For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 22.0 | 29.19 | 1.47 | 1.01 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Komodo 2227.00 | 18.0 | 24.19 | 1.52 | 2.66 | 1 | 52 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 17.5 | 23.43 | 1.44 | 3.10 | 0 | 26 | 38 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Houdini 6.03 | 17.0 | 23.14 | 1.40 | 3.27 | 0 | 21 | 33 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 14.5 | 18.87 | 1.36 | 5.39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 62 | 28 | 6 |
| 6 | Fire 7.1 | 13.0 | 17.89 | 1.43 | 5.94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 49 | 17 |
| 7 | Andscacs 095 | 12.0 | 16.03 | 1.41 | 7.11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 49 |
| 8 | Ethereal 11.14 | 11.0 | 15.27 | 1.49 | 7.52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 98.492% | 1.366% | 99.858% | 0.131% | 0.011% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.860% | 51.520% | 52.380% | 28.075% | 18.958% | 0.554% | 0.032% | 0.001% | 0.001% | ||||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.535% | 25.340% | 25.875% | 38.340% | 34.338% | 1.369% | 0.075% | 0.003% | 0.003% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.113% | 21.740% | 21.853% | 33.032% | 42.706% | 2.203% | 0.201% | 0.005% | 0.005% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.029% | 0.029% | 0.320% | 2.648% | 55.988% | 30.571% | 10.444% | 8.815% | 1.629% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.005% | 0.005% | 0.095% | 1.266% | 32.925% | 43.321% | 22.388% | 17.641% | 4.747% | ||||||
| 7. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.005% | 0.033% | 2.043% | 8.246% | 89.673% | 26.991% | 62.682% | ||||||||
| 8. | Andscacs 095 | 0.002% | 0.040% | 4.918% | 17.554% | 77.486% | 46.544% | 30.942% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Ethereal 11.14 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 98.316% | 1.503% | 99.819% | 0.163% | 0.018% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.820% | 47.760% | 48.580% | 29.210% | 21.592% | 0.586% | 0.030% | 0.002% | 0.002% | ||||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.742% | 31.099% | 31.841% | 39.116% | 28.322% | 0.704% | 0.017% | ||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.122% | 19.613% | 19.735% | 31.177% | 46.632% | 2.244% | 0.204% | 0.008% | 0.008% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.013% | 0.013% | 0.272% | 2.277% | 57.052% | 31.230% | 9.156% | 8.030% | 1.126% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.012% | 0.012% | 0.061% | 1.122% | 33.466% | 44.994% | 20.345% | 16.903% | 3.442% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 0.030% | 4.965% | 18.086% | 76.918% | 51.458% | 25.460% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.007% | 0.983% | 5.439% | 93.571% | 23.599% | 69.972% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Ethereal 11.14 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 98.749% | 1.133% | 99.882% | 0.108% | 0.010% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.801% | 53.741% | 54.542% | 26.974% | 17.894% | 0.545% | 0.043% | 0.002% | 0.002% | ||||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.337% | 22.069% | 22.406% | 38.606% | 37.353% | 1.552% | 0.083% | ||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.113% | 23.024% | 23.137% | 33.811% | 40.668% | 2.208% | 0.167% | 0.009% | 0.009% | ||||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.023% | 0.023% | 0.378% | 2.765% | 55.378% | 30.501% | 10.955% | 9.072% | 1.883% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.010% | 0.010% | 0.121% | 1.240% | 33.115% | 42.521% | 22.993% | 17.820% | 5.173% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 0.045% | 4.994% | 17.400% | 77.560% | 44.346% | 33.214% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.001% | 0.025% | 2.208% | 9.285% | 88.481% | 28.751% | 59.730% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Ethereal 11.14 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 98.903% | 1.010% | 99.913% | 0.082% | 0.005% | ||||||||||
| 2. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.807% | 57.759% | 58.566% | 26.345% | 14.510% | 0.539% | 0.036% | 0.004% | 0.003% | 0.001% | |||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.166% | 15.826% | 15.992% | 35.207% | 45.776% | 2.811% | 0.198% | 0.016% | 0.016% | ||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.124% | 25.347% | 25.471% | 37.718% | 34.495% | 2.099% | 0.205% | 0.012% | 0.011% | 0.001% | |||||
| 5. | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | 0.043% | 0.043% | 0.472% | 3.555% | 53.394% | 29.533% | 13.003% | 10.263% | 2.740% | ||||||
| 6. | Fire 7.1 | 0.015% | 0.015% | 0.171% | 1.514% | 31.719% | 39.586% | 26.995% | 19.379% | 7.616% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.003% | 0.056% | 4.917% | 15.938% | 79.086% | 36.778% | 42.308% | ||||||||
| 8. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.002% | 0.089% | 4.521% | 14.504% | 80.884% | 33.550% | 47.334% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.07h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-11 06:04 | 127 | Stockfish 181224 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-11 09:08 | 128 | Komodo 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-11 12:12 | 129 | Houdini 6.03 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 15:17 | 130 | Fire 7.1 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-11 18:21 | 131 | Ethereal 11.14 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-11 21:25 | 132 | Andscacs 095 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-12 00:30 | 133 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-12 03:34 | 134 | Stockfish 181224 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-12 06:38 | 135 | Komodo 2227.00 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-12 09:42 | 136 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-12 12:47 | 137 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 15:51 | 138 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 18:55 | 139 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 22:00 | 140 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 01:04 | 141 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 04:08 | 142 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 07:12 | 143 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-13 10:17 | 144 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-13 13:21 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 16:25 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-13 19:30 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 22:34 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 01:38 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 04:43 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 07:47 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 10:51 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 13:55 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 17:00 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 20:04 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 23:08 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 02:13 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 05:17 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 08:21 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 11:25 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 14:30 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 17:34 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 20:38 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 23:43 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-16 02:47 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 05:51 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 08:55 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 12:00 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |