For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
12.0 |
28.04 |
2.74 |
1.29 |
81 |
12 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
9.5 |
23.04 |
2.80 |
3.23 |
9 |
31 |
22 |
19 |
10 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
Houdini 6.03 |
9.0 |
22.83 |
2.18 |
3.24 |
5 |
27 |
30 |
23 |
10 |
4 |
1 |
4 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
9.5 |
22.69 |
2.32 |
3.35 |
5 |
25 |
29 |
24 |
11 |
5 |
2 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
9.0 |
19.57 |
2.22 |
5.27 |
0 |
3 |
8 |
16 |
30 |
23 |
14 |
6 |
Fire 7.1 |
6.5 |
17.87 |
2.30 |
6.28 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
16 |
27 |
28 |
7 |
Andscacs 095 |
7.0 |
17.00 |
2.67 |
6.67 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
11 |
19 |
27 |
8 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
6.5 |
16.96 |
2.76 |
6.67 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
11 |
18 |
26 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
79.692% |
12.800% |
|
92.492% |
|
4.666% |
1.896% |
0.650% |
0.216% |
|
0.080% |
|
0.063% |
0.017% |
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
9.131% |
29.966% |
|
39.097% |
|
22.453% |
18.428% |
10.166% |
5.711% |
|
4.145% |
|
2.948% |
1.197% |
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
5.579% |
24.138% |
|
29.717% |
|
28.063% |
23.237% |
11.272% |
5.061% |
|
2.650% |
|
2.042% |
0.608% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
4.917% |
27.093% |
|
32.010% |
|
29.059% |
22.860% |
10.163% |
4.124% |
|
1.784% |
|
1.424% |
0.360% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.283% |
2.731% |
|
3.014% |
|
7.219% |
15.065% |
28.158% |
23.403% |
|
23.141% |
|
15.786% |
7.355% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
0.165% |
1.248% |
|
1.413% |
|
2.870% |
5.718% |
10.796% |
17.118% |
|
62.085% |
|
24.607% |
37.478% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
0.155% |
1.138% |
|
1.293% |
|
2.707% |
5.605% |
11.611% |
18.565% |
|
60.219% |
|
26.052% |
34.167% |
8. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
0.078% |
0.886% |
|
0.964% |
|
2.963% |
7.191% |
17.184% |
25.802% |
|
45.896% |
|
27.078% |
18.818% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Ethereal 11.14 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
78.425% |
13.417% |
|
91.842% |
|
5.083% |
2.134% |
0.637% |
0.225% |
|
0.079% |
|
0.071% |
0.008% |
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
8.893% |
28.265% |
|
37.158% |
|
22.830% |
20.149% |
10.630% |
5.486% |
|
3.747% |
|
2.692% |
1.055% |
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
7.119% |
27.613% |
|
34.732% |
|
29.501% |
21.945% |
9.092% |
3.401% |
|
1.329% |
|
1.091% |
0.238% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
5.058% |
25.838% |
|
30.896% |
|
29.226% |
24.246% |
10.330% |
3.800% |
|
1.502% |
|
1.216% |
0.286% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.247% |
2.518% |
|
2.765% |
|
6.803% |
15.396% |
30.578% |
23.764% |
|
20.694% |
|
14.698% |
5.996% |
6. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
0.117% |
0.990% |
|
1.107% |
|
2.496% |
5.462% |
12.124% |
19.873% |
|
58.938% |
|
27.827% |
31.111% |
7. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
0.081% |
0.816% |
|
0.897% |
|
2.558% |
7.125% |
17.960% |
27.961% |
|
43.499% |
|
26.877% |
16.622% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
0.060% |
0.543% |
|
0.603% |
|
1.503% |
3.543% |
8.649% |
15.490% |
|
70.212% |
|
25.528% |
44.684% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Ethereal 11.14 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
80.174% |
12.575% |
|
92.749% |
|
4.557% |
1.815% |
0.577% |
0.226% |
|
0.076% |
|
0.060% |
0.016% |
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
9.257% |
30.776% |
|
40.033% |
|
22.218% |
17.798% |
9.885% |
5.637% |
|
4.429% |
|
3.089% |
1.340% |
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
4.993% |
22.684% |
|
27.677% |
|
27.560% |
24.265% |
12.266% |
5.478% |
|
2.754% |
|
2.110% |
0.644% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
4.860% |
27.620% |
|
32.480% |
|
29.210% |
22.018% |
10.125% |
4.254% |
|
1.913% |
|
1.534% |
0.379% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.293% |
2.863% |
|
3.156% |
|
7.406% |
14.947% |
26.891% |
23.433% |
|
24.167% |
|
16.106% |
8.061% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
0.187% |
1.352% |
|
1.539% |
|
3.245% |
6.269% |
12.154% |
18.113% |
|
58.680% |
|
25.000% |
33.680% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
0.149% |
1.150% |
|
1.299% |
|
2.821% |
5.704% |
11.582% |
17.760% |
|
60.834% |
|
25.412% |
35.422% |
8. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
0.087% |
0.980% |
|
1.067% |
|
2.983% |
7.184% |
16.520% |
25.099% |
|
47.147% |
|
26.689% |
20.458% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Ethereal 11.14 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
81.278% |
12.140% |
|
93.418% |
|
4.024% |
1.689% |
0.589% |
0.189% |
|
0.091% |
|
0.078% |
0.013% |
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
9.459% |
32.749% |
|
42.208% |
|
21.809% |
15.917% |
9.591% |
5.759% |
|
4.716% |
|
3.118% |
1.598% |
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
4.981% |
29.199% |
|
34.180% |
|
29.000% |
19.953% |
10.114% |
4.521% |
|
2.232% |
|
1.787% |
0.445% |
4. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
3.372% |
17.698% |
|
21.070% |
|
25.514% |
24.938% |
15.134% |
8.165% |
|
5.179% |
|
3.870% |
1.309% |
5. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
0.390% |
2.846% |
|
3.236% |
|
5.656% |
9.307% |
14.506% |
19.086% |
|
48.209% |
|
22.752% |
25.457% |
6. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.281% |
2.985% |
|
3.266% |
|
7.814% |
14.996% |
24.230% |
23.059% |
|
26.635% |
|
17.170% |
9.465% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
0.154% |
1.275% |
|
1.429% |
|
3.011% |
5.800% |
10.605% |
16.592% |
|
62.563% |
|
23.981% |
38.582% |
8. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
0.085% |
1.108% |
|
1.193% |
|
3.172% |
7.400% |
15.231% |
22.629% |
|
50.375% |
|
27.244% |
23.131% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.17h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-04 08:37 |
71 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-04 11:47 |
72 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-04 14:57 |
73 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-04 18:06 |
74 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-04 21:16 |
75 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-05 00:26 |
76 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-05 03:36 |
77 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-05 06:46 |
78 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-05 09:56 |
79 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-05 13:06 |
80 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-05 16:16 |
81 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-05 19:26 |
82 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-05 22:36 |
83 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-06 01:46 |
84 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-06 04:55 |
85 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-06 08:05 |
86 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-06 11:15 |
87 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-06 14:25 |
88 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-06 17:35 |
89 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-06 20:45 |
90 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-06 23:55 |
91 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-07 03:05 |
92 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-07 06:15 |
93 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-07 09:25 |
94 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-07 12:35 |
95 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-07 15:44 |
96 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-07 18:54 |
97 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-07 22:04 |
98 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-08 01:14 |
99 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-08 04:24 |
100 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-08 07:34 |
101 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-08 10:44 |
102 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-08 13:54 |
103 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-08 17:04 |
104 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-08 20:14 |
105 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-08 23:24 |
106 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-09 02:33 |
107 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-09 05:43 |
108 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-09 08:53 |
109 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-09 12:03 |
110 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-09 15:13 |
111 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-09 18:23 |
112 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-09 21:33 |
113 |
Stockfish 181224 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 00:43 |
114 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-10 03:53 |
115 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-10 07:03 |
116 |
Fire 7.1 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-10 10:13 |
117 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-10 13:23 |
118 |
Andscacs 095 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-10 16:32 |
119 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-10 19:42 |
120 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 22:52 |
121 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 02:02 |
122 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-11 05:12 |
123 |
Fire 7.1 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-11 08:22 |
124 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 11:32 |
125 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 14:42 |
126 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-11 17:52 |
127 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-11 21:02 |
128 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-12 00:12 |
129 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 03:21 |
130 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 06:31 |
131 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-12 09:41 |
132 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 12:51 |
133 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 16:01 |
134 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-12 19:11 |
135 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-12 22:21 |
136 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 01:31 |
137 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 04:41 |
138 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 07:51 |
139 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 11:01 |
140 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 14:10 |
141 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 17:20 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 20:30 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 23:40 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 02:50 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 06:00 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-14 09:10 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 12:20 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 15:30 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 18:40 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 21:50 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 00:59 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 04:09 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 07:19 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-15 10:29 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 13:39 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 16:49 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 19:59 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 23:09 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 02:19 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 05:29 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-16 08:39 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-16 11:48 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-16 14:58 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-16 18:08 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 21:18 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-17 00:28 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-17 03:38 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |