For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockfish 181224 | 23.0 | 29.06 | 1.27 | 1.00 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 | 19.0 | 23.49 | 1.21 | 2.64 | 0 | 55 | 29 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Houdini 6.03 | 18.0 | 22.81 | 1.19 | 3.16 | 0 | 25 | 39 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Komodo 2227.00 | 17.0 | 22.34 | 1.33 | 3.52 | 0 | 16 | 28 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | Fire 7.1 | 14.5 | 18.52 | 1.23 | 5.74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 41 | 13 |
| 6 | KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 | 0.0 | 18.31 | 2.99 | 5.89 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 17 | 13 |
| 7 | Ethereal 11.14 | 13.0 | 16.98 | 1.33 | 6.86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 39 |
| 8 | Andscacs 095 | 12.5 | 16.49 | 1.33 | 7.20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 35 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 78.119% | 78.119% | 14.653% | 7.228% | ||||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 13.662% | 13.662% | 32.784% | 53.554% | ||||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 8.219% | 8.219% | 52.563% | 39.218% | ||||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 90.190% | 9.103% | 0.707% | 0.707% | ||||||||||
| 6. | Andscacs 095 | 4.916% | 36.360% | 58.724% | 58.724% | ||||||||||
| 7. | Ethereal 11.14 | 4.894% | 54.537% | 40.569% | 40.569% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Houdini 6.03 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 78.397% | 78.397% | 14.557% | 7.046% | ||||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 13.665% | 13.665% | 32.979% | 53.356% | ||||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 7.938% | 7.938% | 52.464% | 39.598% | ||||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 90.298% | 8.998% | 0.704% | 0.704% | ||||||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 4.991% | 54.719% | 40.290% | 40.290% | ||||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 4.711% | 36.283% | 59.006% | 59.006% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Houdini 6.03 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 78.329% | 78.329% | 14.560% | 7.111% | ||||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 13.680% | 13.680% | 32.466% | 53.854% | ||||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 7.991% | 7.991% | 52.974% | 39.035% | ||||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 90.413% | 8.838% | 0.749% | 0.749% | ||||||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 4.880% | 54.529% | 40.591% | 40.591% | ||||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 4.707% | 36.633% | 58.660% | 58.660% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Houdini 6.03 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-7. | 7. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish 181224 | 100.000% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | 78.275% | 78.275% | 14.597% | 7.128% | ||||||||||
| 3. | Komodo 2227.00 | 13.560% | 13.560% | 32.362% | 54.078% | ||||||||||
| 4. | Houdini 6.03 | 8.165% | 8.165% | 53.041% | 38.794% | ||||||||||
| 5. | Fire 7.1 | 90.171% | 9.104% | 0.725% | 0.725% | ||||||||||
| 6. | Ethereal 11.14 | 4.965% | 54.077% | 40.958% | 40.958% | ||||||||||
| 7. | Andscacs 095 | 4.864% | 36.819% | 58.317% | 58.317% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.06h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-01-15 03:35 | 158 | Komodo 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-15 06:39 | 159 | Stockfish 181224 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-15 09:43 | 160 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-15 12:46 | 161 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 15:50 | 162 | Andscacs 095 | Stockfish 181224 |
| 2019-01-15 18:53 | 163 | Ethereal 11.14 | Komodo 2227.00 |
| 2019-01-15 21:57 | 164 | Fire 7.1 | Houdini 6.03 |
| 2019-01-16 01:01 | 165 | KomodoMCTS 2227.00 | Fire 7.1 |
| 2019-01-16 04:04 | 166 | Houdini 6.03 | Ethereal 11.14 |
| 2019-01-16 07:08 | 167 | Komodo 2227.00 | Andscacs 095 |
| 2019-01-16 10:12 | 168 | Stockfish 181224 | LCZero v20rc2-32194 |