For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
9.0 |
14.22 |
1.08 |
1.23 |
82 |
13 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
8.5 |
12.67 |
1.02 |
2.21 |
15 |
57 |
22 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Winter 0.5 |
8.0 |
11.71 |
1.09 |
3.19 |
3 |
21 |
43 |
25 |
7 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
6.5 |
10.91 |
1.20 |
4.03 |
0 |
8 |
24 |
39 |
18 |
8 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
5.5 |
9.48 |
1.24 |
5.43 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
15 |
31 |
30 |
15 |
3 |
0 |
6 |
Tucano 7.07 |
6.0 |
9.37 |
1.08 |
5.59 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
32 |
31 |
20 |
2 |
0 |
7 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
6.0 |
8.47 |
1.08 |
6.47 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
11 |
26 |
52 |
7 |
0 |
8 |
Minic 0.42 |
4.5 |
6.60 |
1.04 |
7.87 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
85 |
2 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2.5 |
3.76 |
0.95 |
9.19 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
78 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
1.5 |
2.80 |
1.01 |
9.79 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
20 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
81.702% |
13.318% |
|
95.020% |
|
4.076% |
0.763% |
|
0.141% |
|
0.117% |
0.021% |
0.003% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
14.832% |
55.437% |
|
70.269% |
|
21.383% |
6.603% |
|
1.745% |
|
1.436% |
0.268% |
0.040% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.913% |
18.535% |
|
21.448% |
|
43.485% |
24.353% |
|
10.714% |
|
8.123% |
2.172% |
0.392% |
0.027% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.487% |
10.571% |
|
11.058% |
|
22.073% |
36.802% |
|
30.067% |
|
17.568% |
8.448% |
3.534% |
0.516% |
0.001% |
|
5. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.057% |
1.768% |
|
1.825% |
|
6.132% |
15.506% |
|
76.537% |
|
29.247% |
28.189% |
14.003% |
5.029% |
0.067% |
0.002% |
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.005% |
0.190% |
|
0.195% |
|
1.984% |
12.081% |
|
85.740% |
|
31.630% |
32.559% |
18.640% |
2.874% |
0.035% |
0.002% |
7. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.004% |
0.181% |
|
0.185% |
|
0.845% |
3.748% |
|
95.222% |
|
11.041% |
24.881% |
52.153% |
7.002% |
0.144% |
0.001% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.022% |
0.144% |
|
99.834% |
|
0.834% |
3.441% |
10.984% |
81.078% |
3.332% |
0.165% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.004% |
0.019% |
0.225% |
2.320% |
72.757% |
24.675% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.002% |
0.026% |
1.153% |
23.664% |
75.155% |
Speculate Igel 1.2 – Nemorino 5.08 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
57.863% |
24.805% |
|
82.668% |
|
12.605% |
3.658% |
|
1.069% |
|
0.865% |
0.168% |
0.036% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
32.438% |
40.507% |
|
72.945% |
|
19.030% |
6.295% |
|
1.730% |
|
1.411% |
0.280% |
0.037% |
0.002% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
7.665% |
21.635% |
|
29.300% |
|
37.704% |
22.754% |
|
10.242% |
|
7.479% |
2.266% |
0.454% |
0.043% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
1.786% |
10.524% |
|
12.310% |
|
20.888% |
35.415% |
|
31.387% |
|
17.846% |
8.938% |
3.993% |
0.604% |
0.006% |
|
5. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.205% |
1.824% |
|
2.029% |
|
5.708% |
14.451% |
|
77.812% |
|
28.088% |
28.336% |
15.330% |
5.864% |
0.187% |
0.007% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.022% |
0.268% |
|
0.290% |
|
1.249% |
4.596% |
|
93.865% |
|
12.286% |
25.782% |
48.894% |
6.712% |
0.188% |
0.003% |
7. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.021% |
0.437% |
|
0.458% |
|
2.799% |
12.666% |
|
84.077% |
|
30.983% |
30.446% |
19.133% |
3.439% |
0.073% |
0.003% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.017% |
0.165% |
|
99.818% |
|
1.035% |
3.727% |
11.619% |
75.232% |
7.524% |
0.681% |
9. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.004% |
0.023% |
0.230% |
5.600% |
52.661% |
41.482% |
10. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.003% |
0.034% |
0.274% |
2.504% |
39.361% |
57.824% |
Speculate Igel 1.2 – Nemorino 5.08 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
69.138% |
20.373% |
|
89.511% |
|
8.333% |
1.807% |
|
0.349% |
|
0.293% |
0.054% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
23.967% |
47.538% |
|
71.505% |
|
20.195% |
6.492% |
|
1.808% |
|
1.449% |
0.314% |
0.044% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
5.816% |
19.737% |
|
25.553% |
|
40.871% |
23.264% |
|
10.312% |
|
7.647% |
2.166% |
0.452% |
0.047% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.962% |
10.166% |
|
11.128% |
|
21.410% |
36.146% |
|
31.316% |
|
18.108% |
8.671% |
3.962% |
0.567% |
0.008% |
|
5. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.091% |
1.672% |
|
1.763% |
|
5.684% |
14.898% |
|
77.655% |
|
28.260% |
28.204% |
15.370% |
5.729% |
0.091% |
0.001% |
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.017% |
0.278% |
|
0.295% |
|
2.372% |
12.821% |
|
84.512% |
|
31.068% |
30.890% |
19.308% |
3.204% |
0.040% |
0.002% |
7. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.009% |
0.236% |
|
0.245% |
|
1.124% |
4.428% |
|
94.203% |
|
12.224% |
25.896% |
49.128% |
6.800% |
0.154% |
0.001% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.011% |
0.144% |
|
99.845% |
|
0.950% |
3.771% |
11.425% |
78.858% |
4.550% |
0.291% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.001% |
0.029% |
0.255% |
2.726% |
60.808% |
36.181% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.005% |
0.054% |
2.068% |
34.349% |
63.524% |
Speculate Igel 1.2 – Nemorino 5.08 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
84.172% |
12.252% |
|
96.424% |
|
3.079% |
0.445% |
|
0.052% |
|
0.050% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
13.047% |
56.585% |
|
69.632% |
|
22.013% |
6.643% |
|
1.712% |
|
1.391% |
0.269% |
0.051% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.428% |
18.419% |
|
20.847% |
|
43.851% |
24.566% |
|
10.736% |
|
8.108% |
2.170% |
0.424% |
0.034% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.312% |
10.665% |
|
10.977% |
|
22.257% |
36.533% |
|
30.233% |
|
17.869% |
8.398% |
3.508% |
0.457% |
0.001% |
|
5. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.035% |
1.752% |
|
1.787% |
|
5.967% |
15.505% |
|
76.741% |
|
29.323% |
28.197% |
14.051% |
5.104% |
0.066% |
|
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.004% |
0.164% |
|
0.168% |
|
0.883% |
3.838% |
|
95.111% |
|
10.994% |
25.115% |
51.875% |
6.992% |
0.135% |
|
7. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.002% |
0.163% |
|
0.165% |
|
1.936% |
12.333% |
|
85.566% |
|
31.392% |
32.353% |
18.830% |
2.964% |
0.027% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.014% |
0.137% |
|
99.849% |
|
0.872% |
3.481% |
11.061% |
81.357% |
2.988% |
0.090% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.001% |
0.015% |
0.192% |
2.363% |
75.895% |
21.534% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.008% |
0.728% |
20.888% |
78.376% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-08 11:54 |
60 |
Cheese 2.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 13:00 |
61 |
Cheese 2.0 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 14:06 |
62 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 15:12 |
63 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 16:18 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 17:24 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 18:30 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:36 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:42 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 21:48 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 22:54 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 00:00 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 01:06 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 02:12 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 03:17 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 04:23 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 05:29 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:35 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:41 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 08:47 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 09:53 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 10:59 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 12:05 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 13:11 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 14:17 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 15:23 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 16:29 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:35 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:41 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 19:47 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 20:53 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |