For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nemorino 5.08 | 9.0 | 14.19 | 1.09 | 1.26 | 79 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | RubiChess 1.3.1 | 8.0 | 12.87 | 1.14 | 2.06 | 20 | 61 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | The Baron 3.44.1 | 6.5 | 10.90 | 1.20 | 3.95 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | Winter 0.5 | 6.0 | 10.82 | 1.33 | 4.05 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | Tucano 7.07 | 5.5 | 9.81 | 1.32 | 5.09 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 6 | Cheese 2.0 | 5.5 | 9.41 | 1.25 | 5.53 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 7 | Minic 0.42 | 4.5 | 8.28 | 1.34 | 6.72 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 8 | Rodent III 0.276 | 4.0 | 7.53 | 1.29 | 7.37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 57 | 1 |
| 9 | Topple 0.4.0 | 1.5 | 3.10 | 1.13 | 9.48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50 |
| 10 | Igel 1.2 | 1.5 | 3.08 | 1.14 | 9.49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 48 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Nemorino 5.08 | 77.765% | 18.207% | 95.972% | 3.202% | 0.662% | 0.164% | 0.135% | 0.027% | 0.002% | ||||||||
| 2. | RubiChess 1.3.1 | 20.286% | 57.067% | 77.353% | 15.894% | 4.787% | 1.966% | 1.428% | 0.419% | 0.102% | 0.017% | |||||||
| 3. | Winter 0.5 | 1.058% | 8.424% | 9.482% | 30.230% | 25.596% | 34.692% | 17.583% | 10.632% | 5.037% | 1.429% | 0.011% | ||||||
| 4. | The Baron 3.44.1 | 0.429% | 11.076% | 11.505% | 30.049% | 27.924% | 30.522% | 16.635% | 8.948% | 3.872% | 1.063% | 0.003% | 0.001% | |||||
| 5. | Tucano 7.07 | 0.402% | 3.184% | 3.586% | 10.787% | 18.824% | 66.803% | 25.106% | 23.291% | 13.518% | 4.843% | 0.045% | ||||||
| 6. | Cheese 2.0 | 0.042% | 1.604% | 1.646% | 7.472% | 15.139% | 75.743% | 23.043% | 25.363% | 20.474% | 6.783% | 0.079% | 0.001% | |||||
| 7. | Minic 0.42 | 0.017% | 0.362% | 0.379% | 1.924% | 5.435% | 92.262% | 11.641% | 20.711% | 31.279% | 27.889% | 0.701% | 0.041% | |||||
| 8. | Rodent III 0.276 | 0.001% | 0.076% | 0.077% | 0.442% | 1.633% | 97.848% | 4.423% | 10.556% | 25.382% | 54.952% | 2.349% | 0.186% | |||||
| 9. | Igel 1.2 | 100.000% | 0.003% | 0.027% | 0.168% | 1.423% | 50.563% | 47.816% | ||||||||||
| 10. | Topple 0.4.0 | 100.000% | 0.003% | 0.026% | 0.166% | 1.601% | 46.249% | 51.955% |
Speculate Rodent III 0.276 – Igel 1.2 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Nemorino 5.08 | 77.785% | 18.289% | 96.074% | 3.139% | 0.635% | 0.152% | 0.130% | 0.014% | 0.007% | 0.001% | |||||||
| 2. | RubiChess 1.3.1 | 20.343% | 57.453% | 77.796% | 15.582% | 4.666% | 1.956% | 1.414% | 0.435% | 0.089% | 0.018% | |||||||
| 3. | Winter 0.5 | 0.997% | 8.308% | 9.305% | 30.605% | 25.413% | 34.677% | 17.471% | 10.491% | 5.135% | 1.576% | 0.004% | ||||||
| 4. | The Baron 3.44.1 | 0.443% | 10.900% | 11.343% | 29.718% | 28.264% | 30.675% | 16.576% | 8.853% | 4.044% | 1.197% | 0.005% | ||||||
| 5. | Tucano 7.07 | 0.376% | 3.042% | 3.418% | 10.962% | 18.687% | 66.933% | 24.693% | 22.659% | 13.909% | 5.628% | 0.044% | ||||||
| 6. | Cheese 2.0 | 0.047% | 1.597% | 1.644% | 7.456% | 15.030% | 75.870% | 22.887% | 24.790% | 20.116% | 8.043% | 0.034% | ||||||
| 7. | Minic 0.42 | 0.007% | 0.319% | 0.326% | 1.932% | 5.320% | 92.422% | 11.400% | 20.294% | 28.871% | 31.300% | 0.540% | 0.017% | |||||
| 8. | Rodent III 0.276 | 0.002% | 0.092% | 0.094% | 0.606% | 1.984% | 97.316% | 5.428% | 12.438% | 27.662% | 50.982% | 0.799% | 0.007% | |||||
| 9. | Topple 0.4.0 | 0.001% | 99.999% | 0.001% | 0.026% | 0.155% | 1.014% | 53.705% | 45.098% | |||||||||
| 10. | Igel 1.2 | 100.000% | 0.012% | 0.241% | 44.869% | 54.878% |
Speculate Rodent III 0.276 – Igel 1.2 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Nemorino 5.08 | 77.466% | 18.483% | 95.949% | 3.229% | 0.659% | 0.163% | 0.144% | 0.018% | 0.001% | ||||||||
| 2. | RubiChess 1.3.1 | 20.564% | 56.600% | 77.164% | 16.010% | 4.902% | 1.924% | 1.450% | 0.387% | 0.083% | 0.004% | |||||||
| 3. | Winter 0.5 | 1.063% | 8.398% | 9.461% | 30.348% | 26.163% | 34.028% | 17.879% | 10.505% | 4.721% | 0.918% | 0.005% | ||||||
| 4. | The Baron 3.44.1 | 0.436% | 11.277% | 11.713% | 30.280% | 28.374% | 29.633% | 16.906% | 8.499% | 3.477% | 0.747% | 0.004% | ||||||
| 5. | Tucano 7.07 | 0.409% | 3.364% | 3.773% | 10.961% | 18.987% | 66.279% | 25.727% | 23.856% | 13.121% | 3.529% | 0.046% | ||||||
| 6. | Cheese 2.0 | 0.048% | 1.511% | 1.559% | 6.984% | 14.913% | 76.544% | 23.481% | 26.547% | 21.495% | 4.943% | 0.076% | 0.002% | |||||
| 7. | Minic 0.42 | 0.014% | 0.354% | 0.368% | 2.044% | 5.352% | 92.236% | 12.092% | 22.876% | 33.961% | 22.484% | 0.775% | 0.048% | |||||
| 8. | Rodent III 0.276 | 0.013% | 0.013% | 0.144% | 0.649% | 99.194% | 2.316% | 7.274% | 22.774% | 64.137% | 2.576% | 0.117% | ||||||
| 9. | Igel 1.2 | 0.001% | 99.999% | 0.003% | 0.011% | 0.115% | 1.044% | 57.855% | 40.971% | |||||||||
| 10. | Topple 0.4.0 | 100.000% | 0.002% | 0.027% | 0.252% | 2.194% | 38.663% | 58.862% |
Speculate Rodent III 0.276 – Igel 1.2 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Nemorino 5.08 | 77.794% | 18.161% | 95.955% | 3.227% | 0.650% | 0.168% | 0.143% | 0.022% | 0.003% | ||||||||
| 2. | RubiChess 1.3.1 | 20.197% | 56.994% | 77.191% | 15.929% | 5.029% | 1.851% | 1.420% | 0.368% | 0.060% | 0.003% | |||||||
| 3. | Winter 0.5 | 1.062% | 8.476% | 9.538% | 30.686% | 25.861% | 33.915% | 17.896% | 10.860% | 4.556% | 0.585% | 0.018% | ||||||
| 4. | The Baron 3.44.1 | 0.490% | 11.235% | 11.725% | 30.235% | 28.879% | 29.161% | 16.840% | 8.723% | 3.150% | 0.435% | 0.013% | ||||||
| 5. | Tucano 7.07 | 0.405% | 3.204% | 3.609% | 10.982% | 19.249% | 66.160% | 26.292% | 24.556% | 12.993% | 2.223% | 0.091% | 0.005% | |||||
| 6. | Cheese 2.0 | 0.041% | 1.559% | 1.600% | 6.978% | 14.701% | 76.721% | 23.739% | 27.245% | 22.393% | 3.208% | 0.134% | 0.002% | |||||
| 7. | Minic 0.42 | 0.011% | 0.369% | 0.380% | 1.908% | 5.401% | 92.311% | 12.540% | 23.802% | 38.360% | 16.144% | 1.394% | 0.071% | |||||
| 8. | Rodent III 0.276 | 0.002% | 0.002% | 0.055% | 0.228% | 99.715% | 1.112% | 4.258% | 17.316% | 66.415% | 9.320% | 1.294% | ||||||
| 9. | Igel 1.2 | 0.001% | 99.999% | 0.014% | 0.134% | 0.844% | 7.393% | 66.737% | 24.877% | |||||||||
| 10. | Topple 0.4.0 | 0.001% | 99.999% | 0.004% | 0.032% | 0.325% | 3.594% | 22.293% | 73.751% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-08 05:09 | 54 | Topple 0.4.0 | Minic 0.42 |
| 2019-03-08 06:15 | 55 | Tucano 7.07 | Winter 0.5 |
| 2019-03-08 07:21 | 56 | RubiChess 1.3.1 | Tucano 7.07 |
| 2019-03-08 08:27 | 57 | Winter 0.5 | Topple 0.4.0 |
| 2019-03-08 09:33 | 58 | Minic 0.42 | Rodent III 0.276 |
| 2019-03-08 10:38 | 59 | Igel 1.2 | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-08 11:44 | 60 | Cheese 2.0 | The Baron 3.44.1 |
| 2019-03-08 12:50 | 61 | Cheese 2.0 | RubiChess 1.3.1 |
| 2019-03-08 13:56 | 62 | The Baron 3.44.1 | Igel 1.2 |
| 2019-03-08 15:02 | 63 | Nemorino 5.08 | Minic 0.42 |
| 2019-03-08 16:08 | 64 | Rodent III 0.276 | Winter 0.5 |
| 2019-03-08 17:13 | 65 | Topple 0.4.0 | Tucano 7.07 |
| 2019-03-08 18:19 | 66 | RubiChess 1.3.1 | Topple 0.4.0 |
| 2019-03-08 19:25 | 67 | Tucano 7.07 | Rodent III 0.276 |
| 2019-03-08 20:31 | 68 | Winter 0.5 | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-08 21:37 | 69 | Minic 0.42 | The Baron 3.44.1 |
| 2019-03-08 22:43 | 70 | Igel 1.2 | Cheese 2.0 |
| 2019-03-08 23:48 | 71 | Igel 1.2 | RubiChess 1.3.1 |
| 2019-03-09 00:54 | 72 | Cheese 2.0 | Minic 0.42 |
| 2019-03-09 02:00 | 73 | The Baron 3.44.1 | Winter 0.5 |
| 2019-03-09 03:06 | 74 | Nemorino 5.08 | Tucano 7.07 |
| 2019-03-09 04:12 | 75 | Rodent III 0.276 | Topple 0.4.0 |
| 2019-03-09 05:18 | 76 | RubiChess 1.3.1 | Rodent III 0.276 |
| 2019-03-09 06:23 | 77 | Topple 0.4.0 | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-09 07:29 | 78 | Tucano 7.07 | The Baron 3.44.1 |
| 2019-03-09 08:35 | 79 | Winter 0.5 | Cheese 2.0 |
| 2019-03-09 09:41 | 80 | Minic 0.42 | Igel 1.2 |
| 2019-03-09 10:47 | 81 | Minic 0.42 | RubiChess 1.3.1 |
| 2019-03-09 11:53 | 82 | Igel 1.2 | Winter 0.5 |
| 2019-03-09 12:58 | 83 | Cheese 2.0 | Tucano 7.07 |
| 2019-03-09 14:04 | 84 | The Baron 3.44.1 | Topple 0.4.0 |
| 2019-03-09 15:10 | 85 | Nemorino 5.08 | Rodent III 0.276 |
| 2019-03-09 16:16 | 86 | RubiChess 1.3.1 | Nemorino 5.08 |
| 2019-03-09 17:22 | 87 | Rodent III 0.276 | The Baron 3.44.1 |
| 2019-03-09 18:28 | 88 | Topple 0.4.0 | Cheese 2.0 |
| 2019-03-09 19:33 | 89 | Tucano 7.07 | Igel 1.2 |
| 2019-03-09 20:39 | 90 | Winter 0.5 | Minic 0.42 |