For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 20.5 | 28.96 | 1.61 | 1.02 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 16.0 | 23.01 | 1.57 | 3.10 | 1 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | Houdini 6.03 | 15.5 | 22.99 | 1.53 | 3.11 | 0 | 32 | 32 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | Komodo 2227.00 | 15.5 | 22.89 | 1.66 | 3.19 | 0 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | Fire 7.1 | 13.0 | 18.92 | 1.52 | 5.60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 43 | 36 | 12 |
| 6 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 0.0 | 18.33 | 3.01 | 5.87 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 16 |
| 7 | Ethereal 11.14 | 11.0 | 16.75 | 1.66 | 6.89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 39 |
| 8 | Andscacs 095 | 10.5 | 16.14 | 1.67 | 7.22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.765% | 0.228% | 99.993% | 0.006% | 0.001% | |||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.203% | 36.341% | 36.544% | 33.179% | 29.535% | 0.742% | ||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.017% | 31.526% | 31.543% | 32.337% | 34.950% | 1.137% | 0.033% | |||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.015% | 31.879% | 31.894% | 34.171% | 32.427% | 1.446% | 0.062% | |||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.026% | 0.026% | 0.296% | 2.800% | 78.054% | 15.865% | 2.959% | 2.959% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.010% | 0.215% | 10.962% | 47.027% | 41.786% | 41.786% | ||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 0.072% | 7.659% | 37.013% | 55.255% | 55.255% |
Speculate Fire 7.1 – KomodoMCTS 2227.00 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.740% | 0.248% | 99.988% | 0.011% | 0.001% | |||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.216% | 36.274% | 36.490% | 33.153% | 29.576% | 0.779% | 0.002% | |||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.025% | 31.349% | 31.374% | 32.222% | 35.065% | 1.284% | 0.055% | |||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.019% | 32.103% | 32.122% | 34.267% | 32.100% | 1.465% | 0.046% | |||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.026% | 0.026% | 0.335% | 2.960% | 78.269% | 15.614% | 2.796% | 2.796% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.009% | 0.223% | 10.790% | 47.158% | 41.820% | 41.820% | ||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.003% | 0.075% | 7.413% | 37.125% | 55.384% | 55.384% |
Speculate Fire 7.1 – KomodoMCTS 2227.00 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.760% | 0.235% | 99.995% | 0.005% | ||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.207% | 36.565% | 36.772% | 33.045% | 29.461% | 0.721% | 0.001% | |||||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.018% | 31.573% | 31.591% | 34.503% | 32.375% | 1.481% | 0.049% | 0.001% | 0.001% | |||||
| 4. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.015% | 31.603% | 31.618% | 32.125% | 35.053% | 1.157% | 0.047% | |||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.024% | 0.024% | 0.302% | 2.823% | 77.891% | 15.962% | 2.998% | 2.998% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.019% | 0.218% | 11.134% | 46.794% | 41.835% | 41.835% | ||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 0.070% | 7.616% | 37.147% | 55.166% | 55.166% |
Speculate Fire 7.1 – KomodoMCTS 2227.00 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.730% | 0.264% | 99.994% | 0.006% | ||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.227% | 36.862% | 37.089% | 32.984% | 29.241% | 0.686% | ||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.022% | 31.340% | 31.362% | 32.187% | 35.214% | 1.188% | 0.047% | 0.002% | 0.002% | |||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.021% | 31.513% | 31.534% | 34.510% | 32.479% | 1.424% | 0.053% | |||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.021% | 0.021% | 0.301% | 2.719% | 77.491% | 16.373% | 3.095% | 3.095% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.010% | 0.253% | 11.362% | 46.403% | 41.972% | 41.972% | ||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.002% | 0.094% | 7.849% | 37.124% | 54.931% | 54.931% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.05h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-12 12:51 | 138 | Ethereal 11.14 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-12 15:54 | 139 | Andscacs 095 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-12 18:57 | 140 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-12 22:00 | 141 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 01:03 | 142 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 04:06 | 143 | Andscacs 095 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-13 07:09 | 144 | Ethereal 11.14 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-13 10:12 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 13:15 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-13 16:18 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 19:21 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 22:24 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 01:27 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 04:30 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 07:33 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 10:36 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 13:39 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 16:42 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 19:45 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 22:48 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 01:51 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 04:54 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 07:57 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 11:00 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 14:03 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 17:06 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 20:09 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 23:12 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 02:15 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 05:18 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 08:21 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |