For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
8.0 |
14.72 |
1.32 |
1.34 |
71 |
25 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
8.0 |
13.69 |
1.24 |
1.84 |
28 |
62 |
8 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Winter 0.5 |
6.0 |
10.86 |
1.33 |
3.89 |
0 |
5 |
40 |
29 |
15 |
7 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
5.5 |
10.60 |
1.46 |
4.13 |
1 |
6 |
31 |
29 |
18 |
9 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
Tucano 7.07 |
5.5 |
9.82 |
1.31 |
4.83 |
0 |
2 |
14 |
25 |
31 |
17 |
8 |
3 |
0 |
6 |
Cheese 2.0 |
4.5 |
8.32 |
1.33 |
6.37 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
15 |
26 |
30 |
20 |
0 |
7 |
Minic 0.42 |
4.5 |
8.29 |
1.33 |
6.44 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
27 |
27 |
24 |
0 |
8 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
4.0 |
7.49 |
1.28 |
7.18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
27 |
49 |
1 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
1.5 |
3.12 |
1.13 |
9.48 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
50 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
1.5 |
3.10 |
1.13 |
9.49 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
48 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
70.465% |
24.897% |
|
95.362% |
|
3.558% |
0.820% |
|
0.260% |
|
0.206% |
0.042% |
0.011% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
28.064% |
60.238% |
|
88.302% |
|
9.075% |
2.051% |
|
0.572% |
|
0.468% |
0.088% |
0.013% |
0.003% |
|
|
3. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.864% |
7.085% |
|
7.949% |
|
27.660% |
29.109% |
|
35.282% |
|
18.111% |
10.007% |
4.980% |
2.153% |
0.030% |
0.001% |
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.428% |
5.320% |
|
5.748% |
|
39.337% |
27.533% |
|
27.382% |
|
15.920% |
7.510% |
3.044% |
0.901% |
0.007% |
|
5. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.166% |
2.026% |
|
2.192% |
|
14.584% |
23.369% |
|
59.855% |
|
28.506% |
18.045% |
9.559% |
3.686% |
0.057% |
0.002% |
6. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.006% |
0.207% |
|
0.213% |
|
2.734% |
7.646% |
|
89.407% |
|
14.745% |
22.862% |
30.089% |
20.942% |
0.737% |
0.032% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.006% |
0.199% |
|
0.205% |
|
2.465% |
7.025% |
|
90.305% |
|
15.610% |
27.062% |
24.874% |
22.033% |
0.698% |
0.028% |
8. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.028% |
|
0.029% |
|
0.587% |
2.446% |
|
96.938% |
|
6.408% |
14.283% |
26.871% |
46.726% |
2.415% |
0.235% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
99.999% |
|
0.010% |
0.053% |
0.295% |
1.874% |
45.937% |
51.830% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.016% |
0.048% |
0.264% |
1.681% |
50.119% |
47.872% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Nemorino 5.08 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
52.123% |
35.590% |
|
87.713% |
|
8.906% |
2.562% |
|
0.819% |
|
0.661% |
0.129% |
0.027% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
43.108% |
40.332% |
|
83.440% |
|
13.115% |
2.750% |
|
0.695% |
|
0.562% |
0.110% |
0.016% |
0.007% |
|
|
3. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
3.652% |
14.995% |
|
18.647% |
|
37.564% |
26.880% |
|
16.909% |
|
11.170% |
4.076% |
1.315% |
0.348% |
|
|
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.817% |
6.516% |
|
7.333% |
|
27.681% |
33.046% |
|
31.940% |
|
19.190% |
8.568% |
3.276% |
0.900% |
0.006% |
|
5. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.277% |
2.109% |
|
2.386% |
|
9.268% |
21.377% |
|
66.969% |
|
32.719% |
20.076% |
10.255% |
3.870% |
0.047% |
0.002% |
6. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.013% |
0.191% |
|
0.204% |
|
1.476% |
5.741% |
|
92.579% |
|
15.063% |
28.711% |
25.822% |
22.237% |
0.705% |
0.041% |
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.009% |
0.231% |
|
0.240% |
|
1.620% |
5.948% |
|
92.192% |
|
14.679% |
23.590% |
30.981% |
22.172% |
0.740% |
0.030% |
8. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.036% |
|
0.037% |
|
0.370% |
1.693% |
|
97.900% |
|
5.939% |
14.633% |
27.714% |
46.919% |
2.467% |
0.228% |
9. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
|
99.998% |
|
0.007% |
0.062% |
0.279% |
1.714% |
50.012% |
47.924% |
10. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
99.999% |
|
0.010% |
0.045% |
0.315% |
1.831% |
46.023% |
51.775% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Nemorino 5.08 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
65.691% |
29.864% |
|
95.555% |
|
3.646% |
0.663% |
|
0.136% |
|
0.109% |
0.021% |
0.006% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
33.162% |
54.501% |
|
87.663% |
|
9.461% |
2.244% |
|
0.632% |
|
0.509% |
0.099% |
0.022% |
0.002% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.501% |
5.411% |
|
5.912% |
|
36.961% |
28.358% |
|
28.769% |
|
16.755% |
7.875% |
3.208% |
0.925% |
0.005% |
0.001% |
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.474% |
7.877% |
|
8.351% |
|
31.931% |
30.787% |
|
28.931% |
|
16.758% |
7.768% |
3.291% |
1.108% |
0.006% |
|
5. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.165% |
1.922% |
|
2.087% |
|
12.861% |
22.718% |
|
62.334% |
|
29.651% |
19.031% |
9.804% |
3.809% |
0.039% |
|
6. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.005% |
0.198% |
|
0.203% |
|
2.484% |
6.753% |
|
90.560% |
|
14.669% |
23.279% |
30.555% |
21.294% |
0.718% |
0.045% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.001% |
0.196% |
|
0.197% |
|
2.134% |
6.360% |
|
91.309% |
|
15.418% |
27.657% |
25.192% |
22.335% |
0.674% |
0.033% |
8. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.031% |
|
0.032% |
|
0.522% |
2.117% |
|
97.329% |
|
6.114% |
14.175% |
27.341% |
47.107% |
2.373% |
0.219% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.010% |
0.049% |
0.316% |
1.709% |
46.295% |
51.621% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.007% |
0.046% |
0.265% |
1.711% |
49.890% |
48.081% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Nemorino 5.08 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
79.785% |
18.920% |
|
98.705% |
|
1.146% |
0.120% |
|
0.029% |
|
0.021% |
0.008% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
19.917% |
70.895% |
|
90.812% |
|
7.141% |
1.560% |
|
0.487% |
|
0.378% |
0.098% |
0.011% |
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.188% |
4.379% |
|
4.567% |
|
45.235% |
25.056% |
|
25.142% |
|
14.162% |
7.160% |
2.912% |
0.899% |
0.009% |
|
4. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.070% |
1.888% |
|
1.958% |
|
17.004% |
24.590% |
|
56.448% |
|
26.228% |
17.211% |
9.273% |
3.691% |
0.045% |
|
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.032% |
3.524% |
|
3.556% |
|
22.482% |
29.940% |
|
44.022% |
|
21.618% |
12.696% |
6.666% |
3.012% |
0.030% |
|
6. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.004% |
0.173% |
|
0.177% |
|
2.831% |
7.755% |
|
89.237% |
|
16.079% |
25.969% |
24.627% |
21.874% |
0.658% |
0.030% |
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.003% |
0.180% |
|
0.183% |
|
3.417% |
8.322% |
|
88.078% |
|
14.771% |
22.718% |
29.232% |
20.668% |
0.654% |
0.035% |
8. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.041% |
|
0.042% |
|
0.744% |
2.656% |
|
96.558% |
|
6.724% |
14.045% |
26.734% |
46.488% |
2.367% |
0.200% |
9. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
99.999% |
|
0.008% |
0.050% |
0.261% |
1.673% |
49.749% |
48.258% |
10. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.011% |
0.045% |
0.284% |
1.695% |
46.488% |
51.477% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-08 01:40 |
51 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 02:46 |
52 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 03:51 |
53 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 04:57 |
54 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 06:03 |
55 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 07:08 |
56 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 08:14 |
57 |
Winter 0.5 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 09:19 |
58 |
Minic 0.42 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 10:25 |
59 |
Igel 1.2 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 11:31 |
60 |
Cheese 2.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 12:36 |
61 |
Cheese 2.0 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 13:42 |
62 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 14:47 |
63 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 15:53 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 16:59 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 18:04 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:10 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:15 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 21:21 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 22:27 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 23:32 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 00:38 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 01:43 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 02:49 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 03:55 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 05:00 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:06 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:11 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 08:17 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 09:23 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 10:28 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 11:34 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 12:39 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 13:45 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 14:51 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 15:56 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:02 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:07 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 19:13 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 20:19 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |