For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
22.5 |
28.92 |
1.40 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
18.5 |
24.11 |
1.43 |
2.71 |
1 |
49 |
29 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Houdini 6.03 |
18.5 |
23.56 |
1.27 |
3.05 |
0 |
28 |
38 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
18.0 |
23.27 |
1.37 |
3.24 |
0 |
22 |
32 |
45 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
14.5 |
18.48 |
1.29 |
5.57 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
52 |
36 |
9 |
6 |
Fire 7.1 |
13.5 |
18.15 |
1.37 |
5.77 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
40 |
43 |
13 |
7 |
Andscacs 095 |
12.0 |
16.03 |
1.41 |
7.16 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
14 |
46 |
8 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
11.5 |
15.47 |
1.41 |
7.47 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
32 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.659% |
1.216% |
|
99.875% |
|
0.116% |
0.009% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.722% |
48.248% |
|
48.970% |
|
29.759% |
20.872% |
0.384% |
0.015% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.439% |
21.551% |
|
21.990% |
|
32.886% |
43.998% |
1.049% |
0.075% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.180% |
28.969% |
|
29.149% |
|
37.088% |
33.045% |
0.689% |
0.029% |
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.013% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.097% |
1.071% |
43.226% |
37.494% |
|
18.099% |
|
14.326% |
3.773% |
6. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.052% |
0.958% |
46.609% |
36.906% |
|
15.472% |
|
12.662% |
2.810% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.032% |
5.620% |
16.366% |
|
77.980% |
|
44.217% |
33.763% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.015% |
2.423% |
9.115% |
|
88.447% |
|
28.793% |
59.654% |
Speculate Fire 7.1 – Komodo 2227.00 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.144% |
0.765% |
|
99.909% |
|
0.083% |
0.008% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.428% |
27.442% |
|
27.870% |
|
32.024% |
38.596% |
1.428% |
0.079% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.220% |
35.741% |
|
35.961% |
|
32.841% |
30.229% |
0.922% |
0.045% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.208% |
36.008% |
|
36.216% |
|
34.697% |
28.007% |
1.034% |
0.045% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.037% |
|
0.037% |
|
0.270% |
2.093% |
53.515% |
33.285% |
|
10.800% |
|
9.221% |
1.579% |
6. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.081% |
1.005% |
37.037% |
44.474% |
|
17.396% |
|
14.275% |
3.121% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.047% |
4.293% |
14.301% |
|
81.356% |
|
46.852% |
34.504% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.015% |
1.771% |
7.771% |
|
90.442% |
|
29.646% |
60.796% |
Speculate Fire 7.1 – Komodo 2227.00 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.820% |
1.044% |
|
99.864% |
|
0.125% |
0.011% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.570% |
46.839% |
|
47.409% |
|
31.098% |
21.285% |
0.203% |
0.005% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.428% |
22.260% |
|
22.688% |
|
32.752% |
43.451% |
1.047% |
0.060% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.182% |
29.848% |
|
30.030% |
|
35.907% |
33.461% |
0.581% |
0.020% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.061% |
0.775% |
43.871% |
37.890% |
|
17.398% |
|
14.080% |
3.318% |
6. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.054% |
0.987% |
46.171% |
36.966% |
|
15.818% |
|
12.863% |
2.955% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.020% |
5.670% |
16.197% |
|
78.110% |
|
44.592% |
33.518% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
2.457% |
8.862% |
|
88.671% |
|
28.462% |
60.209% |
Speculate Fire 7.1 – Komodo 2227.00 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.169% |
1.625% |
|
99.794% |
|
0.184% |
0.022% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
1.249% |
59.314% |
|
60.563% |
|
26.586% |
12.793% |
0.058% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.412% |
16.526% |
|
16.938% |
|
33.698% |
48.495% |
0.842% |
0.026% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.170% |
22.534% |
|
22.704% |
|
39.464% |
37.409% |
0.410% |
0.013% |
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.049% |
0.902% |
54.376% |
30.677% |
|
13.995% |
|
11.337% |
2.658% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.018% |
0.346% |
33.957% |
40.536% |
|
25.143% |
|
19.259% |
5.884% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.022% |
7.090% |
18.531% |
|
74.356% |
|
41.347% |
33.009% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.011% |
3.267% |
10.217% |
|
86.505% |
|
28.056% |
58.449% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.06h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-11 17:21 |
131 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-11 20:25 |
132 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-11 23:29 |
133 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 02:32 |
134 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-12 05:36 |
135 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-12 08:40 |
136 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-12 11:44 |
137 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 14:48 |
138 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-12 17:52 |
139 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 20:55 |
140 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-12 23:59 |
141 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 03:03 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 06:07 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 09:11 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 12:15 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 15:18 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 18:22 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-13 21:26 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 00:30 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 03:34 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 06:38 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 09:41 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 12:45 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 15:49 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 18:53 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 21:57 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 01:01 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 04:04 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 07:08 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 10:12 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 13:16 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 16:20 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 19:24 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 22:27 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-16 01:31 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 04:35 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 07:39 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 10:43 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |