For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | chess22k 1.12 | 2.0 | 12.40 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | Wasp 3.59 | 1.0 | 10.83 | 3.38 | 4.03 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 3 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 1.5 | 10.13 | 2.78 | 4.45 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 4 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 1.0 | 9.62 | 3.80 | 5.01 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 5 | Monolith 1 | 1.0 | 9.48 | 2.67 | 5.00 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | Marvin 20190228 | 1.0 | 9.12 | 2.66 | 5.31 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
| 7 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.5 | 8.46 | 2.81 | 5.90 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 8 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 7.58 | 2.82 | 6.65 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 9 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.5 | 6.51 | 2.80 | 7.53 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.5 | 5.86 | 1.76 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 29 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | chess22k 1.12 | 34.865% | 21.621% | 56.486% | 14.030% | 9.921% | 19.563% | 7.105% | 5.089% | 3.333% | 2.136% | 1.255% | 0.645% | |||||
| 2. | Wasp 3.59 | 21.344% | 16.640% | 37.984% | 12.940% | 10.660% | 38.416% | 9.395% | 7.910% | 6.653% | 5.616% | 4.639% | 4.203% | |||||
| 3. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 15.982% | 12.508% | 28.490% | 10.469% | 9.210% | 51.831% | 8.711% | 8.565% | 8.344% | 8.060% | 8.041% | 10.110% | |||||
| 4. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 10.484% | 14.478% | 24.962% | 15.124% | 13.930% | 45.984% | 12.323% | 10.728% | 8.995% | 6.545% | 4.646% | 2.747% | |||||
| 5. | Monolith 1 | 6.137% | 10.813% | 16.950% | 13.372% | 14.476% | 55.202% | 13.857% | 12.429% | 10.419% | 8.264% | 6.067% | 4.166% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 4.807% | 9.111% | 13.918% | 12.008% | 13.425% | 60.649% | 13.910% | 13.415% | 11.558% | 9.423% | 7.122% | 5.221% | |||||
| 7. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 3.420% | 7.244% | 10.664% | 9.971% | 11.577% | 67.788% | 12.386% | 12.583% | 12.451% | 11.161% | 9.996% | 9.211% | |||||
| 8. | Bagatur 1.5f | 1.780% | 4.757% | 6.537% | 7.247% | 9.327% | 76.889% | 10.978% | 11.987% | 12.728% | 13.041% | 12.996% | 15.159% | |||||
| 9. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.160% | 2.672% | 3.832% | 4.305% | 5.880% | 85.983% | 7.645% | 9.556% | 11.653% | 14.020% | 17.292% | 25.817% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.021% | 0.156% | 0.177% | 0.534% | 1.594% | 97.695% | 3.690% | 7.738% | 13.866% | 21.734% | 27.946% | 22.721% |
Speculate pirarucu 2.9.5 – Wasp 3.59 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 41.462% | 19.892% | 61.354% | 12.240% | 8.401% | 18.005% | 5.974% | 4.434% | 3.182% | 2.118% | 1.445% | 0.852% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 23.787% | 20.936% | 44.723% | 15.309% | 11.759% | 28.209% | 8.979% | 6.716% | 4.990% | 3.667% | 2.527% | 1.330% | |||||
| 3. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 11.473% | 15.537% | 27.010% | 15.836% | 14.076% | 43.078% | 11.958% | 9.809% | 7.858% | 6.111% | 4.585% | 2.757% | |||||
| 4. | Wasp 3.59 | 8.530% | 13.617% | 22.147% | 14.043% | 12.893% | 50.917% | 11.876% | 10.300% | 9.101% | 7.783% | 6.810% | 5.047% | |||||
| 5. | Monolith 1 | 5.686% | 10.247% | 15.933% | 12.944% | 14.166% | 56.957% | 13.439% | 12.392% | 10.579% | 8.652% | 7.074% | 4.821% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 3.961% | 7.883% | 11.844% | 10.598% | 12.464% | 65.094% | 13.092% | 13.061% | 12.045% | 10.706% | 9.442% | 6.748% | |||||
| 7. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 2.374% | 5.260% | 7.634% | 7.866% | 9.765% | 74.735% | 11.036% | 11.982% | 12.532% | 12.697% | 13.058% | 13.430% | |||||
| 8. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.632% | 3.613% | 5.245% | 5.384% | 6.974% | 82.397% | 8.634% | 10.015% | 11.401% | 13.184% | 16.888% | 22.275% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 1.039% | 2.578% | 3.617% | 4.265% | 5.761% | 86.357% | 7.521% | 8.949% | 10.569% | 12.733% | 16.851% | 29.734% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.056% | 0.437% | 0.493% | 1.515% | 3.741% | 94.251% | 7.491% | 12.342% | 17.743% | 22.349% | 21.320% | 13.006% |
Speculate pirarucu 2.9.5 – Wasp 3.59 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | chess22k 1.12 | 33.925% | 19.314% | 53.239% | 13.880% | 10.329% | 22.552% | 7.871% | 5.785% | 4.064% | 2.578% | 1.526% | 0.728% | |||||
| 2. | Wasp 3.59 | 21.122% | 20.189% | 41.311% | 16.058% | 12.834% | 29.797% | 9.900% | 7.626% | 5.450% | 3.530% | 2.199% | 1.092% | |||||
| 3. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 18.237% | 17.625% | 35.862% | 15.070% | 12.483% | 36.585% | 10.550% | 8.613% | 7.034% | 5.102% | 3.332% | 1.954% | |||||
| 4. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 10.050% | 12.680% | 22.730% | 13.720% | 13.681% | 49.869% | 12.864% | 11.420% | 9.607% | 7.499% | 5.259% | 3.220% | |||||
| 5. | Monolith 1 | 5.644% | 9.255% | 14.899% | 11.722% | 13.083% | 60.296% | 13.766% | 13.390% | 11.632% | 9.643% | 7.095% | 4.770% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 4.519% | 7.816% | 12.335% | 10.356% | 12.440% | 64.869% | 13.515% | 13.863% | 12.790% | 10.687% | 8.132% | 5.882% | |||||
| 7. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 3.265% | 6.195% | 9.460% | 8.718% | 10.327% | 71.495% | 11.778% | 12.744% | 13.052% | 12.460% | 10.998% | 10.463% | |||||
| 8. | Bagatur 1.5f | 2.108% | 4.522% | 6.630% | 6.527% | 8.522% | 78.321% | 9.967% | 11.014% | 12.401% | 13.240% | 13.905% | 17.794% | |||||
| 9. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.117% | 2.316% | 3.433% | 3.563% | 5.122% | 87.882% | 6.693% | 8.984% | 11.431% | 14.232% | 18.343% | 28.199% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.013% | 0.088% | 0.101% | 0.386% | 1.179% | 98.334% | 3.096% | 6.561% | 12.539% | 21.029% | 29.211% | 25.898% |
Speculate pirarucu 2.9.5 – Wasp 3.59 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Wasp 3.59 | 38.334% | 23.784% | 62.118% | 13.849% | 8.829% | 15.204% | 6.191% | 3.926% | 2.627% | 1.519% | 0.691% | 0.250% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 35.739% | 23.947% | 59.686% | 14.461% | 9.417% | 16.436% | 6.446% | 4.452% | 2.819% | 1.638% | 0.801% | 0.280% | |||||
| 3. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 6.248% | 10.939% | 17.187% | 13.269% | 14.027% | 55.517% | 13.693% | 13.110% | 11.552% | 8.811% | 5.389% | 2.962% | |||||
| 4. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 6.136% | 10.365% | 16.501% | 12.202% | 12.071% | 59.226% | 11.618% | 11.796% | 11.334% | 10.640% | 8.002% | 5.836% | |||||
| 5. | Monolith 1 | 3.946% | 8.238% | 12.184% | 11.752% | 13.856% | 62.208% | 14.868% | 14.295% | 13.028% | 10.030% | 6.277% | 3.710% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 3.710% | 7.699% | 11.409% | 11.317% | 13.619% | 63.655% | 14.447% | 14.669% | 13.256% | 10.408% | 6.786% | 4.089% | |||||
| 7. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 2.784% | 6.832% | 9.616% | 10.083% | 12.261% | 68.040% | 13.251% | 13.888% | 13.544% | 12.171% | 8.602% | 6.584% | |||||
| 8. | Bagatur 1.5f | 2.642% | 6.827% | 9.469% | 10.494% | 11.668% | 68.369% | 12.476% | 12.779% | 12.879% | 12.018% | 9.590% | 8.627% | |||||
| 9. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.461% | 1.349% | 1.810% | 2.485% | 3.851% | 91.854% | 5.700% | 7.800% | 10.957% | 15.417% | 21.097% | 30.883% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.020% | 0.020% | 0.088% | 0.401% | 99.491% | 1.310% | 3.285% | 8.004% | 17.348% | 32.765% | 36.779% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.18h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-11 05:46 | 11 | Wasp 3.59 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 06:57 | 12 | chess22k 1.12 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 08:08 | 13 | Marvin 20190228 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 09:18 | 14 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 10:29 | 15 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 11:40 | 16 | Gaviota 1.01 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 12:50 | 17 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-11 14:01 | 18 | Bagatur 1.5f | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-11 15:12 | 19 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-11 16:22 | 20 | Wasp 3.59 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-11 17:33 | 21 | chess22k 1.12 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 18:44 | 22 | Marvin 20190228 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-11 19:54 | 23 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 21:05 | 24 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 22:16 | 25 | Monolith 1 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 23:27 | 26 | Gaviota 1.01 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 00:37 | 27 | Bagatur 1.5f | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 01:48 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 02:59 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 04:09 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 05:20 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 06:31 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 07:41 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 08:52 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 10:03 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 11:13 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 12:24 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 13:35 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 14:45 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 15:56 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 17:07 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 18:17 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 19:28 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 20:39 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 21:49 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 23:00 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 00:11 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 01:21 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 02:32 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 03:43 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 04:54 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 06:04 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 07:15 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 08:26 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 09:36 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 10:47 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 11:58 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 13:08 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 14:19 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 15:30 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 16:40 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 17:51 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 19:02 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 20:12 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 21:23 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 22:34 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 23:44 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 00:55 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 02:06 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 03:16 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 04:27 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 05:38 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 06:49 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 07:59 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 09:10 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 10:21 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 11:31 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 12:42 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 13:53 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 15:03 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 16:14 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 17:25 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 18:35 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 19:46 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 20:57 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 22:07 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 23:18 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-15 00:29 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-15 01:39 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-15 02:50 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |