For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
8.0 |
14.69 |
1.32 |
1.31 |
76 |
19 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
7.0 |
13.15 |
1.41 |
2.21 |
20 |
53 |
17 |
7 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Winter 0.5 |
6.0 |
11.38 |
1.44 |
3.59 |
2 |
15 |
35 |
26 |
16 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Tucano 7.07 |
5.5 |
10.66 |
1.44 |
4.22 |
1 |
7 |
22 |
29 |
27 |
10 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
5.5 |
10.57 |
1.46 |
4.31 |
1 |
6 |
20 |
28 |
28 |
11 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
4.0 |
8.12 |
1.42 |
6.51 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
12 |
31 |
29 |
21 |
2 |
7 |
Cheese 2.0 |
3.5 |
7.67 |
1.47 |
6.88 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
23 |
31 |
31 |
3 |
8 |
Minic 0.42 |
3.5 |
7.40 |
1.47 |
7.08 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
19 |
29 |
39 |
4 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
1.5 |
3.96 |
1.35 |
9.10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
72 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
0.5 |
2.41 |
1.26 |
9.78 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
19 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
74.901% |
18.952% |
|
93.853% |
|
4.446% |
1.292% |
|
0.409% |
|
0.351% |
0.054% |
0.004% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
20.129% |
50.552% |
|
70.681% |
|
18.034% |
7.447% |
|
3.838% |
|
3.013% |
0.677% |
0.128% |
0.020% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.769% |
15.022% |
|
17.791% |
|
33.664% |
25.382% |
|
23.163% |
|
15.822% |
5.295% |
1.692% |
0.348% |
0.006% |
|
4. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
1.158% |
7.316% |
|
8.474% |
|
20.735% |
27.877% |
|
42.914% |
|
26.449% |
10.980% |
4.216% |
1.229% |
0.040% |
|
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
1.027% |
7.693% |
|
8.720% |
|
19.937% |
27.502% |
|
43.841% |
|
25.878% |
11.729% |
4.738% |
1.463% |
0.032% |
0.001% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.011% |
0.256% |
|
0.267% |
|
1.488% |
4.694% |
|
93.551% |
|
12.483% |
29.026% |
28.459% |
21.099% |
2.388% |
0.096% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.003% |
0.077% |
|
0.080% |
|
0.656% |
2.477% |
|
96.787% |
|
7.368% |
20.732% |
29.480% |
34.073% |
4.866% |
0.268% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.002% |
0.132% |
|
0.134% |
|
1.039% |
3.317% |
|
95.510% |
|
8.560% |
20.914% |
29.024% |
32.554% |
4.232% |
0.226% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.012% |
|
99.987% |
|
0.067% |
0.546% |
1.987% |
7.732% |
68.243% |
21.412% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.009% |
0.047% |
0.272% |
1.482% |
20.193% |
77.997% |
Speculate RubiChess 1.3.1 – Winter 0.5 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
69.314% |
24.907% |
|
94.221% |
|
4.270% |
1.160% |
|
0.349% |
|
0.302% |
0.042% |
0.005% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
28.516% |
57.746% |
|
86.262% |
|
10.145% |
2.767% |
|
0.826% |
|
0.710% |
0.098% |
0.016% |
0.002% |
|
|
3. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.914% |
6.614% |
|
7.528% |
|
23.452% |
26.870% |
|
42.150% |
|
24.712% |
11.441% |
4.619% |
1.329% |
0.049% |
|
4. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.831% |
5.674% |
|
6.505% |
|
24.868% |
27.477% |
|
41.150% |
|
24.928% |
10.686% |
4.249% |
1.247% |
0.040% |
|
5. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.412% |
4.745% |
|
5.157% |
|
33.600% |
30.275% |
|
30.968% |
|
20.410% |
7.479% |
2.442% |
0.627% |
0.010% |
|
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.006% |
0.183% |
|
0.189% |
|
1.667% |
5.206% |
|
92.938% |
|
12.637% |
28.973% |
28.141% |
20.795% |
2.309% |
0.083% |
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.005% |
0.083% |
|
0.088% |
|
1.202% |
3.573% |
|
95.137% |
|
8.728% |
20.412% |
29.005% |
32.475% |
4.300% |
0.217% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.002% |
0.048% |
|
0.050% |
|
0.795% |
2.664% |
|
96.491% |
|
7.473% |
20.350% |
29.250% |
34.406% |
4.740% |
0.272% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.008% |
|
99.991% |
|
0.098% |
0.480% |
1.997% |
7.717% |
68.384% |
21.315% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.002% |
0.039% |
0.276% |
1.402% |
20.168% |
78.113% |
Speculate RubiChess 1.3.1 – Winter 0.5 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
79.323% |
14.415% |
|
93.738% |
|
4.464% |
1.375% |
|
0.423% |
|
0.364% |
0.050% |
0.008% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
16.111% |
53.546% |
|
69.657% |
|
19.075% |
7.827% |
|
3.441% |
|
2.811% |
0.540% |
0.084% |
0.006% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.041% |
14.914% |
|
16.955% |
|
37.918% |
26.067% |
|
19.060% |
|
14.020% |
3.794% |
1.059% |
0.185% |
0.002% |
|
4. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
1.378% |
8.045% |
|
9.423% |
|
18.414% |
27.279% |
|
44.884% |
|
28.277% |
11.147% |
4.231% |
1.188% |
0.041% |
|
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
1.127% |
8.572% |
|
9.699% |
|
17.400% |
27.637% |
|
45.264% |
|
27.272% |
11.886% |
4.677% |
1.377% |
0.052% |
|
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.014% |
0.284% |
|
0.298% |
|
1.251% |
4.275% |
|
94.176% |
|
11.709% |
29.515% |
29.130% |
21.348% |
2.387% |
0.087% |
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.005% |
0.141% |
|
0.146% |
|
0.911% |
3.195% |
|
95.748% |
|
8.316% |
21.319% |
29.455% |
32.419% |
4.034% |
0.205% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.001% |
0.083% |
|
0.084% |
|
0.567% |
2.337% |
|
97.012% |
|
7.164% |
21.208% |
29.140% |
34.467% |
4.762% |
0.271% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
|
99.993% |
|
0.065% |
0.514% |
1.939% |
7.575% |
68.323% |
21.577% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
99.999% |
|
0.002% |
0.027% |
0.277% |
1.434% |
20.399% |
77.860% |
Speculate RubiChess 1.3.1 – Winter 0.5 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
81.002% |
11.886% |
|
92.888% |
|
4.984% |
1.612% |
|
0.516% |
|
0.449% |
0.057% |
0.010% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
8.215% |
35.516% |
|
43.731% |
|
30.946% |
15.954% |
|
9.369% |
|
7.229% |
1.700% |
0.391% |
0.049% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
8.024% |
34.664% |
|
42.688% |
|
31.331% |
16.833% |
|
9.148% |
|
7.262% |
1.517% |
0.312% |
0.055% |
0.002% |
|
4. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
1.551% |
8.875% |
|
10.426% |
|
15.621% |
28.144% |
|
45.809% |
|
29.231% |
11.157% |
4.169% |
1.217% |
0.035% |
|
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
1.182% |
8.528% |
|
9.710% |
|
14.813% |
28.046% |
|
47.431% |
|
28.354% |
12.520% |
5.014% |
1.487% |
0.051% |
0.005% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.015% |
0.271% |
|
0.286% |
|
1.104% |
4.198% |
|
94.412% |
|
11.785% |
29.346% |
29.008% |
21.698% |
2.471% |
0.104% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.008% |
0.106% |
|
0.114% |
|
0.475% |
2.208% |
|
97.203% |
|
7.093% |
21.280% |
29.486% |
34.442% |
4.635% |
0.267% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.003% |
0.154% |
|
0.157% |
|
0.726% |
3.001% |
|
96.116% |
|
8.529% |
21.855% |
29.428% |
32.130% |
3.987% |
0.187% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
|
99.996% |
|
0.066% |
0.524% |
1.963% |
7.515% |
68.458% |
21.470% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.002% |
0.044% |
0.219% |
1.407% |
20.361% |
77.967% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-07 21:37 |
47 |
Minic 0.42 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-07 22:43 |
48 |
Igel 1.2 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-07 23:49 |
49 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 00:55 |
50 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 02:02 |
51 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 03:08 |
52 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 04:14 |
53 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 05:20 |
54 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 06:26 |
55 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 07:32 |
56 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 08:38 |
57 |
Winter 0.5 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 09:44 |
58 |
Minic 0.42 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 10:50 |
59 |
Igel 1.2 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 11:56 |
60 |
Cheese 2.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 13:02 |
61 |
Cheese 2.0 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 14:08 |
62 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 15:14 |
63 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 16:20 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 17:26 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 18:32 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:38 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:44 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 21:50 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 22:56 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 00:02 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 01:08 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 02:14 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 03:20 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 04:26 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 05:32 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:38 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:44 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 08:50 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 09:56 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 11:02 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 12:08 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 13:14 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 14:20 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 15:26 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 16:32 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:38 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:44 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 19:50 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 20:57 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |