For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 22.5 | 29.18 | 1.36 | 1.00 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 17.5 | 23.12 | 1.36 | 2.86 | 0 | 43 | 33 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Houdini 6.03 | 17.5 | 22.86 | 1.27 | 3.05 | 0 | 33 | 35 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Komodo 2227.00 | 16.5 | 22.26 | 1.41 | 3.51 | 0 | 18 | 27 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | Fire 7.1 | 14.0 | 18.79 | 1.37 | 5.65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 39 | 12 |
| 6 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 0.0 | 18.49 | 3.00 | 5.80 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 19 | 15 |
| 7 | Ethereal 11.14 | 12.0 | 16.84 | 1.49 | 6.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 38 |
| 8 | Andscacs 095 | 12.0 | 16.46 | 1.43 | 7.19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 55.489% | 55.489% | 29.720% | 14.747% | 0.044% | |||||||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 24.363% | 24.363% | 42.256% | 33.148% | 0.233% | |||||||||
| 4. | Komodo 2227.00 | 20.145% | 20.145% | 27.979% | 51.206% | 0.661% | 0.009% | ||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.003% | 0.003% | 0.045% | 0.867% | 87.340% | 10.888% | 0.857% | 0.857% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.032% | 6.050% | 47.217% | 46.701% | 46.701% | |||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 5.672% | 41.886% | 52.442% | 52.442% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Fire 7.1 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 71.753% | 71.753% | 22.646% | 5.601% | ||||||||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 14.449% | 14.449% | 48.904% | 36.647% | ||||||||||
| 4. | Komodo 2227.00 | 13.798% | 13.798% | 28.450% | 57.635% | 0.116% | 0.001% | ||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.083% | 80.891% | 17.374% | 1.652% | 1.652% | |||||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.034% | 9.793% | 43.813% | 46.360% | 46.360% | |||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 9.200% | 38.812% | 51.988% | 51.988% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Fire 7.1 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 51.442% | 51.442% | 33.384% | 15.174% | ||||||||||
| 3. | Houdini 6.03 | 26.675% | 26.675% | 40.033% | 33.125% | 0.167% | |||||||||
| 4. | Komodo 2227.00 | 21.883% | 21.883% | 26.583% | 51.122% | 0.403% | 0.009% | ||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.563% | 90.982% | 8.171% | 0.284% | 0.284% | |||||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.016% | 4.396% | 48.565% | 47.023% | 47.023% | |||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 4.052% | 43.255% | 52.693% | 52.693% |
Speculate LCZero v20rc2-32194 – Fire 7.1 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | Houdini 6.03 | 40.077% | 40.077% | 32.223% | 27.003% | 0.697% | |||||||||
| 3. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 30.712% | 30.712% | 39.064% | 30.004% | 0.220% | |||||||||
| 4. | Komodo 2227.00 | 29.200% | 29.200% | 28.496% | 40.562% | 1.723% | 0.019% | ||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 0.011% | 0.011% | 0.217% | 2.420% | 94.380% | 2.940% | 0.032% | 0.032% | ||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 0.011% | 1.634% | 50.940% | 47.415% | 47.415% | |||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 1.346% | 46.101% | 52.553% | 52.553% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.06h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-14 09:28 | 152 | Andscacs 095 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-14 12:32 | 153 | Andscacs 095 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-14 15:36 | 154 | Ethereal 11.14 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
| 2019-01-14 18:40 | 155 | Fire 7.1 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-14 21:43 | 156 | Houdini 6.03 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 00:47 | 157 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-15 03:51 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 06:55 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 09:58 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 13:02 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 16:06 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 19:10 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 22:13 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-16 01:17 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 04:21 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 07:24 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 10:28 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |