For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
21.5 |
29.27 |
1.56 |
1.02 |
98 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
17.5 |
24.03 |
1.51 |
2.78 |
1 |
43 |
34 |
20 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
17.0 |
23.74 |
1.60 |
2.96 |
1 |
36 |
33 |
28 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Houdini 6.03 |
16.5 |
23.08 |
1.47 |
3.34 |
0 |
19 |
31 |
45 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
14.0 |
19.37 |
1.50 |
5.17 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
72 |
16 |
4 |
6 |
Fire 7.1 |
12.0 |
17.34 |
1.50 |
6.23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
52 |
24 |
7 |
Andscacs 095 |
11.0 |
15.86 |
1.58 |
7.11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
19 |
40 |
8 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
10.5 |
15.31 |
1.57 |
7.39 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
32 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
97.869% |
1.885% |
|
99.754% |
|
0.230% |
0.016% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
1.345% |
39.762% |
|
41.107% |
|
35.369% |
22.170% |
1.303% |
0.048% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.557% |
37.668% |
|
38.225% |
|
31.852% |
27.392% |
2.364% |
0.152% |
|
0.015% |
|
0.014% |
0.001% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.229% |
20.492% |
|
20.721% |
|
31.468% |
43.662% |
3.901% |
0.234% |
|
0.014% |
|
0.013% |
0.001% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.186% |
|
0.186% |
|
1.004% |
5.810% |
65.869% |
20.225% |
|
6.906% |
|
5.845% |
1.061% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.064% |
0.792% |
18.839% |
46.799% |
|
33.500% |
|
24.997% |
8.503% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.007% |
0.107% |
5.337% |
20.361% |
|
74.187% |
|
39.306% |
34.881% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.051% |
2.387% |
12.181% |
|
85.375% |
|
29.822% |
55.553% |
Speculate Komodo 2227.00 – KomodoMCTS 2227.00 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
97.775% |
1.939% |
|
99.714% |
|
0.253% |
0.033% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
1.137% |
34.910% |
|
36.047% |
|
37.874% |
25.218% |
0.831% |
0.030% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.872% |
45.335% |
|
46.207% |
|
31.759% |
21.383% |
0.623% |
0.028% |
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.216% |
17.785% |
|
18.001% |
|
29.712% |
49.332% |
2.763% |
0.182% |
|
0.010% |
|
0.009% |
0.001% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.026% |
|
0.026% |
|
0.351% |
3.221% |
62.915% |
23.955% |
|
9.532% |
|
7.892% |
1.640% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.044% |
0.685% |
23.027% |
43.261% |
|
32.979% |
|
24.481% |
8.498% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.005% |
0.074% |
6.731% |
20.209% |
|
72.980% |
|
38.104% |
34.876% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.054% |
3.110% |
12.335% |
|
84.499% |
|
29.514% |
54.985% |
Speculate Komodo 2227.00 – KomodoMCTS 2227.00 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.025% |
1.738% |
|
99.763% |
|
0.217% |
0.020% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
1.317% |
42.407% |
|
43.724% |
|
33.750% |
21.165% |
1.310% |
0.049% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.385% |
33.785% |
|
34.170% |
|
32.897% |
30.460% |
2.317% |
0.144% |
|
0.012% |
|
0.012% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.273% |
21.919% |
|
22.192% |
|
32.034% |
41.528% |
3.995% |
0.242% |
|
0.009% |
|
0.009% |
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.148% |
|
0.148% |
|
1.021% |
5.921% |
68.320% |
18.878% |
|
5.712% |
|
4.961% |
0.751% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.074% |
0.770% |
17.240% |
47.905% |
|
34.008% |
|
25.575% |
8.433% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.082% |
4.816% |
20.550% |
|
74.548% |
|
39.756% |
34.792% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.054% |
2.002% |
12.232% |
|
85.709% |
|
29.685% |
56.024% |
Speculate Komodo 2227.00 – KomodoMCTS 2227.00 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.230% |
1.597% |
|
99.827% |
|
0.160% |
0.013% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
1.341% |
48.497% |
|
49.838% |
|
30.920% |
17.148% |
2.020% |
0.070% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.267% |
24.662% |
|
24.929% |
|
34.503% |
34.307% |
5.898% |
0.352% |
|
0.011% |
|
0.011% |
|
4. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.161% |
24.701% |
|
24.862% |
|
31.756% |
36.575% |
6.327% |
0.441% |
|
0.039% |
|
0.038% |
0.001% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
0.001% |
0.531% |
|
0.532% |
|
2.553% |
10.901% |
68.990% |
13.961% |
|
3.063% |
|
2.725% |
0.338% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.012% |
|
0.012% |
|
0.099% |
0.865% |
12.154% |
52.060% |
|
34.810% |
|
26.216% |
8.594% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.057% |
1.389% |
12.321% |
|
86.228% |
|
30.170% |
56.058% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.134% |
3.222% |
20.795% |
|
75.845% |
|
40.836% |
35.009% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.08h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-10 15:42 |
122 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-10 18:47 |
123 |
Fire 7.1 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-10 21:52 |
124 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 00:57 |
125 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-11 04:02 |
126 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-11 07:06 |
127 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-11 10:11 |
128 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-11 13:16 |
129 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 16:21 |
130 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 19:25 |
131 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-11 22:30 |
132 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 01:35 |
133 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 04:40 |
134 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-12 07:45 |
135 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-12 10:49 |
136 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-12 13:54 |
137 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 16:59 |
138 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-12 20:04 |
139 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 23:09 |
140 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 02:13 |
141 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 05:18 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 08:23 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 11:28 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 14:33 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 17:37 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 20:42 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-13 23:47 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 02:52 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 05:56 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 09:01 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 12:06 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 15:11 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 18:16 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 21:20 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 00:25 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 03:30 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 06:35 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 09:40 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 12:44 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 15:49 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 18:54 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 21:59 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-16 01:03 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-16 04:08 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 07:13 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 10:18 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 13:23 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |