For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
21.0 |
28.82 |
1.53 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
16.5 |
23.08 |
1.51 |
3.03 |
0 |
36 |
31 |
26 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Houdini 6.03 |
16.0 |
22.89 |
1.47 |
3.14 |
0 |
30 |
33 |
29 |
7 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
16.0 |
22.76 |
1.58 |
3.25 |
0 |
28 |
30 |
32 |
9 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
Fire 7.1 |
13.0 |
18.91 |
1.52 |
5.64 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
42 |
37 |
12 |
6 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
0.0 |
18.47 |
3.00 |
5.82 |
0 |
4 |
5 |
8 |
25 |
22 |
16 |
7 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
11.5 |
16.86 |
1.57 |
6.88 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
24 |
39 |
8 |
Andscacs 095 |
11.0 |
16.23 |
1.59 |
7.23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
15 |
33 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.977% |
0.023% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.019% |
40.723% |
|
40.742% |
|
32.486% |
26.220% |
0.552% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.003% |
29.522% |
|
29.525% |
|
32.140% |
37.272% |
1.049% |
0.014% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.001% |
29.706% |
|
29.707% |
|
35.088% |
33.747% |
1.439% |
0.019% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.026% |
|
0.026% |
|
0.285% |
2.635% |
78.640% |
15.272% |
|
3.142% |
|
3.142% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.110% |
10.750% |
48.087% |
|
41.052% |
|
41.052% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.016% |
7.570% |
36.608% |
|
55.806% |
|
55.806% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Komodo 2227.00 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.950% |
0.050% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.047% |
63.684% |
|
63.731% |
|
28.756% |
7.453% |
0.060% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.003% |
27.938% |
|
27.941% |
|
39.512% |
31.227% |
1.308% |
0.012% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
|
8.300% |
|
8.300% |
|
31.375% |
58.276% |
2.020% |
0.029% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.028% |
|
0.028% |
|
0.355% |
2.856% |
78.340% |
15.297% |
|
3.124% |
|
3.124% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.151% |
10.818% |
47.974% |
|
41.056% |
|
41.056% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.037% |
7.454% |
36.688% |
|
55.820% |
|
55.820% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Komodo 2227.00 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.980% |
0.019% |
|
99.999% |
|
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.010% |
37.296% |
|
37.306% |
|
34.903% |
27.326% |
0.465% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.006% |
32.317% |
|
32.323% |
|
30.729% |
35.450% |
1.481% |
0.017% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.004% |
30.330% |
|
30.334% |
|
34.091% |
34.869% |
0.704% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.038% |
|
0.038% |
|
0.273% |
2.269% |
78.945% |
15.284% |
|
3.191% |
|
3.191% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.078% |
10.802% |
47.771% |
|
41.346% |
|
41.346% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.008% |
7.603% |
36.926% |
|
55.463% |
|
55.463% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Komodo 2227.00 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.983% |
0.017% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.012% |
53.203% |
|
53.215% |
|
31.650% |
14.969% |
0.166% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.004% |
30.231% |
|
30.235% |
|
32.504% |
35.731% |
1.514% |
0.016% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.001% |
16.526% |
|
16.527% |
|
35.607% |
46.749% |
1.116% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.023% |
|
0.023% |
|
0.238% |
2.495% |
78.694% |
15.326% |
|
3.224% |
|
3.224% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.055% |
10.824% |
47.840% |
|
41.280% |
|
41.280% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
7.686% |
36.817% |
|
55.496% |
|
55.496% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.05h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-13 04:27 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 07:30 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 10:33 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 13:36 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 16:40 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-13 19:43 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 22:46 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 01:49 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 04:52 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 07:55 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 10:58 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 14:02 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 17:05 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 20:08 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 23:11 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 02:14 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 05:17 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 08:20 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 11:23 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 14:27 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 17:30 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 20:33 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 23:36 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 02:39 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 05:42 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 08:45 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |