For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 20.5 | 28.78 | 1.65 | 1.06 | 95 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Komodo 2227.00 | 17.0 | 24.20 | 1.68 | 2.77 | 3 | 43 | 31 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 17.5 | 24.03 | 1.50 | 2.85 | 2 | 37 | 38 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Houdini 6.03 | 16.5 | 23.09 | 1.48 | 3.41 | 0 | 16 | 29 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 14.0 | 19.37 | 1.50 | 5.18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 73 | 16 | 4 |
| 6 | Fire 7.1 | 12.0 | 17.34 | 1.50 | 6.23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 52 | 24 |
| 7 | Andscacs 095 | 11.0 | 15.87 | 1.58 | 7.11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 40 |
| 8 | Ethereal 11.14 | 10.5 | 15.32 | 1.57 | 7.39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 94.286% | 4.721% | 99.007% | 0.829% | 0.164% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 3.283% | 43.180% | 46.463% | 29.791% | 22.084% | 1.557% | 0.098% | 0.007% | 0.006% | 0.001% | |||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.941% | 34.401% | 36.342% | 37.994% | 24.242% | 1.376% | 0.043% | 0.003% | 0.003% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.490% | 17.574% | 18.064% | 30.441% | 47.331% | 3.896% | 0.258% | 0.010% | 0.010% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.119% | 0.119% | 0.890% | 5.346% | 66.197% | 20.303% | 7.145% | 6.074% | 1.071% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.004% | 0.004% | 0.048% | 0.718% | 18.976% | 46.435% | 33.819% | 25.056% | 8.763% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.005% | 0.080% | 5.596% | 20.431% | 73.887% | 39.413% | 34.474% | ||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.002% | 0.035% | 2.402% | 12.432% | 85.129% | 29.438% | 55.691% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Komodo 2227.00 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 97.939% | 1.828% | 99.767% | 0.212% | 0.021% | ||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 1.246% | 39.804% | 41.050% | 35.343% | 22.297% | 1.268% | 0.042% | ||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.577% | 37.581% | 38.158% | 31.808% | 27.626% | 2.272% | 0.123% | 0.013% | 0.013% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.238% | 20.615% | 20.853% | 31.562% | 43.555% | 3.767% | 0.252% | 0.011% | 0.011% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.168% | 0.168% | 1.006% | 5.647% | 66.051% | 20.218% | 6.910% | 5.871% | 1.039% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.004% | 0.004% | 0.066% | 0.709% | 18.816% | 46.769% | 33.636% | 25.086% | 8.550% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.003% | 0.093% | 5.402% | 20.246% | 74.256% | 39.784% | 34.472% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.052% | 2.424% | 12.350% | 85.174% | 29.235% | 55.939% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Komodo 2227.00 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 94.895% | 4.201% | 99.096% | 0.775% | 0.129% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 2.437% | 46.271% | 48.708% | 30.097% | 19.970% | 1.160% | 0.062% | 0.003% | 0.003% | ||||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 2.185% | 32.521% | 34.706% | 38.675% | 25.273% | 1.299% | 0.044% | 0.003% | 0.003% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.483% | 16.867% | 17.350% | 29.633% | 48.813% | 3.940% | 0.252% | 0.012% | 0.012% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.138% | 0.138% | 0.772% | 5.040% | 66.833% | 20.125% | 7.092% | 6.033% | 1.059% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.044% | 0.663% | 19.034% | 46.329% | 33.928% | 25.366% | 8.562% | ||||||
| 7. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.004% | 0.044% | 2.379% | 12.400% | 85.173% | 29.484% | 55.689% | ||||||||
| 8. | Andscacs 095 | 0.068% | 5.355% | 20.788% | 73.789% | 39.099% | 34.690% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Komodo 2227.00 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 86.563% | 10.718% | 97.281% | 2.288% | 0.430% | 0.001% | |||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 9.308% | 51.229% | 60.537% | 25.505% | 13.382% | 0.564% | 0.012% | ||||||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 3.285% | 25.003% | 28.288% | 42.653% | 27.669% | 1.347% | 0.042% | 0.001% | 0.001% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.844% | 12.969% | 13.813% | 28.829% | 53.123% | 3.981% | 0.246% | 0.008% | 0.008% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.077% | 0.077% | 0.682% | 4.704% | 66.828% | 20.514% | 7.195% | 6.127% | 1.068% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.004% | 0.004% | 0.041% | 0.600% | 19.276% | 46.291% | 33.788% | 25.086% | 8.702% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 0.058% | 5.571% | 20.525% | 73.845% | 39.480% | 34.365% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.001% | 0.034% | 2.432% | 12.370% | 85.163% | 29.298% | 55.865% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.08h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-10 12:48 | 121 | Komodo 2227.00 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-10 15:53 | 122 | Houdini 6.03 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-10 18:57 | 123 | Fire 7.1 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-10 22:02 | 124 | Ethereal 11.14 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-11 01:07 | 125 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-11 04:12 | 126 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-11 07:17 | 127 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-11 10:22 | 128 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-11 13:27 | 129 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 16:32 | 130 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 19:36 | 131 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-11 22:41 | 132 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-12 01:46 | 133 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-12 04:51 | 134 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-12 07:56 | 135 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-12 11:01 | 136 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-12 14:06 | 137 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 17:11 | 138 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 20:15 | 139 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 23:20 | 140 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 02:25 | 141 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 05:30 | 142 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 08:35 | 143 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-13 11:40 | 144 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-13 14:45 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 17:49 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-13 20:54 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 23:59 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 03:04 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 06:09 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 09:14 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 12:19 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 15:24 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 18:28 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 21:33 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 00:38 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 03:43 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 06:48 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 09:53 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 12:58 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 16:03 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 19:07 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 22:12 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-16 01:17 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-16 04:22 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 07:27 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 10:32 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 13:37 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |