For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 20.5 | 28.79 | 1.65 | 1.06 | 95 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Komodo 2227.00 | 17.0 | 24.20 | 1.67 | 2.77 | 3 | 42 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 17.0 | 24.07 | 1.57 | 2.84 | 2 | 37 | 37 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Houdini 6.03 | 16.0 | 23.05 | 1.54 | 3.42 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 14.0 | 19.37 | 1.50 | 5.19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 71 | 18 | 4 |
| 6 | Fire 7.1 | 11.5 | 17.35 | 1.56 | 6.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 51 | 24 |
| 7 | Andscacs 095 | 10.5 | 15.85 | 1.67 | 7.09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 38 |
| 8 | Ethereal 11.14 | 10.5 | 15.32 | 1.57 | 7.39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 93.919% | 5.014% | 98.933% | 0.923% | 0.144% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.242% | 41.425% | 44.667% | 31.957% | 21.621% | 1.642% | 0.108% | 0.005% | 0.005% | ||||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 2.301% | 35.441% | 37.742% | 36.770% | 23.936% | 1.488% | 0.059% | 0.005% | 0.005% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.537% | 17.986% | 18.523% | 29.388% | 47.332% | 4.408% | 0.332% | 0.017% | 0.017% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.001% | 0.122% | 0.123% | 0.893% | 5.877% | 64.727% | 21.548% | 6.832% | 5.871% | 0.961% | |||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.011% | 0.011% | 0.065% | 0.924% | 19.274% | 44.845% | 34.881% | 25.359% | 9.522% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.004% | 0.111% | 6.220% | 21.348% | 72.316% | 37.596% | 34.720% | ||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.055% | 2.241% | 11.760% | 85.944% | 31.147% | 54.797% |
Speculate Andscacs 095 – Fire 7.1 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 93.954% | 4.999% | 98.953% | 0.922% | 0.125% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.213% | 42.032% | 45.245% | 31.789% | 21.281% | 1.587% | 0.088% | 0.010% | 0.010% | ||||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 2.297% | 35.190% | 37.487% | 36.906% | 24.104% | 1.457% | 0.042% | 0.004% | 0.004% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.536% | 17.627% | 18.163% | 29.434% | 47.821% | 4.312% | 0.252% | 0.018% | 0.018% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.152% | 0.152% | 0.912% | 6.012% | 67.573% | 17.885% | 7.466% | 6.255% | 1.211% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.017% | 0.362% | 11.737% | 35.603% | 52.281% | 35.691% | 16.590% | ||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.016% | 0.239% | 10.839% | 33.105% | 55.801% | 33.103% | 22.698% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.004% | 0.056% | 2.495% | 13.025% | 84.420% | 24.919% | 59.501% |
Speculate Andscacs 095 – Fire 7.1 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 94.163% | 4.775% | 98.938% | 0.920% | 0.142% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.128% | 41.636% | 44.764% | 31.739% | 21.819% | 1.574% | 0.096% | 0.008% | 0.007% | 0.001% | |||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 2.178% | 35.490% | 37.668% | 36.557% | 24.259% | 1.457% | 0.059% | ||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.530% | 17.950% | 18.480% | 29.835% | 47.187% | 4.177% | 0.304% | 0.017% | 0.016% | 0.001% | |||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.001% | 0.143% | 0.144% | 0.893% | 5.779% | 65.804% | 20.247% | 7.133% | 6.073% | 1.060% | |||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.006% | 0.006% | 0.050% | 0.680% | 18.990% | 46.316% | 33.958% | 25.229% | 8.729% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.003% | 0.083% | 5.622% | 20.721% | 73.571% | 39.178% | 34.393% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.003% | 0.051% | 2.376% | 12.257% | 85.313% | 29.497% | 55.816% |
Speculate Andscacs 095 – Fire 7.1 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 94.090% | 4.846% | 98.936% | 0.918% | 0.146% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.120% | 41.286% | 44.406% | 31.814% | 21.952% | 1.691% | 0.135% | 0.002% | 0.002% | ||||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 2.270% | 35.208% | 37.478% | 36.772% | 24.176% | 1.487% | 0.086% | 0.001% | 0.001% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.520% | 18.514% | 19.034% | 29.474% | 46.660% | 4.361% | 0.456% | 0.015% | 0.015% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.134% | 0.134% | 0.869% | 5.521% | 61.204% | 25.991% | 6.281% | 5.499% | 0.782% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.012% | 0.012% | 0.148% | 1.467% | 26.983% | 52.466% | 18.924% | 15.624% | 3.300% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.003% | 0.024% | 2.310% | 10.487% | 87.176% | 40.776% | 46.400% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.002% | 0.054% | 1.964% | 10.379% | 87.601% | 38.083% | 49.518% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.08h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-10 06:34 | 119 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-10 09:39 | 120 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 12:44 | 121 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 15:49 | 122 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-10 18:54 | 123 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-10 21:58 | 124 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-11 01:03 | 125 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-11 04:08 | 126 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-11 07:13 | 127 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-11 10:18 | 128 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-11 13:23 | 129 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 16:27 | 130 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 19:32 | 131 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-11 22:37 | 132 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-12 01:42 | 133 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-12 04:47 | 134 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-12 07:52 | 135 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-12 10:57 | 136 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-12 14:01 | 137 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 17:06 | 138 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 20:11 | 139 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 23:16 | 140 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 02:21 | 141 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 05:26 | 142 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 08:30 | 143 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-13 11:35 | 144 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-13 14:40 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 17:45 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-13 20:50 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 23:55 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 02:59 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 06:04 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 09:09 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 12:14 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 15:19 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 18:24 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 21:28 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 00:33 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 03:38 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 06:43 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 09:48 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 12:53 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 15:58 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 19:02 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 22:07 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-16 01:12 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-16 04:17 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 07:22 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 10:27 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 13:31 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |