For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
20.5 |
28.78 |
1.65 |
1.06 |
95 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
17.0 |
24.20 |
1.67 |
2.76 |
3 |
42 |
33 |
21 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
17.0 |
24.04 |
1.58 |
2.84 |
2 |
37 |
37 |
23 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Houdini 6.03 |
16.0 |
23.04 |
1.53 |
3.40 |
0 |
16 |
29 |
51 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
13.0 |
18.88 |
1.57 |
5.38 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
63 |
22 |
8 |
6 |
Fire 7.1 |
11.5 |
17.34 |
1.57 |
6.26 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
43 |
26 |
7 |
Andscacs 095 |
10.5 |
15.86 |
1.67 |
7.14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
18 |
33 |
8 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
10.5 |
15.86 |
1.67 |
7.15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
17 |
34 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
94.107% |
4.812% |
|
98.919% |
|
0.932% |
0.149% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
3.197% |
42.157% |
|
45.354% |
|
31.860% |
21.539% |
1.157% |
0.085% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
2.204% |
35.103% |
|
37.307% |
|
36.864% |
24.683% |
1.099% |
0.045% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.491% |
17.837% |
|
18.328% |
|
29.688% |
48.279% |
3.409% |
0.271% |
|
0.025% |
|
0.024% |
0.001% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.001% |
0.084% |
|
0.085% |
|
0.546% |
3.967% |
56.532% |
25.070% |
|
13.800% |
|
10.503% |
3.297% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.087% |
0.997% |
23.293% |
38.781% |
|
36.835% |
|
25.069% |
11.766% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.015% |
0.229% |
6.627% |
16.481% |
|
76.648% |
|
31.881% |
44.767% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.008% |
0.157% |
7.883% |
19.267% |
|
72.685% |
|
32.516% |
40.169% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Ethereal 11.14 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
93.956% |
4.958% |
|
98.914% |
|
0.941% |
0.145% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
3.239% |
41.792% |
|
45.031% |
|
31.626% |
21.574% |
1.660% |
0.100% |
|
0.009% |
|
0.009% |
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
2.254% |
35.119% |
|
37.373% |
|
37.124% |
23.983% |
1.467% |
0.053% |
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.551% |
18.011% |
|
18.562% |
|
29.305% |
47.457% |
4.333% |
0.327% |
|
0.016% |
|
0.016% |
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.116% |
|
0.116% |
|
0.929% |
5.783% |
64.721% |
21.473% |
|
6.978% |
|
5.955% |
1.023% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.063% |
0.894% |
19.401% |
44.786% |
|
34.852% |
|
25.405% |
9.447% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.011% |
0.122% |
6.058% |
21.179% |
|
72.630% |
|
37.782% |
34.848% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.042% |
2.360% |
12.082% |
|
85.515% |
|
30.833% |
54.682% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Ethereal 11.14 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
94.069% |
4.891% |
|
98.960% |
|
0.901% |
0.139% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
3.214% |
42.207% |
|
45.421% |
|
31.774% |
21.652% |
1.073% |
0.074% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.005% |
0.001% |
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
2.189% |
34.927% |
|
37.116% |
|
37.069% |
24.798% |
0.955% |
0.059% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.528% |
17.905% |
|
18.433% |
|
29.741% |
48.597% |
2.916% |
0.286% |
|
0.027% |
|
0.024% |
0.003% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.057% |
|
0.057% |
|
0.393% |
3.492% |
56.298% |
25.845% |
|
13.915% |
|
10.826% |
3.089% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.011% |
|
0.011% |
|
0.102% |
0.996% |
24.485% |
37.542% |
|
36.864% |
|
24.832% |
12.032% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.005% |
0.144% |
8.091% |
19.149% |
|
72.609% |
|
31.134% |
41.475% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.015% |
0.182% |
6.182% |
17.045% |
|
76.576% |
|
33.176% |
43.400% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Ethereal 11.14 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
94.015% |
4.960% |
|
98.975% |
|
0.881% |
0.144% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
3.315% |
42.388% |
|
45.703% |
|
31.920% |
21.567% |
0.736% |
0.065% |
|
0.009% |
|
0.009% |
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
2.205% |
34.585% |
|
36.790% |
|
37.011% |
25.455% |
0.690% |
0.052% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.465% |
18.041% |
|
18.506% |
|
29.884% |
49.156% |
2.186% |
0.249% |
|
0.019% |
|
0.018% |
0.001% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.014% |
|
0.014% |
|
0.179% |
1.973% |
44.705% |
28.642% |
|
24.487% |
|
17.335% |
7.152% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.012% |
|
0.012% |
|
0.090% |
1.068% |
28.354% |
30.939% |
|
39.537% |
|
24.848% |
14.689% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.030% |
0.513% |
13.464% |
22.981% |
|
63.012% |
|
31.620% |
31.392% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.124% |
9.865% |
17.072% |
|
72.934% |
|
26.168% |
46.766% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.08h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-10 03:46 |
118 |
Andscacs 095 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-10 06:50 |
119 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-10 09:55 |
120 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 13:00 |
121 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-10 16:05 |
122 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-10 19:10 |
123 |
Fire 7.1 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-10 22:15 |
124 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 01:20 |
125 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 04:25 |
126 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-11 07:30 |
127 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-11 10:35 |
128 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-11 13:40 |
129 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 16:45 |
130 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 19:50 |
131 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-11 22:55 |
132 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 02:00 |
133 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 05:05 |
134 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-12 08:10 |
135 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-12 11:15 |
136 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-12 14:20 |
137 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 17:25 |
138 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-12 20:30 |
139 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 23:35 |
140 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 02:40 |
141 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 05:45 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 08:50 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 11:55 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 15:00 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 18:05 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 21:10 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 00:15 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 03:20 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 06:25 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 09:30 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 12:35 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 15:40 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 18:45 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 21:50 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 00:55 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 04:00 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 07:05 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 10:10 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 13:15 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 16:20 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 19:25 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 22:30 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-16 01:35 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-16 04:40 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 07:44 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 10:49 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 13:54 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |