For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 21.0 | 28.80 | 1.53 | 1.01 | 99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 17.5 | 23.12 | 1.36 | 2.94 | 0 | 38 | 34 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Komodo 2227.00 | 16.5 | 22.81 | 1.48 | 3.19 | 0 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | Houdini 6.03 | 17.0 | 22.72 | 1.34 | 3.24 | 0 | 26 | 32 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | Fire 7.1 | 14.0 | 18.79 | 1.37 | 5.65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 39 | 12 |
| 6 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 0.0 | 18.45 | 2.99 | 5.84 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 15 |
| 7 | Ethereal 11.14 | 12.0 | 16.85 | 1.49 | 6.94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 38 |
| 8 | Andscacs 095 | 12.0 | 16.46 | 1.42 | 7.18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.999% | 0.001% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.001% | 45.042% | 45.043% | 36.848% | 18.045% | 0.064% | ||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 34.146% | 34.146% | 29.424% | 36.145% | 0.282% | 0.003% | ||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 20.803% | 20.803% | 33.673% | 44.972% | 0.552% | |||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.008% | 0.008% | 0.055% | 0.818% | 86.995% | 11.256% | 0.868% | 0.868% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.020% | 6.214% | 46.976% | 46.790% | 46.790% | |||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 5.893% | 41.765% | 52.342% | 52.342% |
Speculate Komodo 2227.00 – Stockfish 181224 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 99.990% | 0.010% | 100.000% | |||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 0.010% | 31.745% | 31.755% | 45.372% | 22.825% | 0.048% | ||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 50.402% | 50.402% | 28.288% | 21.294% | 0.016% | |||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 17.842% | 17.842% | 26.310% | 55.280% | 0.566% | 0.002% | ||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.001% | 0.001% | 0.030% | 0.598% | 87.641% | 10.963% | 0.767% | 0.767% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.003% | 6.018% | 47.004% | 46.975% | 46.975% | |||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 5.711% | 42.031% | 52.258% | 52.258% |
Speculate Komodo 2227.00 – Stockfish 181224 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 44.524% | 44.524% | 36.462% | 18.961% | 0.053% | |||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 34.308% | 34.308% | 30.746% | 34.818% | 0.127% | 0.001% | ||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 21.168% | 21.168% | 32.745% | 45.502% | 0.583% | 0.002% | ||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.047% | 0.714% | 87.357% | 11.056% | 0.826% | 0.826% | ||||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.005% | 6.158% | 47.125% | 46.712% | 46.712% | |||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 5.722% | 41.816% | 52.462% | 52.462% |
Speculate Komodo 2227.00 – Stockfish 181224 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 56.033% | 56.033% | 30.210% | 13.707% | 0.050% | |||||||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 23.034% | 23.034% | 40.111% | 36.332% | 0.523% | |||||||||
| 4. | Komodo 2227.00 | 20.927% | 20.927% | 29.593% | 48.881% | 0.591% | 0.008% | ||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.006% | 0.006% | 0.086% | 1.056% | 86.839% | 11.187% | 0.826% | 0.826% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.024% | 6.138% | 47.002% | 46.836% | 46.836% | |||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 5.859% | 41.803% | 52.338% | 52.338% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.04h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-13 20:56 | 149 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-13 23:58 | 150 | Stockfish 181224 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-14 03:01 | 151 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-14 06:03 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 09:05 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 12:08 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 15:10 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 18:13 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 21:15 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 00:17 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 03:20 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 06:22 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 09:25 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 12:27 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 15:29 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 18:32 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 21:34 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 00:36 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 03:39 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 06:41 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |