For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
21.0 |
28.86 |
1.52 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
16.5 |
23.08 |
1.51 |
3.02 |
0 |
36 |
31 |
26 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Houdini 6.03 |
16.0 |
22.89 |
1.47 |
3.14 |
0 |
30 |
33 |
29 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
16.0 |
22.78 |
1.58 |
3.24 |
0 |
28 |
30 |
32 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
Fire 7.1 |
13.0 |
18.91 |
1.52 |
5.63 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
43 |
36 |
12 |
6 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
0.0 |
18.38 |
3.00 |
5.86 |
0 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
25 |
22 |
16 |
7 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
11.5 |
16.86 |
1.57 |
6.88 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
24 |
39 |
8 |
Andscacs 095 |
11.0 |
16.25 |
1.59 |
7.22 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
16 |
33 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.963% |
0.037% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.026% |
40.650% |
|
40.676% |
|
32.494% |
26.268% |
0.561% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.007% |
29.775% |
|
29.782% |
|
35.012% |
33.780% |
1.417% |
0.009% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.004% |
29.512% |
|
29.516% |
|
32.197% |
37.255% |
1.023% |
0.009% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.026% |
|
0.026% |
|
0.296% |
2.603% |
78.338% |
15.551% |
|
3.186% |
|
3.186% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.080% |
10.894% |
47.783% |
|
41.242% |
|
41.242% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.014% |
7.767% |
36.647% |
|
55.572% |
|
55.572% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Stockfish 181224 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.974% |
0.026% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.020% |
41.112% |
|
41.132% |
|
32.220% |
26.096% |
0.552% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.003% |
29.939% |
|
29.942% |
|
34.922% |
33.703% |
1.420% |
0.013% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.003% |
28.896% |
|
28.899% |
|
32.567% |
37.414% |
1.106% |
0.014% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.027% |
|
0.027% |
|
0.291% |
2.683% |
78.296% |
15.440% |
|
3.263% |
|
3.263% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.084% |
10.947% |
47.599% |
|
41.370% |
|
41.370% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.020% |
7.679% |
36.934% |
|
55.367% |
|
55.367% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Stockfish 181224 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.958% |
0.042% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.033% |
40.861% |
|
40.894% |
|
32.324% |
26.221% |
0.561% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.007% |
29.783% |
|
29.790% |
|
35.087% |
33.699% |
1.410% |
0.014% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.002% |
29.274% |
|
29.276% |
|
32.282% |
37.377% |
1.050% |
0.015% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.039% |
|
0.039% |
|
0.306% |
2.583% |
78.537% |
15.345% |
|
3.190% |
|
3.190% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
0.101% |
10.785% |
47.932% |
|
41.180% |
|
41.180% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.019% |
7.657% |
36.694% |
|
55.630% |
|
55.630% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Stockfish 181224 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.965% |
0.035% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.027% |
40.475% |
|
40.502% |
|
32.680% |
26.261% |
0.556% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.005% |
29.995% |
|
30.000% |
|
34.660% |
33.906% |
1.415% |
0.019% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.003% |
29.473% |
|
29.476% |
|
32.370% |
37.107% |
1.032% |
0.014% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.022% |
|
0.022% |
|
0.288% |
2.605% |
78.628% |
15.275% |
|
3.182% |
|
3.182% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.096% |
10.691% |
48.015% |
|
41.196% |
|
41.196% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.025% |
7.678% |
36.676% |
|
55.621% |
|
55.621% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.05h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-13 01:09 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 04:12 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 07:15 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 10:18 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 13:21 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 16:25 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-13 19:28 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 22:31 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 01:34 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 04:37 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 07:40 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 10:43 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 13:46 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 16:49 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 19:52 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 22:55 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 01:58 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 05:01 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 08:04 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 11:07 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 14:10 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 17:13 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 20:16 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 23:19 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 02:22 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 05:25 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 08:28 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |