 29.06 | 3.65 | 1.43 | 74 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | Komodo 2227.00 | 6.0 | 24.43 | 3.72 | 2.81 | 17 | 38 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | Houdini 6.03 | 5.5 | 23.00 | 2.56 | 3.23 | 5 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 6.0 | 21.55 | 2.67 | 3.99 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 4 |
| 5 | Fire 7.1 | 4.0 | 18.52 | 2.68 | 5.65 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
| 6 | Andscacs 095 | 4.5 | 17.39 | 3.50 | 6.12 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 21 |
| 7 | Ethereal 11.14 | 4.5 | 17.37 | 3.51 | 6.14 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 22 |
| 8 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 4.0 | 16.67 | 2.56 | 6.62 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 30 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 73.098% | 16.656% | 89.754% | 5.460% | 2.602% | 1.210% | 0.616% | 0.358% | 0.263% | 0.095% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 17.840% | 36.241% | 54.081% | 18.289% | 11.911% | 7.361% | 4.440% | 3.918% | 2.539% | 1.379% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 5.058% | 25.352% | 30.410% | 32.792% | 20.905% | 9.928% | 4.122% | 1.843% | 1.492% | 0.351% | |||||
| 4. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 2.489% | 12.717% | 15.206% | 23.426% | 27.631% | 17.734% | 9.799% | 6.204% | 4.620% | 1.584% | |||||
| 5. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.634% | 3.181% | 3.815% | 6.020% | 9.490% | 14.291% | 18.159% | 48.225% | 21.162% | 27.063% | |||||
| 6. | Andscacs 095 | 0.612% | 3.074% | 3.686% | 5.949% | 9.569% | 14.355% | 18.152% | 48.289% | 21.204% | 27.085% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 0.247% | 2.431% | 2.678% | 6.549% | 13.411% | 23.756% | 24.285% | 29.321% | 18.834% | 10.487% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.022% | 0.348% | 0.370% | 1.515% | 4.481% | 11.365% | 20.427% | 61.842% | 29.886% | 31.956% |
Speculate Fire 7.1 – Stockfish 181224 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 60.570% | 20.385% | 80.955% | 8.944% | 5.021% | 2.694% | 1.483% | 0.903% | 0.663% | 0.240% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 23.130% | 29.205% | 52.335% | 17.094% | 12.130% | 8.224% | 5.390% | 4.827% | 3.185% | 1.642% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 8.932% | 26.306% | 35.238% | 29.379% | 19.098% | 10.155% | 4.257% | 1.873% | 1.509% | 0.364% | |||||
| 4. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 4.374% | 13.301% | 17.675% | 22.303% | 25.320% | 17.681% | 10.449% | 6.572% | 4.851% | 1.721% | |||||
| 5. | Ethereal 11.14 | 1.034% | 3.203% | 4.237% | 5.538% | 8.476% | 12.849% | 18.444% | 50.456% | 22.233% | 28.223% | |||||
| 6. | Andscacs 095 | 1.026% | 3.098% | 4.124% | 5.569% | 8.655% | 13.149% | 18.172% | 50.331% | 22.268% | 28.063% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 0.900% | 4.105% | 5.005% | 9.679% | 17.230% | 25.311% | 21.949% | 20.826% | 14.222% | 6.604% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.034% | 0.397% | 0.431% | 1.494% | 4.070% | 9.937% | 19.856% | 64.212% | 31.069% | 33.143% |
Speculate Fire 7.1 – Stockfish 181224 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 69.683% | 18.214% | 87.897% | 6.610% | 3.061% | 1.404% | 0.676% | 0.352% | 0.268% | 0.084% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 19.428% | 33.723% | 53.151% | 17.994% | 12.238% | 7.635% | 4.744% | 4.238% | 2.768% | 1.470% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 6.086% | 26.035% | 32.121% | 31.981% | 20.228% | 9.736% | 4.117% | 1.817% | 1.472% | 0.345% | |||||
| 4. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 2.975% | 13.053% | 16.028% | 23.297% | 26.804% | 17.700% | 9.852% | 6.319% | 4.733% | 1.586% | |||||
| 5. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.737% | 3.080% | 3.817% | 5.806% | 9.262% | 13.798% | 18.092% | 49.225% | 21.534% | 27.691% | |||||
| 6. | Andscacs 095 | 0.714% | 3.057% | 3.771% | 5.700% | 9.429% | 14.130% | 18.052% | 48.918% | 21.480% | 27.438% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 0.340% | 2.517% | 2.857% | 7.085% | 14.534% | 24.715% | 24.201% | 26.608% | 17.349% | 9.259% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.037% | 0.321% | 0.358% | 1.527% | 4.444% | 10.882% | 20.266% | 62.523% | 30.396% | 32.127% |
Speculate Fire 7.1 – Stockfish 181224 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 79.822% | 14.155% | 93.977% | 3.612% | 1.464% | 0.607% | 0.249% | 0.091% | 0.070% | 0.021% | |||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 14.297% | 40.545% | 54.842% | 18.556% | 11.964% | 7.009% | 4.063% | 3.566% | 2.377% | 1.189% | |||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 3.275% | 25.058% | 28.333% | 34.622% | 21.640% | 9.886% | 3.925% | 1.594% | 1.259% | 0.335% | |||||
| 4. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.590% | 12.190% | 13.780% | 24.036% | 28.810% | 17.820% | 9.466% | 6.088% | 4.475% | 1.613% | |||||
| 5. | Andscacs 095 | 0.473% | 3.069% | 3.542% | 6.092% | 9.932% | 15.194% | 18.038% | 47.202% | 20.601% | 26.601% | |||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.426% | 3.199% | 3.625% | 6.372% | 9.824% | 15.114% | 18.020% | 47.045% | 20.837% | 26.208% | |||||
| 7. | Fire 7.1 | 0.097% | 1.475% | 1.572% | 5.140% | 11.516% | 22.303% | 25.243% | 34.226% | 20.959% | 13.267% | |||||
| 8. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.020% | 0.309% | 0.329% | 1.570% | 4.850% | 12.067% | 20.996% | 60.188% | 29.422% | 30.766% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.29h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-01 00:35 | 44 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-01 03:53 | 45 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-01 07:10 | 46 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-01 10:28 | 47 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-01 13:45 | 48 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-01 17:03 | 49 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-01 20:20 | 50 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-01 23:38 | 51 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-02 02:55 | 52 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-02 06:13 | 53 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-02 09:30 | 54 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-02 12:48 | 55 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-02 16:05 | 56 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-02 19:23 | 57 | Stockfish 181224 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-02 22:40 | 58 | Komodo 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-03 01:58 | 59 | Houdini 6.03 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-03 05:15 | 60 | Fire 7.1 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-03 08:33 | 61 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-03 11:50 | 62 | Andscacs 095 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-03 15:08 | 63 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-03 18:25 | 64 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-03 21:43 | 65 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-04 01:00 | 66 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-04 04:18 | 67 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-04 07:35 | 68 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-04 10:53 | 69 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-04 14:10 | 70 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-04 17:28 | 71 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-04 20:45 | 72 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-05 00:03 | 73 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 03:20 | 74 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-05 06:38 | 75 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-05 09:55 | 76 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-05 13:13 | 77 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-05 16:30 | 78 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-05 19:47 | 79 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-05 23:05 | 80 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-06 02:22 | 81 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 05:40 | 82 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-06 08:57 | 83 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 12:15 | 84 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-06 15:32 | 85 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-06 18:50 | 86 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-06 22:07 | 87 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-07 01:25 | 88 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-07 04:42 | 89 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-07 08:00 | 90 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-07 11:17 | 91 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-07 14:35 | 92 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-07 17:52 | 93 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-07 21:10 | 94 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-08 00:27 | 95 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-08 03:45 | 96 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-08 07:02 | 97 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-08 10:20 | 98 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-08 13:37 | 99 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-08 16:55 | 100 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-08 20:12 | 101 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-08 23:30 | 102 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-09 02:47 | 103 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-09 06:05 | 104 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-09 09:22 | 105 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-09 12:40 | 106 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-09 15:57 | 107 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-09 19:15 | 108 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-09 22:32 | 109 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-10 01:50 | 110 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-10 05:07 | 111 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-10 08:25 | 112 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-10 11:42 | 113 | Stockfish 181224 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 15:00 | 114 | Komodo 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-10 18:17 | 115 | Houdini 6.03 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-10 21:35 | 116 | Fire 7.1 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-11 00:52 | 117 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-11 04:10 | 118 | Andscacs 095 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-11 07:27 | 119 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-11 10:45 | 120 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 14:02 | 121 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 17:20 | 122 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-11 20:37 | 123 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-11 23:55 | 124 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-12 03:12 | 125 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-12 06:30 | 126 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-12 09:47 | 127 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-12 13:05 | 128 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 16:22 | 129 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 19:40 | 130 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 22:57 | 131 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 02:15 | 132 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 05:32 | 133 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 08:50 | 134 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-13 12:07 | 135 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-13 15:25 | 136 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-13 18:42 | 137 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 22:00 | 138 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 01:17 | 139 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 04:35 | 140 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 07:52 | 141 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 11:10 | 142 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 14:27 | 143 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 17:45 | 144 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 21:02 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 00:20 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 03:37 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-15 06:55 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 10:12 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 13:30 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 16:47 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 20:05 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 23:22 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-16 02:40 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-16 05:57 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-16 09:15 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-16 12:32 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-16 15:50 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 19:07 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 22:25 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-17 01:42 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-17 04:59 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-17 08:17 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-17 11:34 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-17 14:52 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-17 18:09 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-17 21:27 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-18 00:44 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |