For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
5.5 |
13.94 |
1.84 |
1.80 |
53 |
27 |
12 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
4.5 |
13.00 |
2.06 |
2.40 |
32 |
30 |
19 |
11 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Tucano 7.07 |
3.5 |
11.52 |
2.05 |
3.43 |
10 |
21 |
26 |
20 |
13 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
3.0 |
10.38 |
2.14 |
4.36 |
3 |
11 |
19 |
22 |
19 |
13 |
8 |
4 |
1 |
5 |
Winter 0.5 |
2.5 |
9.98 |
2.08 |
4.70 |
2 |
8 |
16 |
22 |
22 |
15 |
9 |
5 |
2 |
6 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2.5 |
8.04 |
2.06 |
6.31 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
9 |
15 |
22 |
22 |
16 |
8 |
7 |
Minic 0.42 |
2.5 |
7.92 |
1.89 |
6.43 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
15 |
23 |
24 |
16 |
7 |
8 |
Cheese 2.0 |
1.5 |
6.21 |
1.93 |
7.79 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
18 |
29 |
24 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
1.0 |
5.26 |
2.07 |
8.42 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
11 |
20 |
34 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
0.5 |
3.75 |
1.78 |
9.36 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
9 |
24 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
51.201% |
27.078% |
|
78.279% |
|
12.380% |
5.638% |
|
3.703% |
|
2.344% |
0.963% |
0.320% |
0.067% |
0.008% |
0.001% |
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
32.172% |
29.021% |
|
61.193% |
|
18.793% |
10.661% |
|
9.353% |
|
5.418% |
2.429% |
1.046% |
0.368% |
0.084% |
0.008% |
3. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
9.771% |
21.051% |
|
30.822% |
|
24.418% |
20.217% |
|
24.543% |
|
12.944% |
6.489% |
3.246% |
1.381% |
0.417% |
0.066% |
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
3.890% |
11.266% |
|
15.156% |
|
18.829% |
20.944% |
|
45.071% |
|
18.735% |
12.922% |
7.837% |
3.936% |
1.388% |
0.253% |
5. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.130% |
8.056% |
|
10.186% |
|
16.075% |
21.452% |
|
52.287% |
|
20.757% |
14.609% |
9.267% |
5.213% |
1.932% |
0.509% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.588% |
2.060% |
|
2.648% |
|
4.552% |
8.545% |
|
84.255% |
|
14.920% |
21.154% |
21.511% |
16.223% |
8.198% |
2.249% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.209% |
1.103% |
|
1.312% |
|
3.482% |
8.263% |
|
86.943% |
|
15.216% |
22.440% |
23.488% |
15.925% |
7.485% |
2.389% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.020% |
0.202% |
|
0.222% |
|
0.886% |
2.548% |
|
96.344% |
|
5.510% |
10.470% |
17.484% |
27.880% |
24.112% |
10.888% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
0.017% |
0.155% |
|
0.172% |
|
0.530% |
1.511% |
|
97.787% |
|
3.451% |
6.713% |
11.622% |
19.933% |
32.582% |
23.486% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
0.002% |
0.008% |
|
0.010% |
|
0.055% |
0.221% |
|
99.714% |
|
0.705% |
1.811% |
4.179% |
9.074% |
23.794% |
60.151% |
Speculate Winter 0.5 – The Baron 3.44.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
52.097% |
26.602% |
|
78.699% |
|
11.949% |
5.575% |
|
3.777% |
|
2.450% |
0.914% |
0.345% |
0.061% |
0.007% |
|
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
30.827% |
28.690% |
|
59.517% |
|
18.695% |
11.506% |
|
10.282% |
|
5.845% |
2.756% |
1.189% |
0.403% |
0.083% |
0.006% |
3. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
11.400% |
23.113% |
|
34.513% |
|
24.911% |
18.810% |
|
21.766% |
|
11.722% |
5.840% |
2.738% |
1.134% |
0.289% |
0.043% |
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
3.819% |
13.663% |
|
17.482% |
|
24.684% |
26.499% |
|
31.335% |
|
16.162% |
8.661% |
4.239% |
1.754% |
0.448% |
0.071% |
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
1.030% |
4.527% |
|
5.557% |
|
10.360% |
17.195% |
|
66.888% |
|
24.741% |
19.259% |
13.060% |
6.917% |
2.484% |
0.427% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.604% |
2.038% |
|
2.642% |
|
4.696% |
9.305% |
|
83.357% |
|
16.005% |
21.581% |
20.862% |
15.319% |
7.714% |
1.876% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.192% |
1.013% |
|
1.205% |
|
3.313% |
7.354% |
|
88.128% |
|
14.153% |
22.677% |
24.757% |
16.588% |
7.473% |
2.480% |
8. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
0.017% |
0.170% |
|
0.187% |
|
0.618% |
1.606% |
|
97.589% |
|
3.923% |
7.406% |
12.278% |
20.814% |
32.364% |
20.804% |
9. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.013% |
0.177% |
|
0.190% |
|
0.742% |
1.979% |
|
97.089% |
|
4.498% |
9.351% |
16.942% |
28.553% |
26.406% |
11.339% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
0.001% |
0.007% |
|
0.008% |
|
0.032% |
0.171% |
|
99.789% |
|
0.501% |
1.555% |
3.590% |
8.457% |
22.732% |
62.954% |
Speculate Winter 0.5 – The Baron 3.44.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
52.711% |
27.286% |
|
79.997% |
|
11.457% |
5.000% |
|
3.546% |
|
2.188% |
0.953% |
0.324% |
0.078% |
0.003% |
|
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
32.738% |
30.270% |
|
63.008% |
|
18.073% |
9.702% |
|
9.217% |
|
5.147% |
2.546% |
1.062% |
0.374% |
0.081% |
0.007% |
3. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
9.721% |
21.587% |
|
31.308% |
|
25.147% |
18.674% |
|
24.871% |
|
12.804% |
6.852% |
3.312% |
1.434% |
0.399% |
0.070% |
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
2.890% |
11.193% |
|
14.083% |
|
20.430% |
22.975% |
|
42.512% |
|
19.593% |
12.247% |
6.863% |
2.873% |
0.819% |
0.117% |
5. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
1.140% |
6.089% |
|
7.229% |
|
15.066% |
22.799% |
|
54.906% |
|
23.066% |
15.826% |
9.585% |
4.586% |
1.517% |
0.326% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.559% |
2.019% |
|
2.578% |
|
4.625% |
8.632% |
|
84.165% |
|
13.955% |
20.711% |
22.245% |
16.547% |
8.481% |
2.226% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.215% |
1.190% |
|
1.405% |
|
3.608% |
8.045% |
|
86.942% |
|
14.365% |
22.762% |
23.927% |
16.162% |
7.357% |
2.369% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.016% |
0.203% |
|
0.219% |
|
0.937% |
2.540% |
|
96.304% |
|
5.129% |
10.073% |
17.313% |
28.741% |
24.236% |
10.812% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
0.010% |
0.159% |
|
0.169% |
|
0.595% |
1.419% |
|
97.817% |
|
3.115% |
6.331% |
11.344% |
19.912% |
32.901% |
24.214% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.062% |
0.214% |
|
99.720% |
|
0.638% |
1.699% |
4.025% |
9.293% |
24.206% |
59.859% |
Speculate Winter 0.5 – The Baron 3.44.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
50.916% |
26.918% |
|
77.834% |
|
13.348% |
5.503% |
|
3.315% |
|
2.205% |
0.787% |
0.268% |
0.047% |
0.008% |
|
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
32.426% |
29.289% |
|
61.715% |
|
19.333% |
10.525% |
|
8.427% |
|
4.891% |
2.236% |
0.920% |
0.315% |
0.061% |
0.004% |
3. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
7.824% |
18.102% |
|
25.926% |
|
23.269% |
23.653% |
|
27.152% |
|
13.807% |
7.377% |
3.739% |
1.669% |
0.466% |
0.094% |
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
7.819% |
20.393% |
|
28.212% |
|
27.914% |
22.783% |
|
21.091% |
|
11.577% |
5.624% |
2.660% |
0.957% |
0.244% |
0.029% |
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.437% |
1.654% |
|
2.091% |
|
4.013% |
8.115% |
|
85.781% |
|
14.520% |
20.819% |
21.798% |
17.092% |
8.910% |
2.642% |
6. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.348% |
2.220% |
|
2.568% |
|
7.023% |
15.726% |
|
74.683% |
|
24.547% |
20.555% |
15.188% |
9.354% |
3.920% |
1.119% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.199% |
1.083% |
|
1.282% |
|
3.561% |
8.896% |
|
86.261% |
|
17.506% |
22.408% |
21.977% |
15.132% |
6.972% |
2.266% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.020% |
0.212% |
|
0.232% |
|
1.011% |
3.149% |
|
95.608% |
|
6.945% |
11.916% |
18.107% |
26.880% |
21.721% |
10.039% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
0.011% |
0.127% |
|
0.138% |
|
0.461% |
1.317% |
|
98.084% |
|
3.021% |
6.101% |
10.688% |
18.763% |
32.849% |
26.662% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.067% |
0.333% |
|
99.598% |
|
0.981% |
2.177% |
4.655% |
9.791% |
24.849% |
57.145% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-07 01:44 |
29 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-07 02:50 |
30 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-07 03:55 |
31 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-07 05:01 |
32 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-07 06:07 |
33 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-07 07:13 |
34 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-07 08:19 |
35 |
Igel 1.2 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-07 09:25 |
36 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-07 10:30 |
37 |
Winter 0.5 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-07 11:36 |
38 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-07 12:42 |
39 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-07 13:48 |
40 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-07 14:54 |
41 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-07 16:00 |
42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-07 17:05 |
43 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-07 18:11 |
44 |
Igel 1.2 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-07 19:17 |
45 |
Minic 0.42 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-07 20:23 |
46 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-07 21:29 |
47 |
Minic 0.42 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-07 22:35 |
48 |
Igel 1.2 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-07 23:40 |
49 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 00:46 |
50 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 01:52 |
51 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 02:58 |
52 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 04:04 |
53 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 05:10 |
54 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 06:15 |
55 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 07:21 |
56 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 08:27 |
57 |
Winter 0.5 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 09:33 |
58 |
Minic 0.42 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 10:39 |
59 |
Igel 1.2 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 11:45 |
60 |
Cheese 2.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 12:51 |
61 |
Cheese 2.0 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 13:56 |
62 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 15:02 |
63 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 16:08 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 17:14 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 18:20 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:26 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:31 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 21:37 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 22:43 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 23:49 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 00:55 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 02:01 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 03:06 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 04:12 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 05:18 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:24 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:30 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 08:36 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 09:41 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 10:47 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 11:53 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 12:59 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 14:05 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 15:11 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 16:16 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:22 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:28 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 19:34 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 20:40 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |