For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
10.0 |
14.32 |
1.02 |
1.26 |
78 |
18 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
9.5 |
13.18 |
0.86 |
1.94 |
20 |
67 |
12 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Winter 0.5 |
8.0 |
11.73 |
1.10 |
3.24 |
2 |
13 |
54 |
25 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
7.0 |
10.90 |
1.06 |
3.96 |
0 |
3 |
27 |
49 |
15 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Tucano 7.07 |
6.0 |
9.40 |
1.08 |
5.48 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
38 |
26 |
18 |
2 |
0 |
6 |
Cheese 2.0 |
6.0 |
9.02 |
0.97 |
5.86 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
29 |
39 |
21 |
4 |
0 |
7 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
6.0 |
8.44 |
1.08 |
6.43 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
13 |
26 |
50 |
7 |
0 |
8 |
Minic 0.42 |
4.5 |
6.59 |
1.04 |
7.85 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
10 |
85 |
2 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2.5 |
3.76 |
0.94 |
9.14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
82 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
1.5 |
2.66 |
0.93 |
9.83 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
78.120% |
17.429% |
|
95.549% |
|
4.045% |
0.368% |
|
0.038% |
|
0.036% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
20.073% |
65.350% |
|
85.423% |
|
12.620% |
1.853% |
|
0.104% |
|
0.094% |
0.010% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
1.720% |
12.361% |
|
14.081% |
|
55.689% |
22.171% |
|
8.059% |
|
5.899% |
1.755% |
0.373% |
0.032% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.086% |
4.650% |
|
4.736% |
|
23.720% |
48.441% |
|
23.103% |
|
15.778% |
5.217% |
1.886% |
0.220% |
0.002% |
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.117% |
|
0.118% |
|
0.886% |
4.642% |
|
94.354% |
|
12.072% |
24.969% |
50.245% |
6.912% |
0.156% |
|
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
|
0.084% |
|
0.084% |
|
2.008% |
14.916% |
|
82.992% |
|
35.545% |
27.828% |
16.874% |
2.724% |
0.021% |
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.009% |
|
0.009% |
|
1.019% |
7.451% |
|
91.521% |
|
29.572% |
36.197% |
19.399% |
6.281% |
0.071% |
0.001% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.013% |
0.158% |
|
99.829% |
|
1.003% |
3.993% |
11.003% |
80.642% |
3.085% |
0.103% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.001% |
0.029% |
0.216% |
2.463% |
75.963% |
21.328% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.726% |
20.702% |
78.568% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Igel 1.2 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
78.282% |
17.153% |
|
95.435% |
|
4.118% |
0.406% |
|
0.041% |
|
0.039% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
19.990% |
64.971% |
|
84.961% |
|
12.789% |
2.146% |
|
0.104% |
|
0.098% |
0.005% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
1.641% |
12.439% |
|
14.080% |
|
53.425% |
23.977% |
|
8.518% |
|
6.301% |
1.796% |
0.396% |
0.025% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.086% |
5.291% |
|
5.377% |
|
26.203% |
49.158% |
|
19.262% |
|
14.226% |
3.914% |
1.055% |
0.067% |
|
|
5. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.001% |
0.059% |
|
0.060% |
|
1.813% |
13.129% |
|
84.998% |
|
36.690% |
28.511% |
17.020% |
2.757% |
0.020% |
|
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
|
0.083% |
|
0.083% |
|
0.805% |
4.264% |
|
94.848% |
|
11.811% |
25.095% |
50.739% |
7.070% |
0.133% |
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.842% |
6.803% |
|
92.351% |
|
29.940% |
36.712% |
19.499% |
6.149% |
0.051% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.117% |
|
99.878% |
|
0.892% |
3.939% |
11.032% |
81.300% |
2.659% |
0.056% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.003% |
0.026% |
0.258% |
2.233% |
80.056% |
17.424% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.399% |
17.081% |
82.520% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Igel 1.2 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
78.087% |
17.556% |
|
95.643% |
|
4.068% |
0.269% |
|
0.020% |
|
0.019% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
20.057% |
67.179% |
|
87.236% |
|
11.491% |
1.179% |
|
0.094% |
|
0.081% |
0.012% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
1.850% |
13.293% |
|
15.143% |
|
63.280% |
14.857% |
|
6.720% |
|
4.790% |
1.521% |
0.376% |
0.033% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.004% |
1.763% |
|
1.767% |
|
15.661% |
47.221% |
|
35.351% |
|
22.206% |
9.192% |
3.529% |
0.424% |
|
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.106% |
|
0.107% |
|
1.224% |
6.691% |
|
91.978% |
|
13.452% |
24.624% |
47.012% |
6.724% |
0.166% |
|
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.001% |
0.093% |
|
0.094% |
|
2.767% |
20.681% |
|
76.458% |
|
31.126% |
25.659% |
16.774% |
2.861% |
0.038% |
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.010% |
|
0.010% |
|
1.493% |
8.875% |
|
89.622% |
|
27.123% |
34.715% |
20.714% |
6.990% |
0.079% |
0.001% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.016% |
0.227% |
|
99.757% |
|
1.201% |
4.240% |
11.310% |
79.209% |
3.633% |
0.164% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.002% |
0.036% |
0.260% |
2.625% |
67.886% |
29.191% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.024% |
1.134% |
28.198% |
70.644% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Igel 1.2 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
78.150% |
17.607% |
|
95.757% |
|
3.992% |
0.233% |
|
0.018% |
|
0.017% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
20.014% |
67.776% |
|
87.790% |
|
11.415% |
0.744% |
|
0.051% |
|
0.049% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
1.830% |
13.796% |
|
15.626% |
|
67.532% |
11.168% |
|
5.674% |
|
3.954% |
1.342% |
0.347% |
0.031% |
|
|
4. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.003% |
0.103% |
|
0.106% |
|
3.210% |
26.008% |
|
70.676% |
|
28.142% |
23.598% |
15.933% |
2.953% |
0.048% |
0.002% |
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.002% |
0.591% |
|
0.593% |
|
10.095% |
41.332% |
|
47.980% |
|
25.512% |
13.932% |
7.256% |
1.276% |
0.004% |
|
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.115% |
|
0.116% |
|
1.488% |
8.308% |
|
90.088% |
|
14.819% |
24.394% |
44.182% |
6.528% |
0.163% |
0.002% |
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.010% |
|
0.010% |
|
2.234% |
11.846% |
|
85.910% |
|
26.058% |
32.210% |
20.395% |
7.131% |
0.113% |
0.003% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.034% |
0.361% |
|
99.603% |
|
1.445% |
4.481% |
11.545% |
76.143% |
5.509% |
0.480% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.004% |
0.037% |
0.284% |
2.467% |
45.306% |
51.902% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.003% |
0.058% |
3.471% |
48.857% |
47.611% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-08 15:02 |
63 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 16:08 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 17:14 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 18:20 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:26 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:31 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 21:37 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 22:43 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 23:49 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 00:55 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 02:01 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 03:06 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 04:12 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 05:18 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:24 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:30 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 08:36 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 09:41 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 10:47 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 11:53 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 12:59 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 14:05 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 15:11 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 16:16 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:22 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:28 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 19:34 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 20:40 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |