For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
10.0 |
14.34 |
1.01 |
1.19 |
85 |
12 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
8.5 |
12.68 |
1.02 |
2.24 |
12 |
59 |
22 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Winter 0.5 |
8.0 |
11.71 |
1.10 |
3.21 |
2 |
20 |
44 |
25 |
7 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
6.5 |
10.91 |
1.20 |
4.03 |
0 |
7 |
24 |
39 |
18 |
8 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
5.5 |
9.48 |
1.24 |
5.43 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
15 |
31 |
30 |
15 |
3 |
0 |
6 |
Tucano 7.07 |
6.0 |
9.38 |
1.07 |
5.59 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
12 |
32 |
32 |
20 |
2 |
0 |
7 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
6.0 |
8.46 |
1.08 |
6.48 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
11 |
26 |
52 |
7 |
0 |
8 |
Minic 0.42 |
4.5 |
6.60 |
1.04 |
7.86 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
86 |
2 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2.5 |
3.76 |
0.95 |
9.15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
82 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
1.5 |
2.67 |
0.94 |
9.83 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
84.130% |
12.048% |
|
96.178% |
|
3.309% |
0.463% |
|
0.050% |
|
0.047% |
0.003% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
13.107% |
56.599% |
|
69.706% |
|
21.785% |
6.790% |
|
1.719% |
|
1.412% |
0.270% |
0.036% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.343% |
18.472% |
|
20.815% |
|
43.945% |
24.503% |
|
10.737% |
|
8.125% |
2.178% |
0.394% |
0.040% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.372% |
10.764% |
|
11.136% |
|
22.046% |
36.769% |
|
30.049% |
|
17.480% |
8.464% |
3.591% |
0.510% |
0.004% |
|
5. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.040% |
1.763% |
|
1.803% |
|
6.088% |
15.383% |
|
76.726% |
|
29.600% |
28.136% |
13.967% |
4.943% |
0.078% |
0.002% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.005% |
0.187% |
|
0.192% |
|
0.848% |
3.808% |
|
95.152% |
|
11.012% |
24.961% |
51.993% |
7.036% |
0.150% |
|
7. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.003% |
0.167% |
|
0.170% |
|
1.973% |
12.168% |
|
85.689% |
|
31.500% |
32.457% |
18.692% |
3.000% |
0.040% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.116% |
|
99.878% |
|
0.823% |
3.500% |
11.105% |
81.387% |
2.979% |
0.084% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.001% |
0.031% |
0.215% |
2.331% |
75.594% |
21.828% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.752% |
21.155% |
78.086% |
Speculate Cheese 2.0 – The Baron 3.44.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
84.355% |
12.276% |
|
96.631% |
|
3.000% |
0.321% |
|
0.048% |
|
0.043% |
0.005% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
12.958% |
60.466% |
|
73.424% |
|
19.193% |
5.235% |
|
2.148% |
|
1.758% |
0.342% |
0.047% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.572% |
19.496% |
|
22.068% |
|
48.099% |
17.857% |
|
11.976% |
|
8.918% |
2.560% |
0.441% |
0.057% |
|
|
4. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.088% |
4.096% |
|
4.184% |
|
12.958% |
27.277% |
|
55.581% |
|
28.282% |
19.780% |
6.127% |
1.386% |
0.006% |
|
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.018% |
3.294% |
|
3.312% |
|
13.235% |
30.413% |
|
53.040% |
|
27.741% |
16.441% |
7.771% |
1.083% |
0.004% |
|
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.005% |
0.203% |
|
0.208% |
|
2.488% |
14.636% |
|
82.668% |
|
23.062% |
35.957% |
20.554% |
3.065% |
0.030% |
|
7. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.004% |
0.169% |
|
0.173% |
|
1.016% |
4.106% |
|
94.705% |
|
9.508% |
22.519% |
55.492% |
7.058% |
0.128% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.011% |
0.155% |
|
99.834% |
|
0.688% |
2.383% |
9.357% |
84.392% |
2.928% |
0.086% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.013% |
0.205% |
2.281% |
76.050% |
21.451% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.677% |
20.854% |
78.463% |
Speculate Cheese 2.0 – The Baron 3.44.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
84.264% |
12.227% |
|
96.491% |
|
3.109% |
0.347% |
|
0.053% |
|
0.048% |
0.005% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
13.091% |
58.843% |
|
71.934% |
|
20.365% |
6.017% |
|
1.684% |
|
1.341% |
0.297% |
0.045% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.497% |
18.951% |
|
21.448% |
|
46.450% |
21.032% |
|
11.070% |
|
8.308% |
2.314% |
0.410% |
0.038% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.139% |
8.768% |
|
8.907% |
|
22.832% |
41.996% |
|
26.265% |
|
16.846% |
6.746% |
2.406% |
0.267% |
|
|
5. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.005% |
0.846% |
|
0.851% |
|
4.072% |
13.437% |
|
81.640% |
|
32.992% |
30.851% |
13.823% |
3.945% |
0.029% |
|
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.003% |
0.174% |
|
0.177% |
|
2.184% |
13.002% |
|
84.637% |
|
29.314% |
32.951% |
19.367% |
2.975% |
0.029% |
0.001% |
7. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.189% |
|
0.190% |
|
0.980% |
4.046% |
|
94.784% |
|
10.342% |
23.635% |
53.420% |
7.263% |
0.124% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.008% |
0.123% |
|
99.867% |
|
0.809% |
3.182% |
10.290% |
82.409% |
3.062% |
0.115% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.019% |
0.233% |
2.350% |
75.629% |
21.769% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.006% |
0.752% |
21.127% |
78.115% |
Speculate Cheese 2.0 – The Baron 3.44.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
84.209% |
11.657% |
|
95.866% |
|
3.429% |
0.641% |
|
0.064% |
|
0.060% |
0.004% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
12.711% |
52.372% |
|
65.083% |
|
25.160% |
8.474% |
|
1.283% |
|
1.039% |
0.198% |
0.044% |
0.002% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.318% |
17.102% |
|
19.420% |
|
38.314% |
33.137% |
|
9.129% |
|
6.963% |
1.762% |
0.379% |
0.025% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.761% |
18.503% |
|
19.264% |
|
30.033% |
39.526% |
|
11.177% |
|
8.722% |
1.969% |
0.456% |
0.030% |
|
|
5. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.001% |
0.118% |
|
0.119% |
|
1.402% |
9.150% |
|
89.329% |
|
41.350% |
28.273% |
16.903% |
2.769% |
0.034% |
|
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
|
0.158% |
|
0.158% |
|
0.685% |
3.128% |
|
96.029% |
|
12.645% |
28.169% |
48.326% |
6.750% |
0.139% |
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.090% |
|
0.090% |
|
0.967% |
5.864% |
|
93.079% |
|
28.206% |
34.948% |
21.032% |
8.759% |
0.133% |
0.001% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
0.080% |
|
99.910% |
|
1.012% |
4.636% |
12.618% |
78.545% |
2.996% |
0.103% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.003% |
0.041% |
0.230% |
2.404% |
75.565% |
21.757% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.012% |
0.716% |
21.133% |
78.139% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-08 12:58 |
61 |
Cheese 2.0 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 14:04 |
62 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 15:10 |
63 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 16:16 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 17:22 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 18:28 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:34 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:40 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 21:46 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 22:52 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 23:58 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 01:04 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 02:10 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 03:16 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 04:22 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 05:28 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:34 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:40 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 08:46 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 09:52 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 10:58 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 12:04 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 13:10 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 14:16 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 15:22 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 16:28 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:34 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:40 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 19:46 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 20:52 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |