For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
8.0 |
14.68 |
1.32 |
1.35 |
70 |
26 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
8.0 |
13.70 |
1.25 |
1.83 |
29 |
61 |
7 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Winter 0.5 |
6.0 |
10.85 |
1.33 |
3.90 |
0 |
5 |
40 |
29 |
15 |
7 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
5.5 |
10.58 |
1.46 |
4.14 |
1 |
6 |
31 |
29 |
18 |
10 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
Tucano 7.07 |
5.5 |
9.80 |
1.31 |
4.86 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
25 |
30 |
18 |
8 |
3 |
0 |
6 |
Minic 0.42 |
4.5 |
8.29 |
1.34 |
6.45 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
27 |
29 |
22 |
1 |
7 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
4.0 |
8.13 |
1.42 |
6.57 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
13 |
22 |
29 |
27 |
2 |
8 |
Cheese 2.0 |
3.5 |
7.63 |
1.47 |
6.99 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
17 |
26 |
41 |
4 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
1.5 |
3.94 |
1.35 |
9.13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
74 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
0.5 |
2.39 |
1.26 |
9.79 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
69.938% |
25.380% |
|
95.318% |
|
3.581% |
0.829% |
|
0.272% |
|
0.218% |
0.045% |
0.007% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
28.539% |
60.024% |
|
88.563% |
|
8.889% |
1.961% |
|
0.587% |
|
0.462% |
0.100% |
0.022% |
0.003% |
|
|
3. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.917% |
6.983% |
|
7.900% |
|
27.505% |
28.590% |
|
36.005% |
|
18.253% |
10.571% |
5.274% |
1.840% |
0.067% |
|
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.432% |
5.152% |
|
5.584% |
|
39.646% |
27.545% |
|
27.225% |
|
15.678% |
7.447% |
3.139% |
0.945% |
0.016% |
|
5. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.160% |
1.968% |
|
2.128% |
|
14.237% |
23.362% |
|
60.273% |
|
28.381% |
18.283% |
9.716% |
3.771% |
0.121% |
0.001% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.011% |
0.230% |
|
0.241% |
|
2.167% |
6.336% |
|
91.256% |
|
12.799% |
21.752% |
28.149% |
25.922% |
2.523% |
0.111% |
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.002% |
0.088% |
|
0.090% |
|
1.541% |
4.296% |
|
94.073% |
|
8.872% |
15.143% |
24.783% |
40.426% |
4.622% |
0.227% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.001% |
0.175% |
|
0.176% |
|
2.434% |
7.069% |
|
90.321% |
|
15.251% |
26.280% |
27.348% |
20.066% |
1.344% |
0.032% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.012% |
|
99.988% |
|
0.084% |
0.350% |
1.398% |
5.925% |
70.530% |
21.701% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.002% |
0.029% |
0.164% |
1.100% |
20.777% |
77.928% |
Speculate Igel 1.2 – Topple 0.4.0 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
69.996% |
25.250% |
|
95.246% |
|
3.618% |
0.867% |
|
0.269% |
|
0.224% |
0.034% |
0.009% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
28.450% |
60.110% |
|
88.560% |
|
8.818% |
2.023% |
|
0.599% |
|
0.474% |
0.110% |
0.013% |
0.002% |
|
|
3. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.978% |
6.945% |
|
7.923% |
|
27.579% |
28.674% |
|
35.824% |
|
18.347% |
10.356% |
5.218% |
1.873% |
0.030% |
|
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.409% |
5.136% |
|
5.545% |
|
39.487% |
27.667% |
|
27.301% |
|
15.801% |
7.514% |
3.070% |
0.910% |
0.006% |
|
5. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.147% |
2.000% |
|
2.147% |
|
14.416% |
23.518% |
|
59.919% |
|
28.410% |
18.038% |
9.677% |
3.758% |
0.033% |
0.003% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.012% |
0.238% |
|
0.250% |
|
2.280% |
6.244% |
|
91.226% |
|
12.615% |
21.657% |
28.650% |
26.936% |
1.250% |
0.118% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.006% |
0.212% |
|
0.218% |
|
2.362% |
6.788% |
|
90.632% |
|
15.395% |
26.791% |
27.647% |
20.150% |
0.623% |
0.026% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.002% |
0.109% |
|
0.111% |
|
1.440% |
4.219% |
|
94.230% |
|
8.720% |
15.403% |
25.124% |
42.293% |
2.415% |
0.275% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.007% |
0.050% |
0.304% |
2.004% |
46.673% |
50.962% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.007% |
0.047% |
0.288% |
2.072% |
48.970% |
48.616% |
Speculate Igel 1.2 – Topple 0.4.0 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
70.205% |
25.054% |
|
95.259% |
|
3.644% |
0.860% |
|
0.237% |
|
0.180% |
0.046% |
0.009% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
28.280% |
60.446% |
|
88.726% |
|
8.772% |
1.930% |
|
0.572% |
|
0.443% |
0.116% |
0.012% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.932% |
6.980% |
|
7.912% |
|
27.499% |
28.403% |
|
36.186% |
|
18.346% |
10.630% |
5.286% |
1.904% |
0.020% |
|
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.398% |
5.038% |
|
5.436% |
|
39.588% |
27.667% |
|
27.309% |
|
15.778% |
7.541% |
3.090% |
0.893% |
0.007% |
|
5. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.166% |
1.958% |
|
2.124% |
|
14.212% |
23.398% |
|
60.266% |
|
28.349% |
18.253% |
9.786% |
3.813% |
0.065% |
|
6. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.008% |
0.172% |
|
0.180% |
|
2.464% |
7.153% |
|
90.203% |
|
15.236% |
26.226% |
27.573% |
20.363% |
0.787% |
0.018% |
7. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.006% |
0.255% |
|
0.261% |
|
2.360% |
6.257% |
|
91.122% |
|
12.737% |
21.629% |
28.653% |
26.247% |
1.779% |
0.077% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.005% |
0.097% |
|
0.102% |
|
1.461% |
4.326% |
|
94.111% |
|
8.899% |
15.377% |
24.731% |
41.733% |
3.207% |
0.164% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
|
99.995% |
|
0.032% |
0.169% |
0.785% |
4.474% |
80.470% |
14.065% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
99.999% |
|
|
0.013% |
0.075% |
0.570% |
13.665% |
85.676% |
Speculate Igel 1.2 – Topple 0.4.0 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
69.897% |
25.420% |
|
95.317% |
|
3.613% |
0.804% |
|
0.266% |
|
0.220% |
0.040% |
0.005% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
28.608% |
60.192% |
|
88.800% |
|
8.699% |
1.910% |
|
0.591% |
|
0.463% |
0.107% |
0.019% |
0.002% |
|
|
3. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.913% |
6.854% |
|
7.767% |
|
27.278% |
28.857% |
|
36.098% |
|
18.181% |
10.643% |
5.282% |
1.917% |
0.075% |
|
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.416% |
5.120% |
|
5.536% |
|
39.972% |
27.376% |
|
27.116% |
|
15.721% |
7.367% |
3.024% |
0.979% |
0.025% |
|
5. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.147% |
1.916% |
|
2.063% |
|
14.133% |
23.506% |
|
60.298% |
|
28.296% |
18.207% |
9.814% |
3.820% |
0.161% |
|
6. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.010% |
0.174% |
|
0.184% |
|
2.414% |
6.839% |
|
90.563% |
|
15.220% |
26.211% |
27.379% |
19.961% |
1.780% |
0.012% |
7. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.006% |
0.229% |
|
0.235% |
|
2.357% |
6.283% |
|
91.125% |
|
12.741% |
21.618% |
27.904% |
25.332% |
3.488% |
0.042% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.003% |
0.095% |
|
0.098% |
|
1.530% |
4.404% |
|
93.968% |
|
9.017% |
15.276% |
24.384% |
38.994% |
6.182% |
0.115% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.021% |
|
99.975% |
|
0.141% |
0.525% |
2.176% |
8.821% |
85.731% |
2.581% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.006% |
0.013% |
0.173% |
2.558% |
97.250% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-07 23:57 |
49 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 01:03 |
50 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 02:09 |
51 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 03:15 |
52 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 04:21 |
53 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 05:28 |
54 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 06:34 |
55 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 07:40 |
56 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 08:46 |
57 |
Winter 0.5 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 09:52 |
58 |
Minic 0.42 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 10:58 |
59 |
Igel 1.2 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 12:05 |
60 |
Cheese 2.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 13:11 |
61 |
Cheese 2.0 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 14:17 |
62 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 15:23 |
63 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 16:29 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 17:36 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 18:42 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:48 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:54 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 22:00 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 23:06 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 00:13 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 01:19 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 02:25 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 03:31 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 04:37 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 05:44 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:50 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:56 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 09:02 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 10:08 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 11:14 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 12:21 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 13:27 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 14:33 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 15:39 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 16:45 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:51 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:58 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 20:04 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 21:10 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |