For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
9.0 |
15.20 |
1.15 |
1.20 |
81 |
18 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
8.0 |
13.69 |
1.24 |
1.91 |
19 |
73 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Winter 0.5 |
6.0 |
10.87 |
1.32 |
3.80 |
0 |
4 |
47 |
25 |
14 |
6 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
5.5 |
10.14 |
1.34 |
4.47 |
0 |
2 |
24 |
30 |
22 |
13 |
6 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
Tucano 7.07 |
5.5 |
9.82 |
1.30 |
4.75 |
0 |
1 |
17 |
27 |
28 |
16 |
8 |
3 |
0 |
6 |
Cheese 2.0 |
4.5 |
8.32 |
1.34 |
6.33 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
15 |
25 |
30 |
20 |
0 |
7 |
Minic 0.42 |
4.5 |
8.30 |
1.33 |
6.41 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
15 |
26 |
27 |
23 |
0 |
8 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
4.0 |
7.47 |
1.27 |
7.17 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
14 |
27 |
49 |
1 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
1.5 |
3.10 |
1.12 |
9.48 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
50 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
1.5 |
3.08 |
1.13 |
9.49 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
48 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
79.954% |
18.791% |
|
98.745% |
|
1.099% |
0.130% |
|
0.026% |
|
0.020% |
0.006% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
19.732% |
71.081% |
|
90.813% |
|
7.065% |
1.585% |
|
0.537% |
|
0.408% |
0.106% |
0.019% |
0.004% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.204% |
4.351% |
|
4.555% |
|
45.027% |
25.208% |
|
25.210% |
|
14.314% |
7.091% |
2.942% |
0.861% |
0.002% |
|
4. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.074% |
1.823% |
|
1.897% |
|
17.010% |
24.741% |
|
56.352% |
|
26.419% |
17.212% |
9.125% |
3.551% |
0.044% |
0.001% |
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.029% |
3.543% |
|
3.572% |
|
22.993% |
29.530% |
|
43.905% |
|
21.356% |
12.734% |
6.778% |
3.007% |
0.030% |
|
6. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.006% |
0.200% |
|
0.206% |
|
3.266% |
8.189% |
|
88.339% |
|
14.922% |
22.349% |
29.511% |
20.859% |
0.675% |
0.023% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.001% |
0.179% |
|
0.180% |
|
2.843% |
7.949% |
|
89.028% |
|
15.811% |
25.916% |
24.703% |
21.948% |
0.615% |
0.035% |
8. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
|
0.032% |
|
0.032% |
|
0.697% |
2.664% |
|
96.607% |
|
6.739% |
14.491% |
26.326% |
46.523% |
2.327% |
0.201% |
9. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
|
99.998% |
|
0.006% |
0.055% |
0.285% |
1.578% |
49.640% |
48.434% |
10. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
|
99.998% |
|
0.005% |
0.040% |
0.311% |
1.669% |
46.667% |
51.306% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – RubiChess 1.3.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
90.808% |
8.122% |
|
98.930% |
|
0.904% |
0.141% |
|
0.025% |
|
0.021% |
0.003% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
8.673% |
68.600% |
|
77.273% |
|
16.683% |
4.585% |
|
1.459% |
|
1.175% |
0.231% |
0.049% |
0.004% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.308% |
7.397% |
|
7.705% |
|
32.717% |
28.589% |
|
30.989% |
|
17.855% |
8.646% |
3.479% |
1.005% |
0.004% |
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.110% |
12.120% |
|
12.230% |
|
33.085% |
30.274% |
|
24.411% |
|
15.114% |
6.363% |
2.309% |
0.624% |
0.001% |
|
5. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.095% |
3.049% |
|
3.144% |
|
11.872% |
21.691% |
|
63.293% |
|
30.393% |
19.222% |
9.914% |
3.725% |
0.039% |
|
6. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.003% |
0.324% |
|
0.327% |
|
2.243% |
6.662% |
|
90.768% |
|
14.643% |
23.406% |
31.061% |
20.954% |
0.677% |
0.027% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.003% |
0.317% |
|
0.320% |
|
2.003% |
6.156% |
|
91.521% |
|
15.100% |
27.776% |
25.623% |
22.295% |
0.706% |
0.021% |
8. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
|
0.071% |
|
0.071% |
|
0.493% |
1.901% |
|
97.535% |
|
5.686% |
14.252% |
26.964% |
47.910% |
2.492% |
0.231% |
9. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
99.999% |
|
0.008% |
0.047% |
0.293% |
1.690% |
50.087% |
47.874% |
10. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.005% |
0.054% |
0.307% |
1.793% |
45.994% |
51.847% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – RubiChess 1.3.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
84.990% |
13.863% |
|
98.853% |
|
1.000% |
0.126% |
|
0.021% |
|
0.019% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
14.701% |
77.479% |
|
92.180% |
|
6.460% |
1.103% |
|
0.257% |
|
0.213% |
0.038% |
0.005% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.213% |
4.344% |
|
4.557% |
|
43.611% |
25.072% |
|
26.760% |
|
15.131% |
7.485% |
3.123% |
1.012% |
0.009% |
|
4. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.084% |
2.061% |
|
2.145% |
|
16.114% |
23.544% |
|
58.197% |
|
27.194% |
17.820% |
9.580% |
3.559% |
0.043% |
0.001% |
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.006% |
1.789% |
|
1.795% |
|
26.142% |
32.503% |
|
39.560% |
|
21.415% |
11.250% |
5.100% |
1.779% |
0.016% |
|
6. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.005% |
0.206% |
|
0.211% |
|
2.738% |
7.395% |
|
89.656% |
|
15.153% |
26.648% |
25.082% |
22.090% |
0.646% |
0.037% |
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.001% |
0.211% |
|
0.212% |
|
3.226% |
7.811% |
|
88.751% |
|
14.644% |
22.771% |
29.884% |
20.783% |
0.632% |
0.037% |
8. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
|
0.047% |
|
0.047% |
|
0.708% |
2.445% |
|
96.800% |
|
6.221% |
13.889% |
26.657% |
47.455% |
2.368% |
0.210% |
9. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.001% |
|
99.998% |
|
0.009% |
0.046% |
0.265% |
1.593% |
50.014% |
48.071% |
10. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.001% |
0.051% |
0.304% |
1.728% |
46.272% |
51.644% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – RubiChess 1.3.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
71.964% |
26.631% |
|
98.595% |
|
1.274% |
0.119% |
|
0.012% |
|
0.011% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
27.874% |
69.605% |
|
97.479% |
|
2.273% |
0.217% |
|
0.031% |
|
0.024% |
0.007% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.108% |
2.513% |
|
2.621% |
|
52.501% |
23.136% |
|
21.742% |
|
12.298% |
6.016% |
2.623% |
0.802% |
0.003% |
|
4. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.050% |
0.960% |
|
1.010% |
|
19.681% |
26.591% |
|
52.718% |
|
24.310% |
16.133% |
8.726% |
3.511% |
0.038% |
|
5. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.003% |
0.080% |
|
0.083% |
|
3.927% |
9.179% |
|
86.811% |
|
15.027% |
22.006% |
28.704% |
20.433% |
0.610% |
0.031% |
6. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.128% |
|
0.129% |
|
16.252% |
28.665% |
|
54.954% |
|
24.828% |
16.192% |
9.363% |
4.509% |
0.060% |
0.002% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
0.074% |
|
0.074% |
|
3.303% |
8.960% |
|
87.663% |
|
16.334% |
25.275% |
24.061% |
21.347% |
0.618% |
0.028% |
8. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
|
0.009% |
|
0.009% |
|
0.789% |
3.128% |
|
96.074% |
|
7.152% |
14.280% |
25.989% |
46.193% |
2.261% |
0.199% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
|
99.996% |
|
0.007% |
0.048% |
0.283% |
1.621% |
47.105% |
50.932% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
|
99.999% |
|
0.009% |
0.042% |
0.251% |
1.584% |
49.305% |
48.808% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-08 02:42 |
52 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 03:48 |
53 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 04:53 |
54 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 05:59 |
55 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 07:04 |
56 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 08:10 |
57 |
Winter 0.5 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 09:15 |
58 |
Minic 0.42 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 10:21 |
59 |
Igel 1.2 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 11:26 |
60 |
Cheese 2.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 12:32 |
61 |
Cheese 2.0 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 13:37 |
62 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 14:43 |
63 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 15:48 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 16:54 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 18:00 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:05 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:11 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 21:16 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 22:22 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 23:27 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 00:33 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 01:38 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 02:44 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 03:49 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 04:55 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:00 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:06 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 08:11 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 09:17 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 10:22 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 11:28 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 12:33 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 13:39 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 14:45 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 15:50 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 16:56 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:01 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 19:07 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 20:12 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |