For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 20.5 | 28.79 | 1.64 | 1.06 | 95 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Komodo 2227.00 | 17.0 | 24.20 | 1.67 | 2.77 | 3 | 42 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 17.0 | 24.06 | 1.58 | 2.85 | 2 | 37 | 37 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Houdini 6.03 | 16.0 | 23.06 | 1.54 | 3.41 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 14.0 | 19.37 | 1.50 | 5.18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 72 | 17 | 4 |
| 6 | Fire 7.1 | 12.0 | 17.34 | 1.50 | 6.23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 52 | 24 |
| 7 | Andscacs 095 | 11.0 | 15.87 | 1.58 | 7.10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 41 |
| 8 | Ethereal 11.14 | 10.5 | 15.31 | 1.58 | 7.40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 94.072% | 4.854% | 98.926% | 0.937% | 0.136% | 0.001% | |||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.140% | 41.738% | 44.878% | 31.836% | 21.648% | 1.570% | 0.066% | 0.002% | 0.002% | ||||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 2.250% | 35.351% | 37.601% | 36.646% | 24.233% | 1.466% | 0.048% | 0.006% | 0.006% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.538% | 17.937% | 18.475% | 29.604% | 47.369% | 4.213% | 0.327% | 0.012% | 0.012% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.118% | 0.118% | 0.926% | 5.752% | 65.838% | 20.286% | 7.080% | 6.047% | 1.033% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.045% | 0.748% | 18.873% | 46.385% | 33.947% | 25.220% | 8.727% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.003% | 0.076% | 5.617% | 20.553% | 73.751% | 39.068% | 34.683% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.003% | 0.038% | 2.422% | 12.335% | 85.202% | 29.645% | 55.557% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Houdini 6.03 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 93.271% | 5.559% | 98.830% | 1.059% | 0.110% | 0.001% | |||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 3.508% | 47.056% | 50.564% | 37.723% | 11.168% | 0.535% | 0.010% | ||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.044% | 38.838% | 41.882% | 36.104% | 20.335% | 1.589% | 0.081% | 0.009% | 0.009% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.176% | 8.420% | 8.596% | 24.164% | 60.010% | 6.648% | 0.540% | 0.042% | 0.041% | 0.001% | |||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.001% | 0.125% | 0.126% | 0.897% | 7.190% | 65.296% | 19.551% | 6.940% | 5.866% | 1.074% | |||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.050% | 1.019% | 18.338% | 46.873% | 33.718% | 25.184% | 8.534% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.002% | 0.099% | 5.312% | 20.286% | 74.301% | 39.303% | 34.998% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.001% | 0.069% | 2.281% | 12.659% | 84.990% | 29.597% | 55.393% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Houdini 6.03 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 94.398% | 4.542% | 98.940% | 0.931% | 0.129% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.208% | 42.862% | 46.070% | 30.114% | 22.101% | 1.621% | 0.082% | 0.012% | 0.010% | 0.002% | |||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.915% | 34.622% | 36.537% | 37.755% | 24.331% | 1.336% | 0.039% | 0.002% | 0.002% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.479% | 17.820% | 18.299% | 30.286% | 47.358% | 3.781% | 0.262% | 0.014% | 0.012% | 0.002% | |||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.151% | 0.151% | 0.855% | 5.232% | 66.318% | 20.455% | 6.989% | 5.955% | 1.034% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.003% | 0.003% | 0.055% | 0.729% | 18.983% | 46.541% | 33.689% | 25.016% | 8.673% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.004% | 0.081% | 5.487% | 20.393% | 74.035% | 39.490% | 34.545% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.039% | 2.474% | 12.228% | 85.259% | 29.515% | 55.744% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Houdini 6.03 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 94.800% | 4.289% | 99.089% | 0.755% | 0.156% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.199% | 43.292% | 46.491% | 28.977% | 22.774% | 1.659% | 0.092% | 0.007% | 0.007% | ||||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.048% | 22.713% | 23.761% | 34.485% | 39.049% | 2.597% | 0.104% | 0.004% | 0.004% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.953% | 29.593% | 30.546% | 34.853% | 32.424% | 2.070% | 0.105% | 0.002% | 0.002% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.112% | 0.112% | 0.876% | 4.940% | 66.474% | 20.550% | 7.048% | 6.017% | 1.031% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.049% | 0.553% | 19.362% | 46.587% | 33.448% | 25.077% | 8.371% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.004% | 0.060% | 5.464% | 20.492% | 73.980% | 39.336% | 34.644% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.001% | 0.044% | 2.374% | 12.070% | 85.511% | 29.557% | 55.954% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.08h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-10 09:11 | 120 | Stockfish 181224 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 12:15 | 121 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 15:20 | 122 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-10 18:25 | 123 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-10 21:29 | 124 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-11 00:34 | 125 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-11 03:39 | 126 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-11 06:43 | 127 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-11 09:48 | 128 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-11 12:52 | 129 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 15:57 | 130 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 19:02 | 131 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-11 22:06 | 132 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-12 01:11 | 133 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-12 04:15 | 134 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-12 07:20 | 135 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-12 10:25 | 136 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-12 13:29 | 137 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 16:34 | 138 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 19:38 | 139 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 22:43 | 140 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 01:48 | 141 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 04:52 | 142 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 07:57 | 143 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-13 11:01 | 144 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-13 14:06 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 17:11 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-13 20:15 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 23:20 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 02:24 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 05:29 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 08:34 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 11:38 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 14:43 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 17:47 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 20:52 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 23:57 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 03:01 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 06:06 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 09:10 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 12:15 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 15:20 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 18:24 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 21:29 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-16 00:33 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-16 03:38 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 06:43 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 09:47 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 12:52 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |