For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
6.0 |
13.39 |
1.71 |
2.04 |
43 |
28 |
17 |
8 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
6.0 |
13.29 |
1.71 |
2.11 |
39 |
29 |
18 |
9 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Tucano 7.07 |
4.0 |
11.92 |
1.80 |
3.14 |
12 |
24 |
28 |
20 |
10 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Winter 0.5 |
3.5 |
11.01 |
1.86 |
3.90 |
5 |
13 |
22 |
29 |
16 |
9 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
3.0 |
9.22 |
1.96 |
5.39 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
16 |
26 |
21 |
15 |
7 |
3 |
6 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
3.5 |
8.48 |
1.72 |
6.01 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
21 |
27 |
23 |
11 |
3 |
7 |
Minic 0.42 |
2.5 |
7.92 |
1.91 |
6.47 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
14 |
23 |
26 |
17 |
7 |
8 |
Cheese 2.0 |
1.5 |
5.93 |
1.91 |
8.01 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
16 |
30 |
29 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
1.5 |
5.38 |
1.75 |
8.42 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
12 |
25 |
38 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
0.5 |
3.48 |
1.72 |
9.51 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
20 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
42.108% |
27.961% |
|
70.069% |
|
16.550% |
8.343% |
|
5.038% |
|
3.418% |
1.222% |
0.342% |
0.051% |
0.005% |
|
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
38.970% |
28.352% |
|
67.322% |
|
18.174% |
9.282% |
|
5.222% |
|
3.630% |
1.184% |
0.340% |
0.066% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
11.987% |
23.245% |
|
35.232% |
|
26.610% |
20.177% |
|
17.981% |
|
10.840% |
4.474% |
1.950% |
0.576% |
0.122% |
0.019% |
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
5.334% |
13.730% |
|
19.064% |
|
22.406% |
27.575% |
|
30.955% |
|
15.994% |
8.501% |
4.263% |
1.710% |
0.432% |
0.055% |
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
1.056% |
3.960% |
|
5.016% |
|
8.706% |
15.345% |
|
70.933% |
|
24.585% |
20.464% |
14.541% |
7.887% |
2.882% |
0.574% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.275% |
1.357% |
|
1.632% |
|
3.685% |
9.299% |
|
85.384% |
|
20.169% |
25.670% |
22.809% |
12.229% |
3.923% |
0.584% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.249% |
1.226% |
|
1.475% |
|
3.164% |
7.566% |
|
87.795% |
|
14.686% |
22.815% |
24.833% |
15.884% |
7.250% |
2.327% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.020% |
0.150% |
|
0.170% |
|
0.584% |
1.682% |
|
97.564% |
|
3.851% |
8.369% |
15.585% |
28.666% |
28.918% |
12.175% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
0.001% |
0.015% |
|
0.016% |
|
0.092% |
0.627% |
|
99.265% |
|
2.405% |
6.050% |
12.085% |
25.161% |
36.236% |
17.328% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.029% |
0.104% |
|
99.863% |
|
0.422% |
1.251% |
3.252% |
7.770% |
20.230% |
66.938% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Tucano 7.07 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
45.374% |
28.989% |
|
74.363% |
|
13.598% |
6.898% |
|
5.141% |
|
3.455% |
1.217% |
0.398% |
0.064% |
0.007% |
|
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
41.070% |
30.087% |
|
71.157% |
|
15.122% |
7.861% |
|
5.860% |
|
3.829% |
1.484% |
0.453% |
0.082% |
0.012% |
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
5.743% |
14.819% |
|
20.562% |
|
23.082% |
21.691% |
|
34.665% |
|
17.005% |
9.831% |
5.095% |
2.091% |
0.535% |
0.108% |
4. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
3.994% |
12.794% |
|
16.788% |
|
22.157% |
24.024% |
|
37.031% |
|
20.496% |
10.126% |
4.356% |
1.627% |
0.376% |
0.050% |
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
3.118% |
10.305% |
|
13.423% |
|
17.797% |
22.408% |
|
46.372% |
|
22.049% |
13.684% |
7.140% |
2.760% |
0.660% |
0.079% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.342% |
1.398% |
|
1.740% |
|
3.841% |
7.967% |
|
86.452% |
|
15.006% |
26.767% |
25.632% |
13.800% |
4.546% |
0.701% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.322% |
1.359% |
|
1.681% |
|
3.448% |
6.636% |
|
88.235% |
|
12.054% |
22.246% |
26.163% |
17.552% |
7.659% |
2.561% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.033% |
0.233% |
|
0.266% |
|
0.773% |
1.837% |
|
97.124% |
|
3.967% |
8.625% |
16.341% |
29.427% |
26.919% |
11.845% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
0.003% |
0.010% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.126% |
0.514% |
|
99.347% |
|
1.665% |
4.650% |
10.932% |
24.246% |
37.639% |
20.215% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
0.001% |
0.006% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.056% |
0.164% |
|
99.773% |
|
0.474% |
1.370% |
3.490% |
8.351% |
21.647% |
64.441% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Tucano 7.07 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
43.976% |
28.240% |
|
72.216% |
|
15.031% |
7.759% |
|
4.994% |
|
3.337% |
1.217% |
0.370% |
0.067% |
0.003% |
|
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
40.463% |
28.949% |
|
69.412% |
|
16.490% |
8.709% |
|
5.389% |
|
3.668% |
1.275% |
0.386% |
0.055% |
0.005% |
|
3. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
8.476% |
21.228% |
|
29.704% |
|
28.604% |
22.617% |
|
19.075% |
|
11.970% |
4.715% |
1.734% |
0.555% |
0.090% |
0.011% |
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
5.581% |
14.806% |
|
20.387% |
|
22.339% |
25.189% |
|
32.085% |
|
16.089% |
8.940% |
4.687% |
1.856% |
0.429% |
0.084% |
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.918% |
3.981% |
|
4.899% |
|
9.755% |
17.496% |
|
67.850% |
|
27.082% |
20.365% |
12.556% |
5.854% |
1.748% |
0.245% |
6. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.296% |
1.251% |
|
1.547% |
|
3.253% |
7.118% |
|
88.082% |
|
13.542% |
22.248% |
25.517% |
17.008% |
7.323% |
2.444% |
7. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.270% |
1.346% |
|
1.616% |
|
3.724% |
8.658% |
|
86.002% |
|
18.005% |
26.342% |
23.853% |
12.993% |
4.175% |
0.634% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.018% |
0.184% |
|
0.202% |
|
0.652% |
1.711% |
|
97.435% |
|
3.857% |
8.382% |
15.858% |
28.975% |
28.103% |
12.260% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
0.002% |
0.011% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.111% |
0.621% |
|
99.255% |
|
2.020% |
5.228% |
11.654% |
24.700% |
37.273% |
18.380% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.041% |
0.122% |
|
99.833% |
|
0.430% |
1.288% |
3.385% |
7.937% |
20.851% |
65.942% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Tucano 7.07 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
39.819% |
27.029% |
|
66.848% |
|
18.792% |
9.519% |
|
4.841% |
|
3.339% |
1.138% |
0.312% |
0.048% |
0.004% |
|
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
36.734% |
27.544% |
|
64.278% |
|
20.198% |
10.545% |
|
4.979% |
|
3.536% |
1.079% |
0.300% |
0.062% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
17.893% |
29.519% |
|
47.412% |
|
29.018% |
16.588% |
|
6.982% |
|
4.933% |
1.496% |
0.433% |
0.100% |
0.019% |
0.001% |
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
4.883% |
12.685% |
|
17.568% |
|
21.509% |
32.575% |
|
28.348% |
|
15.305% |
7.622% |
3.540% |
1.452% |
0.361% |
0.068% |
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.236% |
1.089% |
|
1.325% |
|
3.452% |
9.930% |
|
85.293% |
|
23.520% |
25.375% |
21.013% |
11.306% |
3.572% |
0.507% |
6. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.235% |
0.944% |
|
1.179% |
|
2.855% |
7.941% |
|
88.025% |
|
16.548% |
22.668% |
24.021% |
15.658% |
6.934% |
2.196% |
7. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.190% |
1.070% |
|
1.260% |
|
3.602% |
10.587% |
|
84.551% |
|
25.310% |
24.013% |
18.938% |
11.070% |
4.415% |
0.805% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.010% |
0.107% |
|
0.117% |
|
0.446% |
1.594% |
|
97.843% |
|
4.085% |
8.543% |
15.301% |
28.108% |
29.708% |
12.098% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
0.012% |
|
0.012% |
|
0.103% |
0.630% |
|
99.255% |
|
2.975% |
6.861% |
13.063% |
24.919% |
35.274% |
16.163% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.025% |
0.091% |
|
99.883% |
|
0.449% |
1.205% |
3.079% |
7.277% |
19.711% |
68.162% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-07 07:10 |
34 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-07 08:16 |
35 |
Igel 1.2 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-07 09:22 |
36 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-07 10:28 |
37 |
Winter 0.5 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-07 11:33 |
38 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-07 12:39 |
39 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-07 13:45 |
40 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-07 14:51 |
41 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-07 15:56 |
42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-07 17:02 |
43 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-07 18:08 |
44 |
Igel 1.2 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-07 19:14 |
45 |
Minic 0.42 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-07 20:19 |
46 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-07 21:25 |
47 |
Minic 0.42 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-07 22:31 |
48 |
Igel 1.2 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-07 23:37 |
49 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 00:42 |
50 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 01:48 |
51 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 02:54 |
52 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 04:00 |
53 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 05:05 |
54 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 06:11 |
55 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 07:17 |
56 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 08:23 |
57 |
Winter 0.5 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 09:28 |
58 |
Minic 0.42 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 10:34 |
59 |
Igel 1.2 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 11:40 |
60 |
Cheese 2.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 12:46 |
61 |
Cheese 2.0 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 13:51 |
62 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 14:57 |
63 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 16:03 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 17:09 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 18:15 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:20 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:26 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 21:32 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 22:38 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 23:43 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 00:49 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 01:55 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 03:01 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 04:06 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 05:12 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:18 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:24 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 08:29 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 09:35 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 10:41 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 11:47 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 12:52 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 13:58 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 15:04 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 16:10 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:15 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:21 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 19:27 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 20:33 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |