For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
10.0 |
14.33 |
1.02 |
1.26 |
79 |
17 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
9.5 |
13.19 |
0.86 |
1.95 |
20 |
67 |
12 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Winter 0.5 |
8.0 |
11.74 |
1.09 |
3.26 |
2 |
13 |
52 |
27 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
8.0 |
11.05 |
0.99 |
3.86 |
0 |
3 |
30 |
50 |
13 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Tucano 7.07 |
6.0 |
9.40 |
1.07 |
5.50 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
40 |
27 |
18 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Cheese 2.0 |
6.0 |
9.02 |
0.97 |
5.89 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
29 |
40 |
22 |
4 |
0 |
7 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
6.0 |
8.43 |
1.07 |
6.45 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
12 |
27 |
50 |
7 |
0 |
8 |
Minic 0.42 |
4.5 |
6.59 |
1.03 |
7.86 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
10 |
86 |
2 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2.5 |
3.75 |
0.94 |
9.10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
87 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
1.5 |
2.49 |
0.84 |
9.88 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
78.313% |
17.292% |
|
95.605% |
|
3.921% |
0.429% |
|
0.045% |
|
0.043% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
19.865% |
65.303% |
|
85.168% |
|
12.725% |
1.998% |
|
0.109% |
|
0.102% |
0.006% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
1.731% |
11.920% |
|
13.651% |
|
53.826% |
24.133% |
|
8.390% |
|
6.197% |
1.777% |
0.385% |
0.031% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.088% |
5.309% |
|
5.397% |
|
26.134% |
49.275% |
|
19.194% |
|
14.251% |
3.828% |
1.040% |
0.075% |
|
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.003% |
0.097% |
|
0.100% |
|
0.746% |
4.094% |
|
95.060% |
|
11.726% |
25.232% |
50.937% |
7.007% |
0.158% |
|
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
|
0.073% |
|
0.073% |
|
1.823% |
13.125% |
|
84.979% |
|
36.639% |
28.654% |
16.869% |
2.795% |
0.022% |
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.816% |
6.839% |
|
92.339% |
|
30.123% |
36.410% |
19.524% |
6.221% |
0.061% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
0.107% |
|
99.884% |
|
0.917% |
4.060% |
10.974% |
81.147% |
2.721% |
0.065% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.002% |
0.031% |
0.267% |
2.339% |
80.143% |
17.218% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.385% |
16.895% |
82.717% |
Speculate Nemorino 5.08 – Minic 0.42 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
82.730% |
14.646% |
|
97.376% |
|
2.492% |
0.127% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
16.094% |
68.527% |
|
84.621% |
|
13.133% |
2.124% |
|
0.122% |
|
0.110% |
0.010% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
1.133% |
11.275% |
|
12.408% |
|
54.834% |
24.441% |
|
8.317% |
|
6.189% |
1.728% |
0.379% |
0.021% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.043% |
5.431% |
|
5.474% |
|
26.363% |
49.436% |
|
18.727% |
|
14.042% |
3.627% |
1.015% |
0.043% |
|
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
|
0.073% |
|
0.073% |
|
0.725% |
4.030% |
|
95.172% |
|
11.509% |
25.473% |
53.002% |
5.089% |
0.099% |
|
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
|
0.046% |
|
0.046% |
|
1.650% |
12.885% |
|
85.419% |
|
36.942% |
29.129% |
17.319% |
2.008% |
0.021% |
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.803% |
6.928% |
|
92.267% |
|
30.816% |
37.371% |
19.103% |
4.932% |
0.045% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.029% |
|
99.971% |
|
0.385% |
2.633% |
8.942% |
84.898% |
3.051% |
0.062% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.002% |
0.029% |
0.234% |
2.590% |
79.719% |
17.426% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.419% |
17.065% |
82.512% |
Speculate Nemorino 5.08 – Minic 0.42 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
66.822% |
24.963% |
|
91.785% |
|
7.417% |
0.731% |
|
0.067% |
|
0.063% |
0.004% |
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
29.793% |
55.548% |
|
85.341% |
|
12.470% |
2.061% |
|
0.128% |
|
0.116% |
0.011% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
3.220% |
13.958% |
|
17.178% |
|
51.458% |
23.019% |
|
8.345% |
|
6.133% |
1.717% |
0.440% |
0.055% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.160% |
5.303% |
|
5.463% |
|
24.833% |
48.923% |
|
20.781% |
|
15.051% |
4.322% |
1.264% |
0.144% |
|
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.004% |
0.115% |
|
0.119% |
|
0.959% |
4.727% |
|
94.195% |
|
12.692% |
25.346% |
44.922% |
11.032% |
0.203% |
|
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.001% |
0.110% |
|
0.111% |
|
2.095% |
13.931% |
|
83.863% |
|
36.255% |
27.155% |
16.058% |
4.362% |
0.033% |
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.759% |
6.389% |
|
92.849% |
|
27.930% |
34.473% |
20.419% |
9.932% |
0.095% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
0.219% |
|
99.772% |
|
1.757% |
6.943% |
16.728% |
73.101% |
1.231% |
0.012% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.003% |
0.029% |
0.168% |
1.267% |
82.425% |
16.108% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.107% |
16.013% |
83.880% |
Speculate Nemorino 5.08 – Minic 0.42 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
54.335% |
31.027% |
|
85.362% |
|
12.177% |
2.126% |
|
0.335% |
|
0.314% |
0.020% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
41.074% |
45.107% |
|
86.181% |
|
11.637% |
2.034% |
|
0.148% |
|
0.135% |
0.013% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
4.199% |
17.616% |
|
21.815% |
|
47.326% |
22.449% |
|
8.410% |
|
5.945% |
1.881% |
0.470% |
0.114% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.386% |
5.840% |
|
6.226% |
|
24.423% |
47.715% |
|
21.636% |
|
15.037% |
4.787% |
1.490% |
0.321% |
0.001% |
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.006% |
0.142% |
|
0.148% |
|
0.988% |
4.791% |
|
94.073% |
|
12.980% |
24.076% |
38.677% |
18.052% |
0.288% |
|
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
|
0.262% |
|
0.262% |
|
2.547% |
13.810% |
|
83.381% |
|
35.277% |
25.402% |
15.411% |
7.251% |
0.040% |
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.826% |
6.243% |
|
92.925% |
|
25.813% |
31.506% |
20.966% |
14.536% |
0.104% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.076% |
0.832% |
|
99.092% |
|
4.496% |
12.296% |
22.882% |
59.074% |
0.343% |
0.001% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.003% |
0.019% |
0.102% |
0.627% |
83.600% |
15.649% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.025% |
15.624% |
84.350% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-08 16:10 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 17:16 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 18:22 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:28 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:34 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 21:40 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 22:45 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 23:51 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 00:57 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 02:03 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 03:09 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 04:15 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 05:21 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:27 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:32 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 08:38 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 09:44 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 10:50 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 11:56 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 13:02 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 14:08 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 15:13 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 16:19 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:25 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:31 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 19:37 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 20:43 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |