For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 2.0 | 12.72 | 2.93 | 2.61 | 43 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 2 | chess22k 1.12 | 2.0 | 11.53 | 2.88 | 3.38 | 24 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| 3 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 1.5 | 10.23 | 2.76 | 4.36 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 4 | Wasp 3.59 | 1.0 | 9.65 | 2.95 | 4.88 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 5 | Monolith 1 | 1.0 | 9.32 | 2.66 | 5.13 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 6 | Marvin 20190228 | 1.0 | 8.73 | 2.66 | 5.66 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
| 7 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.5 | 7.84 | 2.77 | 6.46 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 8 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.5 | 6.92 | 2.84 | 7.22 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.5 | 6.70 | 1.82 | 7.64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 22 | 22 |
| 10 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 6.37 | 2.88 | 7.64 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 17 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 41.778% | 19.867% | 61.645% | 12.313% | 8.248% | 17.794% | 5.911% | 4.281% | 3.099% | 2.155% | 1.474% | 0.874% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 23.709% | 21.066% | 44.775% | 15.322% | 11.578% | 28.325% | 8.916% | 6.768% | 5.065% | 3.666% | 2.582% | 1.328% | |||||
| 3. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 11.153% | 15.506% | 26.659% | 15.629% | 14.121% | 43.591% | 12.054% | 9.997% | 7.986% | 6.140% | 4.619% | 2.795% | |||||
| 4. | Wasp 3.59 | 8.494% | 13.612% | 22.106% | 13.899% | 12.865% | 51.130% | 11.718% | 10.441% | 9.089% | 7.951% | 6.965% | 4.966% | |||||
| 5. | Monolith 1 | 5.674% | 10.330% | 16.004% | 13.198% | 14.050% | 56.748% | 13.664% | 12.070% | 10.357% | 8.791% | 7.039% | 4.827% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 3.998% | 7.758% | 11.756% | 10.615% | 12.484% | 65.145% | 13.108% | 13.027% | 12.035% | 10.673% | 9.324% | 6.978% | |||||
| 7. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 2.399% | 5.282% | 7.681% | 7.885% | 9.829% | 74.605% | 11.145% | 12.218% | 12.263% | 12.490% | 13.165% | 13.324% | |||||
| 8. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.693% | 3.440% | 5.133% | 5.346% | 7.061% | 82.460% | 8.642% | 9.966% | 11.758% | 13.450% | 16.768% | 21.876% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 1.047% | 2.696% | 3.743% | 4.262% | 5.881% | 86.114% | 7.447% | 8.812% | 10.597% | 12.727% | 16.722% | 29.809% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.055% | 0.443% | 0.498% | 1.531% | 3.883% | 94.088% | 7.395% | 12.420% | 17.751% | 21.957% | 21.342% | 13.223% |
Speculate Wasp 3.59 – Gaviota 1.01 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 45.954% | 19.526% | 65.480% | 11.258% | 7.538% | 15.724% | 5.503% | 3.864% | 2.697% | 1.832% | 1.168% | 0.660% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 22.850% | 21.871% | 44.721% | 16.258% | 12.097% | 26.924% | 9.133% | 6.711% | 4.880% | 3.237% | 1.997% | 0.966% | |||||
| 3. | Wasp 3.59 | 11.490% | 19.381% | 30.871% | 17.852% | 14.801% | 36.476% | 11.778% | 9.215% | 6.939% | 4.636% | 2.681% | 1.227% | |||||
| 4. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 8.074% | 12.974% | 21.048% | 14.786% | 14.651% | 49.515% | 13.242% | 11.722% | 9.428% | 7.157% | 5.015% | 2.951% | |||||
| 5. | Monolith 1 | 4.288% | 8.768% | 13.056% | 12.226% | 14.064% | 60.654% | 14.410% | 13.658% | 11.472% | 9.295% | 7.047% | 4.772% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 3.205% | 7.006% | 10.211% | 10.208% | 12.577% | 67.004% | 13.860% | 14.141% | 12.935% | 10.922% | 8.743% | 6.403% | |||||
| 7. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 2.028% | 4.917% | 6.945% | 7.821% | 9.990% | 75.244% | 11.815% | 12.730% | 13.497% | 12.866% | 12.435% | 11.901% | |||||
| 8. | Bagatur 1.5f | 1.221% | 3.114% | 4.335% | 5.148% | 7.127% | 83.390% | 8.743% | 10.165% | 11.930% | 13.374% | 15.278% | 23.900% | |||||
| 9. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.880% | 2.376% | 3.256% | 4.023% | 5.674% | 87.047% | 7.768% | 9.736% | 11.808% | 14.329% | 17.815% | 25.591% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.010% | 0.067% | 0.077% | 0.420% | 1.481% | 98.022% | 3.748% | 8.058% | 14.414% | 22.352% | 27.821% | 21.629% |
Speculate Wasp 3.59 – Gaviota 1.01 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 44.581% | 18.553% | 63.134% | 11.351% | 7.591% | 17.924% | 5.559% | 4.093% | 3.024% | 2.370% | 1.877% | 1.001% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 19.533% | 19.192% | 38.725% | 14.747% | 11.745% | 34.783% | 9.278% | 7.659% | 6.437% | 5.418% | 4.082% | 1.909% | |||||
| 3. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 14.967% | 19.134% | 34.101% | 16.379% | 12.898% | 36.622% | 10.241% | 8.181% | 6.709% | 5.304% | 4.155% | 2.032% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 7.036% | 12.266% | 19.302% | 13.962% | 14.006% | 52.730% | 12.528% | 10.940% | 9.569% | 8.346% | 7.077% | 4.270% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 4.303% | 8.497% | 12.800% | 10.543% | 11.810% | 64.847% | 12.341% | 11.845% | 11.713% | 11.387% | 10.536% | 7.025% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 3.508% | 8.252% | 11.760% | 10.812% | 11.935% | 65.493% | 12.007% | 12.206% | 11.954% | 11.891% | 11.107% | 6.328% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.996% | 5.788% | 8.784% | 7.729% | 9.049% | 74.438% | 9.772% | 10.321% | 11.365% | 12.794% | 15.175% | 15.011% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 2.150% | 4.901% | 7.051% | 7.085% | 8.483% | 77.381% | 9.917% | 10.806% | 11.738% | 13.786% | 16.078% | 15.056% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.673% | 1.742% | 2.415% | 2.840% | 3.744% | 91.001% | 4.945% | 6.135% | 8.160% | 11.120% | 17.993% | 42.648% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.253% | 1.675% | 1.928% | 4.552% | 8.739% | 84.781% | 13.412% | 17.814% | 19.331% | 17.584% | 11.920% | 4.720% |
