For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 20.5 | 28.95 | 1.61 | 1.02 | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Houdini 6.03 | 15.0 | 23.13 | 1.59 | 3.10 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | Komodo 2227.00 | 15.0 | 23.10 | 1.75 | 3.13 | 1 | 33 | 29 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 16.0 | 23.02 | 1.57 | 3.16 | 0 | 29 | 32 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | Fire 7.1 | 12.5 | 18.80 | 1.57 | 5.64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 37 | 12 |
| 6 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 0.0 | 18.37 | 3.00 | 5.83 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 16 |
| 7 | Ethereal 11.14 | 10.5 | 16.52 | 1.73 | 6.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 38 |
| 8 | Andscacs 095 | 10.5 | 16.12 | 1.67 | 7.18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 34 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.671% | 0.317% | 99.988% | 0.011% | 0.001% | |||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.229% | 31.971% | 32.200% | 34.250% | 32.735% | 0.813% | 0.002% | |||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.054% | 34.472% | 34.526% | 31.900% | 32.385% | 1.111% | 0.076% | 0.002% | 0.002% | |||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.046% | 33.177% | 33.223% | 33.395% | 31.232% | 2.092% | 0.056% | 0.002% | 0.002% | |||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.062% | 0.062% | 0.423% | 3.272% | 75.525% | 16.914% | 3.804% | 3.804% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.020% | 0.288% | 11.157% | 42.841% | 45.693% | 45.693% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 0.087% | 9.302% | 40.111% | 50.499% | 50.499% |
Speculate Komodo 2227.00 – Ethereal 11.14 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.622% | 0.363% | 99.985% | 0.015% | ||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.228% | 28.343% | 28.571% | 34.269% | 36.333% | 0.826% | 0.001% | |||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.101% | 41.886% | 41.987% | 32.001% | 25.599% | 0.408% | 0.005% | |||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.049% | 29.383% | 29.432% | 33.366% | 35.031% | 2.131% | 0.040% | |||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.025% | 0.025% | 0.349% | 2.962% | 79.861% | 14.078% | 2.725% | 2.725% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.046% | 7.213% | 39.233% | 53.508% | 53.508% | |||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.029% | 9.561% | 46.643% | 43.767% | 43.767% |
Speculate Komodo 2227.00 – Ethereal 11.14 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.732% | 0.259% | 99.991% | 0.008% | 0.001% | |||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.206% | 34.883% | 35.089% | 33.598% | 30.442% | 0.865% | 0.006% | |||||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.040% | 35.137% | 35.177% | 33.305% | 29.443% | 1.990% | 0.085% | |||||||
| 4. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.022% | 29.652% | 29.674% | 32.547% | 36.564% | 1.173% | 0.042% | |||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.069% | 0.069% | 0.530% | 3.272% | 74.998% | 17.143% | 3.988% | 3.988% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.011% | 0.198% | 12.061% | 46.408% | 41.322% | 41.322% | ||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 0.080% | 8.913% | 36.316% | 54.690% | 54.690% |
Speculate Komodo 2227.00 – Ethereal 11.14 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.708% | 0.280% | 99.988% | 0.012% | ||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.240% | 39.519% | 39.759% | 34.714% | 24.689% | 0.818% | 0.020% | |||||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.042% | 39.123% | 39.165% | 34.681% | 23.882% | 2.092% | 0.178% | 0.002% | 0.002% | |||||
| 4. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.010% | 20.970% | 20.980% | 29.834% | 45.881% | 2.974% | 0.296% | 0.035% | 0.035% | |||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.097% | 0.097% | 0.653% | 4.286% | 66.107% | 23.029% | 5.828% | 5.828% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.011% | 0.011% | 0.102% | 1.081% | 20.406% | 49.333% | 29.067% | 29.067% | ||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.004% | 0.181% | 7.603% | 27.144% | 65.068% | 65.068% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.05h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-12 06:13 | 136 | Houdini 6.03 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-12 09:16 | 137 | Fire 7.1 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 12:19 | 138 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 15:21 | 139 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 18:24 | 140 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-12 21:27 | 141 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 00:29 | 142 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 03:32 | 143 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-13 06:35 | 144 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-13 09:38 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 12:40 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-13 15:43 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 18:46 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 21:49 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 00:51 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 03:54 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 06:57 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 10:00 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 13:02 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 16:05 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 19:08 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 22:11 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 01:13 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 04:16 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 07:19 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 10:22 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 13:24 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 16:27 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 19:30 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 22:33 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 01:35 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 04:38 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 07:41 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |