For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
18.5 |
27.89 |
1.81 |
1.23 |
82 |
13 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
17.0 |
25.02 |
1.71 |
2.39 |
12 |
49 |
27 |
11 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
15.5 |
23.89 |
1.84 |
3.00 |
4 |
26 |
38 |
28 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Houdini 6.03 |
14.5 |
22.92 |
1.66 |
3.53 |
1 |
11 |
30 |
51 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
12.5 |
19.31 |
1.69 |
5.28 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
62 |
21 |
7 |
6 |
Fire 7.1 |
10.5 |
17.45 |
1.70 |
6.26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
19 |
43 |
26 |
7 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
10.0 |
16.17 |
1.82 |
6.96 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
22 |
39 |
8 |
Andscacs 095 |
9.5 |
15.34 |
1.80 |
7.37 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
29 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
80.002% |
15.064% |
|
95.066% |
|
4.052% |
0.864% |
0.018% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
13.759% |
45.527% |
|
59.286% |
|
27.574% |
12.367% |
0.745% |
0.027% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
5.026% |
26.514% |
|
31.540% |
|
36.792% |
28.026% |
3.191% |
0.382% |
|
0.069% |
|
0.064% |
0.005% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
1.211% |
12.725% |
|
13.936% |
|
30.075% |
48.762% |
6.296% |
0.823% |
|
0.108% |
|
0.103% |
0.005% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.002% |
0.160% |
|
0.162% |
|
1.261% |
7.314% |
56.201% |
23.722% |
|
11.340% |
|
9.059% |
2.281% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.174% |
1.684% |
21.521% |
40.139% |
|
36.475% |
|
25.207% |
11.268% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.014% |
0.236% |
4.161% |
14.316% |
|
81.271% |
|
29.602% |
51.669% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.058% |
0.747% |
7.867% |
20.591% |
|
70.736% |
|
35.964% |
34.772% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Fire 7.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
80.659% |
14.573% |
|
95.232% |
|
3.904% |
0.830% |
0.033% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
13.371% |
46.065% |
|
59.436% |
|
27.324% |
12.233% |
0.972% |
0.035% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
4.823% |
26.665% |
|
31.488% |
|
36.443% |
27.341% |
4.271% |
0.398% |
|
0.059% |
|
0.056% |
0.003% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
1.143% |
12.426% |
|
13.569% |
|
30.205% |
47.349% |
7.966% |
0.805% |
|
0.106% |
|
0.096% |
0.010% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.004% |
0.264% |
|
0.268% |
|
1.979% |
10.598% |
65.148% |
16.393% |
|
5.614% |
|
4.701% |
0.913% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.078% |
0.701% |
6.935% |
23.954% |
|
68.326% |
|
34.814% |
33.512% |
7. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.049% |
0.745% |
11.129% |
41.350% |
|
46.726% |
|
30.637% |
16.089% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.018% |
0.203% |
3.546% |
17.064% |
|
79.169% |
|
29.696% |
49.473% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Fire 7.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
80.344% |
14.702% |
|
95.046% |
|
4.104% |
0.837% |
0.013% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
13.517% |
45.811% |
|
59.328% |
|
27.539% |
12.448% |
0.645% |
0.035% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
5.014% |
26.367% |
|
31.381% |
|
36.968% |
28.131% |
3.096% |
0.355% |
|
0.069% |
|
0.062% |
0.007% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
1.125% |
12.977% |
|
14.102% |
|
30.072% |
49.065% |
5.837% |
0.818% |
|
0.106% |
|
0.095% |
0.011% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.135% |
|
0.135% |
|
1.088% |
7.008% |
56.819% |
24.202% |
|
10.748% |
|
8.746% |
2.002% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.126% |
1.518% |
21.220% |
41.077% |
|
36.054% |
|
25.300% |
10.754% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.075% |
0.759% |
8.117% |
19.770% |
|
71.277% |
|
36.167% |
35.110% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.028% |
0.234% |
4.253% |
13.743% |
|
81.741% |
|
29.625% |
52.116% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Fire 7.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
80.489% |
14.524% |
|
95.013% |
|
4.122% |
0.842% |
0.023% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
13.165% |
45.522% |
|
58.687% |
|
28.062% |
12.727% |
0.497% |
0.026% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
5.125% |
26.747% |
|
31.872% |
|
36.569% |
28.655% |
2.436% |
0.403% |
|
0.065% |
|
0.059% |
0.006% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
1.221% |
13.140% |
|
14.361% |
|
30.334% |
49.618% |
4.786% |
0.764% |
|
0.137% |
|
0.126% |
0.011% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.048% |
|
0.048% |
|
0.510% |
4.264% |
44.234% |
32.481% |
|
18.463% |
|
14.388% |
4.075% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.013% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.322% |
2.930% |
34.271% |
37.017% |
|
25.447% |
|
18.809% |
6.638% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.057% |
0.726% |
8.853% |
17.445% |
|
72.913% |
|
36.592% |
36.321% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.024% |
0.238% |
4.900% |
11.864% |
|
82.974% |
|
30.025% |
52.949% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.08h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-09 02:44 |
110 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-09 05:49 |
111 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-09 08:53 |
112 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-09 11:58 |
113 |
Stockfish 181224 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-09 15:03 |
114 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-09 18:08 |
115 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-09 21:12 |
116 |
Fire 7.1 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-10 00:17 |
117 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-10 03:22 |
118 |
Andscacs 095 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-10 06:27 |
119 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-10 09:32 |
120 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 12:36 |
121 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 15:41 |
122 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-10 18:46 |
123 |
Fire 7.1 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-10 21:51 |
124 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 00:55 |
125 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 04:00 |
126 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-11 07:05 |
127 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-11 10:10 |
128 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-11 13:15 |
129 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 16:19 |
130 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 19:24 |
131 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-11 22:29 |
132 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 01:34 |
133 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 04:38 |
134 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-12 07:43 |
135 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-12 10:48 |
136 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-12 13:53 |
137 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 16:58 |
138 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-12 20:02 |
139 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 23:07 |
140 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 02:12 |
141 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 05:17 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 08:21 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 11:26 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 14:31 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 17:36 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 20:41 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-13 23:45 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 02:50 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 05:55 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 09:00 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 12:04 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 15:09 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 18:14 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 21:19 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 00:24 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 03:28 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 06:33 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 09:38 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 12:43 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 15:47 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 18:52 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 21:57 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-16 01:02 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-16 04:07 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 07:11 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 10:16 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 13:21 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |