For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
11.0 |
14.54 |
0.93 |
1.17 |
84 |
16 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
10.5 |
13.26 |
0.81 |
1.89 |
16 |
79 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
8.0 |
11.09 |
0.99 |
3.72 |
0 |
3 |
48 |
31 |
12 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Winter 0.5 |
8.0 |
10.97 |
0.97 |
3.81 |
0 |
2 |
41 |
38 |
12 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
8.0 |
9.85 |
0.82 |
5.11 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
19 |
42 |
27 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Cheese 2.0 |
6.0 |
9.10 |
0.97 |
6.08 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
19 |
31 |
38 |
3 |
0 |
7 |
Tucano 7.07 |
7.0 |
8.98 |
0.83 |
6.27 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
15 |
31 |
48 |
1 |
0 |
8 |
Minic 0.42 |
4.5 |
6.44 |
0.96 |
7.95 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
95 |
0 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2.5 |
3.24 |
0.71 |
9.21 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
1.5 |
2.52 |
0.85 |
9.79 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
84.132% |
14.942% |
|
99.074% |
|
0.875% |
0.044% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
15.763% |
76.108% |
|
91.871% |
|
7.248% |
0.774% |
|
0.107% |
|
0.104% |
0.003% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.067% |
2.616% |
|
2.683% |
|
44.609% |
32.821% |
|
19.887% |
|
12.141% |
6.141% |
1.546% |
0.059% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.036% |
5.749% |
|
5.785% |
|
38.448% |
32.120% |
|
23.647% |
|
15.567% |
6.561% |
1.476% |
0.043% |
|
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.002% |
0.583% |
|
0.585% |
|
6.774% |
20.397% |
|
72.244% |
|
35.934% |
27.822% |
8.437% |
0.051% |
|
|
6. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
1.451% |
9.256% |
|
89.291% |
|
19.955% |
29.043% |
34.404% |
5.883% |
0.006% |
|
7. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.594% |
4.558% |
|
94.848% |
|
16.107% |
29.308% |
46.609% |
2.824% |
|
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.030% |
|
99.969% |
|
0.185% |
1.122% |
7.527% |
90.113% |
1.004% |
0.018% |
9. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.523% |
25.808% |
73.668% |
10. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.504% |
73.182% |
26.314% |
Speculate Winter 0.5 – Nemorino 5.08 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
67.473% |
29.304% |
|
96.777% |
|
3.010% |
0.196% |
|
0.017% |
|
0.017% |
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
32.186% |
58.176% |
|
90.362% |
|
8.191% |
1.291% |
|
0.156% |
|
0.155% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.238% |
7.510% |
|
7.748% |
|
61.870% |
24.205% |
|
6.177% |
|
4.650% |
1.406% |
0.121% |
|
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.100% |
4.613% |
|
4.713% |
|
22.875% |
44.864% |
|
27.548% |
|
18.411% |
7.571% |
1.519% |
0.047% |
|
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.003% |
0.396% |
|
0.399% |
|
3.273% |
20.464% |
|
75.864% |
|
39.352% |
28.402% |
8.053% |
0.057% |
|
|
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.150% |
3.882% |
|
95.967% |
|
17.089% |
30.299% |
46.123% |
2.456% |
|
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.631% |
5.096% |
|
94.273% |
|
20.177% |
31.241% |
36.940% |
5.911% |
0.004% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
|
99.998% |
|
0.149% |
1.080% |
7.242% |
90.476% |
1.025% |
0.026% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.575% |
74.376% |
25.047% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.478% |
24.595% |
74.927% |
Speculate Winter 0.5 – Nemorino 5.08 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
81.906% |
17.859% |
|
99.765% |
|
0.231% |
0.004% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
18.075% |
74.481% |
|
92.556% |
|
6.640% |
0.709% |
|
0.095% |
|
0.095% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.019% |
5.413% |
|
5.432% |
|
35.395% |
33.971% |
|
25.202% |
|
16.626% |
7.009% |
1.516% |
0.051% |
|
|
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
|
1.715% |
|
1.715% |
|
49.674% |
32.964% |
|
15.647% |
|
10.749% |
4.212% |
0.676% |
0.010% |
|
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
|
0.527% |
|
0.527% |
|
6.407% |
20.034% |
|
73.032% |
|
36.171% |
28.312% |
8.500% |
0.049% |
|
|
6. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
1.276% |
8.155% |
|
90.565% |
|
19.721% |
30.040% |
34.991% |
5.810% |
0.003% |
|
7. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.376% |
4.142% |
|
95.481% |
|
16.476% |
29.271% |
47.015% |
2.719% |
|
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.021% |
|
99.978% |
|
0.162% |
1.156% |
7.302% |
90.336% |
0.998% |
0.024% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.535% |
73.905% |
25.560% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.490% |
25.094% |
74.416% |
Speculate Winter 0.5 – Nemorino 5.08 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
93.169% |
6.809% |
|
99.978% |
|
0.022% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
6.825% |
85.825% |
|
92.650% |
|
6.865% |
0.432% |
|
0.053% |
|
0.052% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.006% |
6.294% |
|
6.300% |
|
47.498% |
25.018% |
|
21.184% |
|
13.735% |
6.055% |
1.345% |
0.049% |
|
|
4. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
|
0.627% |
|
0.627% |
|
8.450% |
20.408% |
|
70.515% |
|
34.116% |
27.791% |
8.548% |
0.060% |
|
|
5. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
|
0.444% |
|
0.444% |
|
34.430% |
37.159% |
|
27.967% |
|
16.459% |
9.078% |
2.299% |
0.131% |
|
|
6. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
1.864% |
11.934% |
|
86.201% |
|
19.952% |
27.587% |
32.948% |
5.711% |
0.003% |
|
7. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.870% |
5.016% |
|
94.114% |
|
15.475% |
28.252% |
47.345% |
3.042% |
|
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.033% |
|
99.966% |
|
0.211% |
1.236% |
7.514% |
90.002% |
0.978% |
0.025% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.465% |
72.724% |
26.810% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.540% |
26.295% |
73.165% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-08 21:20 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 22:26 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 23:31 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 00:37 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 01:42 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 02:48 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 03:54 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 04:59 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:05 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:10 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 08:16 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 09:22 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 10:27 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 11:33 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 12:38 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 13:44 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 14:50 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 15:55 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:01 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:06 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 19:12 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 20:17 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |