For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
18.0 |
28.18 |
1.89 |
1.19 |
85 |
11 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
17.0 |
25.01 |
1.71 |
2.35 |
11 |
54 |
25 |
9 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
14.5 |
23.34 |
1.93 |
3.23 |
3 |
20 |
36 |
34 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
Houdini 6.03 |
14.0 |
22.95 |
1.72 |
3.44 |
1 |
14 |
34 |
44 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
12.5 |
19.33 |
1.71 |
5.29 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
9 |
57 |
22 |
8 |
6 |
Fire 7.1 |
10.0 |
17.40 |
1.76 |
6.33 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
17 |
39 |
31 |
7 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
10.0 |
16.76 |
1.91 |
6.68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
28 |
38 |
8 |
Andscacs 095 |
9.0 |
15.04 |
1.90 |
7.50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
23 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
83.936% |
12.596% |
|
96.532% |
|
2.866% |
0.578% |
0.023% |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
11.866% |
50.761% |
|
62.627% |
|
25.571% |
11.003% |
0.743% |
0.053% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
2.969% |
21.203% |
|
24.172% |
|
34.918% |
33.819% |
5.692% |
1.125% |
|
0.274% |
|
0.248% |
0.026% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
1.222% |
15.188% |
|
16.410% |
|
34.316% |
41.441% |
6.497% |
1.137% |
|
0.199% |
|
0.186% |
0.013% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.006% |
0.200% |
|
0.206% |
|
1.658% |
8.552% |
51.997% |
24.486% |
|
13.101% |
|
10.645% |
2.456% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
0.001% |
0.034% |
|
0.035% |
|
0.342% |
1.925% |
11.822% |
25.271% |
|
60.605% |
|
35.783% |
24.822% |
7. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.017% |
|
0.017% |
|
0.300% |
2.395% |
19.805% |
36.595% |
|
40.888% |
|
28.442% |
12.446% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.029% |
0.287% |
3.421% |
11.333% |
|
84.929% |
|
24.692% |
60.237% |
Speculate Andscacs 095 – Stockfish 181224 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
74.519% |
18.483% |
|
93.002% |
|
5.481% |
1.466% |
0.051% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
18.578% |
45.674% |
|
64.252% |
|
24.420% |
10.556% |
0.716% |
0.052% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.003% |
0.001% |
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
4.713% |
20.147% |
|
24.860% |
|
33.659% |
34.101% |
5.830% |
1.227% |
|
0.323% |
|
0.283% |
0.040% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
2.181% |
15.438% |
|
17.619% |
|
33.958% |
40.590% |
6.434% |
1.169% |
|
0.230% |
|
0.208% |
0.022% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.009% |
0.193% |
|
0.202% |
|
1.734% |
8.443% |
50.049% |
24.568% |
|
15.004% |
|
11.301% |
3.703% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
0.037% |
|
0.037% |
|
0.352% |
1.852% |
11.347% |
22.687% |
|
63.725% |
|
31.045% |
32.680% |
7. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.021% |
|
0.021% |
|
0.320% |
2.266% |
18.916% |
32.817% |
|
45.660% |
|
27.960% |
17.700% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.076% |
0.726% |
6.657% |
17.480% |
|
75.054% |
|
29.200% |
45.854% |
Speculate Andscacs 095 – Stockfish 181224 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
81.286% |
14.446% |
|
95.732% |
|
3.565% |
0.689% |
0.014% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
13.855% |
49.215% |
|
63.070% |
|
25.217% |
10.964% |
0.700% |
0.047% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
3.418% |
20.659% |
|
24.077% |
|
34.293% |
34.460% |
5.685% |
1.165% |
|
0.320% |
|
0.282% |
0.038% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
1.435% |
15.430% |
|
16.865% |
|
34.610% |
40.792% |
6.344% |
1.204% |
|
0.185% |
|
0.179% |
0.006% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.006% |
0.214% |
|
0.220% |
|
1.666% |
8.621% |
51.864% |
24.401% |
|
13.228% |
|
10.487% |
2.741% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
0.023% |
|
0.023% |
|
0.318% |
1.846% |
11.802% |
24.403% |
|
61.608% |
|
34.129% |
27.479% |
7. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.013% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.299% |
2.317% |
19.636% |
35.822% |
|
41.913% |
|
27.845% |
14.068% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.032% |
0.311% |
3.955% |
12.958% |
|
82.744% |
|
27.076% |
55.668% |
Speculate Andscacs 095 – Stockfish 181224 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
87.831% |
9.974% |
|
97.805% |
|
1.895% |
0.296% |
0.004% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
9.264% |
53.160% |
|
62.424% |
|
25.808% |
11.002% |
0.714% |
0.051% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
2.125% |
21.363% |
|
23.488% |
|
35.304% |
34.199% |
5.594% |
1.183% |
|
0.232% |
|
0.217% |
0.015% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.777% |
15.260% |
|
16.037% |
|
34.783% |
41.602% |
6.301% |
1.096% |
|
0.181% |
|
0.175% |
0.006% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.003% |
0.186% |
|
0.189% |
|
1.615% |
8.525% |
52.898% |
24.758% |
|
12.015% |
|
10.174% |
1.841% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.029% |
|
0.029% |
|
0.281% |
2.243% |
20.143% |
37.707% |
|
39.597% |
|
28.992% |
10.605% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
0.027% |
|
0.027% |
|
0.308% |
2.016% |
12.269% |
26.584% |
|
58.796% |
|
37.892% |
20.904% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.006% |
0.117% |
2.077% |
8.621% |
|
89.178% |
|
22.549% |
66.629% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-08 18:48 |
107 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-08 21:53 |
108 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-09 00:59 |
109 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-09 04:04 |
110 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-09 07:10 |
111 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-09 10:15 |
112 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-09 13:21 |
113 |
Stockfish 181224 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-09 16:26 |
114 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-09 19:32 |
115 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-09 22:37 |
116 |
Fire 7.1 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-10 01:43 |
117 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-10 04:48 |
118 |
Andscacs 095 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-10 07:54 |
119 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-10 10:59 |
120 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 14:05 |
121 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 17:10 |
122 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-10 20:16 |
123 |
Fire 7.1 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-10 23:21 |
124 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 02:27 |
125 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 05:32 |
126 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-11 08:38 |
127 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-11 11:43 |
128 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-11 14:49 |
129 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 17:54 |
130 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 21:00 |
131 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-12 00:06 |
132 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 03:11 |
133 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 06:17 |
134 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-12 09:22 |
135 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-12 12:28 |
136 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-12 15:33 |
137 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 18:39 |
138 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-12 21:44 |
139 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 00:50 |
140 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 03:55 |
141 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 07:01 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 10:06 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 13:12 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 16:17 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 19:23 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 22:28 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 01:34 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 04:39 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 07:45 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 10:50 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 13:56 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 17:01 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 20:07 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 23:12 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 02:18 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 05:23 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 08:29 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 11:34 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 14:40 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 17:45 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 20:51 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 23:56 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-16 03:02 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-16 06:08 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 09:13 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 12:19 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 15:24 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |