For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 Stockfish 181224 24.5 29.20 1.11 1.00 100 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 19.5 23.34 1.13 2.79 0 46 31 20 2 0 0
3 Houdini 6.03 18.0 22.82 1.19 3.22 0 25 33 36 5 0 0
4 Komodo 2227.00 18.0 22.79 1.25 3.25 0 25 32 38 6 0 0
5 KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 0.0 18.21 2.99 5.91 0 4 3 6 34 14 12
6 Fire 7.1 14.5 18.11 1.15 5.87 0 0 0 0 38 42 16
7 Andscacs 095 13.5 16.84 1.18 6.92 0 0 0 0 8 24 38
8 Ethereal 11.14 13.0 16.68 1.26 7.03 0 0 0 0 7 20 35

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-7. 7.
1. Stockfish 181224 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v20rc2-32194 64.143% 64.143% 26.248% 9.609%
3. Komodo 2227.00 27.240% 27.240% 36.695% 36.065%
4. Houdini 6.03 8.617% 8.617% 37.057% 54.326%
5. Fire 7.1 88.443% 10.851% 0.706% 0.706%
6. Andscacs 095 8.807% 58.653% 32.540% 32.540%
7. Ethereal 11.14 2.750% 30.496% 66.754% 66.754%

Speculate Ethereal 11.14 – Komodo 2227.00 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-7. 7.
1. Stockfish 181224 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v20rc2-32194 88.945% 88.945% 11.055%
3. Houdini 6.03 11.055% 11.055% 54.070% 34.875%
4. Komodo 2227.00 34.875% 65.125%
5. Fire 7.1 83.409% 14.368% 2.223% 2.223%
6. Ethereal 11.14 9.051% 59.432% 31.517% 31.517%
7. Andscacs 095 7.540% 26.200% 66.260% 66.260%

Speculate Ethereal 11.14 – Komodo 2227.00 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-7. 7.
1. Stockfish 181224 100.000% 100.000%
2. LCZero v20rc2-32194 67.695% 67.695% 20.006% 12.299%
3. Komodo 2227.00 21.059% 21.059% 38.430% 40.511%
4. Houdini 6.03 11.246% 11.246% 41.564% 47.190%
5. Fire 7.1 90.271% 9.729%
6. Andscacs 095 9.729% 60.842% 29.429% 29.429%
7. Ethereal 11.14 29.429% 70.571% 70.571%

Speculate Ethereal 11.14 – Komodo 2227.00 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-7. 7.
1. Stockfish 181224 100.000% 100.000%
2. Komodo 2227.00 50.277% 50.277% 36.280% 13.443%
3. LCZero v20rc2-32194 44.333% 44.333% 40.943% 14.724%
4. Houdini 6.03 5.390% 5.390% 22.777% 71.833%
5. Fire 7.1 90.618% 9.382%
6. Andscacs 095 9.382% 79.198% 11.420% 11.420%
7. Ethereal 11.14 11.420% 88.580% 88.580%

Expected start time based on estimate of 3.07h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-01-15 23:03 164 Fire 7.1 Houdini 6.03
2019-01-16 02:07 165 KomodoMCTS 2227.00 Fire 7.1
2019-01-16 05:11 166 Houdini 6.03 Ethereal 11.14
2019-01-16 08:15 167 Komodo 2227.00 Andscacs 095
2019-01-16 11:19 168 Stockfish 181224 LCZero v20rc2-32194