Speculate Wasp 3.59 – Gaviota 1.01 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 42.296% | 18.039% | 60.335% | 11.166% | 7.850% | 20.649% | 5.889% | 4.829% | 3.880% | 3.085% | 2.029% | 0.937% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 20.037% | 21.379% | 41.416% | 15.644% | 11.932% | 31.008% | 9.316% | 7.547% | 6.022% | 4.340% | 2.716% | 1.067% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 14.549% | 15.750% | 30.299% | 13.186% | 11.596% | 44.919% | 10.517% | 9.659% | 9.044% | 7.969% | 5.658% | 2.072% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 8.371% | 13.155% | 21.526% | 14.446% | 13.342% | 50.686% | 12.274% | 11.311% | 10.328% | 8.499% | 5.710% | 2.564% | |||||
| 5. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 4.960% | 8.463% | 13.423% | 10.054% | 10.604% | 65.919% | 11.026% | 11.491% | 12.027% | 12.430% | 11.525% | 7.420% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 4.421% | 8.047% | 12.468% | 9.989% | 11.075% | 66.468% | 11.964% | 12.985% | 13.456% | 12.735% | 10.157% | 5.171% | |||||
| 7. | Gaviota 1.01 | 1.919% | 7.327% | 9.246% | 13.844% | 18.556% | 58.354% | 19.509% | 16.999% | 12.290% | 6.638% | 2.402% | 0.516% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 1.862% | 3.829% | 5.691% | 5.683% | 7.092% | 81.534% | 8.852% | 10.736% | 13.408% | 16.831% | 18.197% | 13.510% | |||||
| 9. | Wasp 3.59 | 1.233% | 3.197% | 4.430% | 4.629% | 5.935% | 85.006% | 7.654% | 10.208% | 13.187% | 17.026% | 22.307% | 14.624% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.352% | 0.814% | 1.166% | 1.359% | 2.018% | 95.457% | 2.999% | 4.235% | 6.358% | 10.447% | 19.299% | 52.119% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.17h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-11 06:55 | 12 | chess22k 1.12 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 08:05 | 13 | Marvin 20190228 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 09:16 | 14 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 10:26 | 15 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 11:37 | 16 | Gaviota 1.01 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 12:47 | 17 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-11 13:58 | 18 | Bagatur 1.5f | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-11 15:08 | 19 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-11 16:19 | 20 | Wasp 3.59 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-11 17:29 | 21 | chess22k 1.12 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 18:40 | 22 | Marvin 20190228 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-11 19:50 | 23 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 21:01 | 24 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 22:11 | 25 | Monolith 1 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 23:22 | 26 | Gaviota 1.01 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 00:32 | 27 | Bagatur 1.5f | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 01:43 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 02:53 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 04:04 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 05:14 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 06:25 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 07:35 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 08:46 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 09:56 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 11:07 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 12:17 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 13:28 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 14:38 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 15:49 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 16:59 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 18:10 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 19:20 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 20:31 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 21:41 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 22:52 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 00:02 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 01:13 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 02:23 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 03:34 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 04:44 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 05:55 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 07:05 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 08:16 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 09:26 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 10:37 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 11:47 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 12:58 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 14:08 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 15:19 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 16:29 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 17:40 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 18:50 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 20:01 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 21:11 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 22:22 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 23:32 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 00:43 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 01:53 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 03:04 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 04:14 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 05:25 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 06:35 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 07:46 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 08:56 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 10:07 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 11:17 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 12:28 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 13:38 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 14:49 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 15:59 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 17:10 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 18:20 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 19:31 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 20:41 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 21:52 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 23:02 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-15 00:13 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-15 01:23 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-15 02:34 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |