For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 21.0 | 28.80 | 1.53 | 1.01 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 17.0 | 23.05 | 1.44 | 3.01 | 0 | 36 | 33 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | Komodo 2227.00 | 16.5 | 22.80 | 1.49 | 3.19 | 0 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | Houdini 6.03 | 16.5 | 22.79 | 1.41 | 3.19 | 0 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | Fire 7.1 | 13.0 | 18.91 | 1.51 | 5.64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 36 | 12 |
| 6 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 0.0 | 18.44 | 2.99 | 5.85 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 15 |
| 7 | Ethereal 11.14 | 11.5 | 16.86 | 1.57 | 6.90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 23 | 38 |
| 8 | Andscacs 095 | 11.5 | 16.35 | 1.51 | 7.20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 34 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.985% | 0.015% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.013% | 39.008% | 39.021% | 33.937% | 26.585% | 0.457% | ||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.001% | 31.741% | 31.742% | 33.854% | 33.729% | 0.669% | 0.006% | |||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.001% | 29.202% | 29.203% | 31.923% | 37.462% | 1.407% | 0.005% | |||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.034% | 0.034% | 0.286% | 2.168% | 78.812% | 15.322% | 3.378% | 3.378% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.055% | 10.981% | 45.545% | 43.419% | 43.419% | |||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 7.674% | 39.122% | 53.203% | 53.203% |
Speculate Ethereal 11.14 – Fire 7.1 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.990% | 0.010% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.007% | 38.982% | 38.989% | 34.065% | 26.846% | 0.099% | 0.001% | |||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.002% | 32.019% | 32.021% | 33.931% | 33.832% | 0.209% | 0.007% | |||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 0.001% | 28.989% | 28.990% | 31.976% | 38.549% | 0.467% | 0.018% | |||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.027% | 0.612% | 63.832% | 27.699% | 7.830% | 7.830% | ||||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.001% | 0.161% | 24.596% | 47.350% | 27.892% | 27.892% | ||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 10.797% | 24.925% | 64.278% | 64.278% |
Speculate Ethereal 11.14 – Fire 7.1 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.996% | 0.004% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.003% | 38.968% | 38.971% | 34.078% | 26.693% | 0.258% | ||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.001% | 31.593% | 31.594% | 33.973% | 33.901% | 0.529% | 0.003% | |||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 29.426% | 29.426% | 31.794% | 37.739% | 1.036% | 0.005% | ||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.009% | 0.009% | 0.155% | 1.643% | 84.245% | 12.186% | 1.762% | 1.762% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.023% | 5.950% | 50.475% | 43.552% | 43.552% | |||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 7.982% | 37.331% | 54.686% | 54.686% |
Speculate Ethereal 11.14 – Fire 7.1 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.994% | 0.006% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.005% | 38.566% | 38.571% | 34.095% | 26.270% | 1.064% | ||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 0.001% | 31.838% | 31.839% | 33.614% | 33.202% | 1.344% | 0.001% | |||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 29.507% | 29.507% | 31.659% | 36.312% | 2.520% | 0.002% | ||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.083% | 0.083% | 0.632% | 4.214% | 89.692% | 5.192% | 0.187% | 0.187% | ||||||
| 6. | Andscacs 095 | 0.001% | 4.482% | 53.651% | 41.866% | 41.866% | |||||||||
| 7. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.001% | 0.898% | 41.154% | 57.947% | 57.947% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.04h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-13 08:57 | 145 | Ethereal 11.14 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 12:00 | 146 | Fire 7.1 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-13 15:02 | 147 | Houdini 6.03 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-13 18:05 | 148 | Komodo 2227.00 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-13 21:07 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 00:10 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 03:12 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 06:15 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 09:17 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 12:20 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 15:22 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 18:24 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 21:27 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 00:29 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 03:32 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 06:34 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 09:37 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 12:39 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 15:42 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 18:44 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 21:47 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 00:49 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 03:52 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 06:54 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |