For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
21.0 |
28.80 |
1.53 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
17.0 |
23.06 |
1.44 |
3.03 |
0 |
35 |
33 |
26 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Houdini 6.03 |
16.0 |
22.88 |
1.46 |
3.15 |
0 |
31 |
30 |
31 |
7 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
16.5 |
22.80 |
1.49 |
3.22 |
0 |
28 |
32 |
31 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
Fire 7.1 |
13.0 |
18.91 |
1.51 |
5.64 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
43 |
37 |
12 |
6 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
0.0 |
18.46 |
2.99 |
5.83 |
0 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
25 |
22 |
16 |
7 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
11.5 |
16.85 |
1.57 |
6.89 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
24 |
39 |
8 |
Andscacs 095 |
11.0 |
16.23 |
1.59 |
7.23 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
15 |
33 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.991% |
0.009% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.006% |
37.475% |
|
37.481% |
|
34.425% |
27.621% |
0.473% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.003% |
32.573% |
|
32.576% |
|
30.947% |
34.929% |
1.536% |
0.012% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
|
29.914% |
|
29.914% |
|
34.347% |
35.035% |
0.702% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.029% |
|
0.029% |
|
0.281% |
2.339% |
79.024% |
15.182% |
|
3.145% |
|
3.145% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.067% |
10.831% |
48.078% |
|
41.024% |
|
41.024% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
7.434% |
36.726% |
|
55.831% |
|
55.831% |
Speculate Andscacs 095 – Houdini 6.03 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.991% |
0.009% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.008% |
43.618% |
|
43.626% |
|
35.457% |
20.517% |
0.398% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.001% |
36.640% |
|
36.641% |
|
35.093% |
27.617% |
0.642% |
0.007% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
|
19.684% |
|
19.684% |
|
29.069% |
48.128% |
3.090% |
0.029% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.049% |
|
0.049% |
|
0.376% |
3.543% |
72.043% |
18.891% |
|
5.098% |
|
5.098% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.161% |
9.678% |
34.675% |
|
55.482% |
|
55.482% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.034% |
14.149% |
46.396% |
|
39.420% |
|
39.420% |
Speculate Andscacs 095 – Houdini 6.03 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.990% |
0.010% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.007% |
38.511% |
|
38.518% |
|
34.168% |
26.825% |
0.489% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.003% |
32.000% |
|
32.003% |
|
33.963% |
33.368% |
0.664% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
|
29.445% |
|
29.445% |
|
31.595% |
37.543% |
1.404% |
0.013% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.034% |
|
0.034% |
|
0.273% |
2.194% |
78.851% |
15.276% |
|
3.372% |
|
3.372% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.067% |
10.876% |
45.696% |
|
43.360% |
|
43.360% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
7.716% |
39.013% |
|
53.268% |
|
53.268% |
Speculate Andscacs 095 – Houdini 6.03 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.988% |
0.012% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.007% |
41.938% |
|
41.945% |
|
31.593% |
26.000% |
0.461% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.004% |
32.868% |
|
32.872% |
|
34.355% |
32.262% |
0.511% |
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.001% |
25.172% |
|
25.173% |
|
33.860% |
40.267% |
0.698% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.010% |
|
0.010% |
|
0.191% |
1.444% |
83.207% |
13.157% |
|
1.991% |
|
1.991% |
6. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.027% |
11.463% |
57.477% |
|
31.032% |
|
31.032% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.660% |
29.363% |
|
66.977% |
|
66.977% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.04h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-13 05:57 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 08:59 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 12:02 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 15:04 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-13 18:07 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 21:09 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 00:12 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 03:14 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 06:17 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 09:19 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 12:22 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 15:24 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 18:26 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 21:29 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 00:31 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 03:34 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 06:36 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 09:39 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 12:41 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 15:44 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 18:46 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 21:49 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 00:51 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 03:54 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 06:56 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |