For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1
1 Stockfish 181224/19011415/190203 45.0 50.83 1.44 1.26 74
2 LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194/v20.1-32742/v20.2-32930 44.0 49.17 1.44 1.74 26

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 190203 76.887% 23.113%
2. LCZero v20.2-32930 23.113% 76.887%

Speculate Stockfish 190203 – LCZero v20.2-32930 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 190203 86.482% 13.518%
2. LCZero v20.2-32930 13.518% 86.482%

Speculate Stockfish 190203 – LCZero v20.2-32930 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 190203 76.617% 23.383%
2. LCZero v20.2-32930 23.383% 76.617%

Speculate Stockfish 190203 – LCZero v20.2-32930 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 190203 64.128% 35.872%
2. LCZero v20.2-32930 35.872% 64.128%

Manually selected ratings: Set Stockfish to 3550 and LCZero to 3540

Rank Name Elo + games score oppo.
1 Stockfish 190203 3550 10 10 0 50% 0
2 LCZero v20.2-32930 3540 10 10 0 50% 0

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 190203 74.479% 25.521%
2. LCZero v20.2-32930 25.521% 74.479%

Speculate Stockfish 190203 – LCZero v20.2-32930 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 190203 84.556% 15.444%
2. LCZero v20.2-32930 15.444% 84.556%

Speculate Stockfish 190203 – LCZero v20.2-32930 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 190203 74.397% 25.603%
2. LCZero v20.2-32930 25.603% 74.397%

Speculate Stockfish 190203 – LCZero v20.2-32930 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2.
1. Stockfish 190203 61.248% 38.752%
2. LCZero v20.2-32930 38.752% 61.248%

Expected start time based on estimate of 4.68h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-02-22 03:43 91 LCZero v20.2-32930 Stockfish 190203
2019-02-22 08:24 92 Stockfish 190203 LCZero v20.2-32930
2019-02-22 13:05 93 LCZero v20.2-32930 Stockfish 190203
2019-02-22 17:46 94 Stockfish 190203 LCZero v20.2-32930
2019-02-22 22:27 95 LCZero v20.2-32930 Stockfish 190203
2019-02-23 03:08 96 Stockfish 190203 LCZero v20.2-32930
2019-02-23 07:49 97 LCZero v20.2-32930 Stockfish 190203
2019-02-23 12:30 98 Stockfish 190203 LCZero v20.2-32930
2019-02-23 17:11 99 LCZero v20.2-32930 Stockfish 190203
2019-02-23 21:52 100 Stockfish 190203 LCZero v20.2-32930