For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 2.0 | 12.75 | 2.99 | 2.59 | 46 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 2 | chess22k 1.12 | 2.0 | 10.96 | 2.94 | 3.81 | 19 | 20 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 1.5 | 10.72 | 2.74 | 3.94 | 15 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Monolith 1 | 1.0 | 9.55 | 2.67 | 4.94 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| 5 | Marvin 20190228 | 1.0 | 8.74 | 2.67 | 5.69 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| 6 | Wasp 3.59 | 1.5 | 8.65 | 2.61 | 5.77 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 7 | Gaviota 1.01 | 1.0 | 7.88 | 1.78 | 6.59 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 12 |
| 8 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.5 | 7.71 | 2.88 | 6.60 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 16 |
| 9 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.5 | 7.58 | 2.76 | 6.73 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 5.47 | 2.84 | 8.33 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 18 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 44.547% | 18.681% | 63.228% | 11.273% | 7.570% | 17.929% | 5.613% | 4.026% | 3.115% | 2.415% | 1.791% | 0.969% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 19.472% | 19.294% | 38.766% | 14.728% | 11.578% | 34.928% | 9.305% | 7.660% | 6.495% | 5.508% | 4.137% | 1.823% | |||||
| 3. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 15.279% | 19.069% | 34.348% | 16.302% | 12.840% | 36.510% | 10.296% | 8.423% | 6.553% | 5.271% | 3.910% | 2.057% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 6.937% | 12.142% | 19.079% | 14.177% | 13.894% | 52.850% | 12.579% | 11.126% | 9.483% | 8.519% | 6.989% | 4.154% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 4.374% | 8.388% | 12.762% | 10.970% | 11.853% | 64.415% | 12.108% | 11.748% | 11.692% | 11.387% | 10.448% | 7.032% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 3.489% | 8.399% | 11.888% | 10.558% | 11.842% | 65.712% | 12.164% | 12.136% | 12.104% | 11.804% | 11.135% | 6.369% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.892% | 5.824% | 8.716% | 7.652% | 8.962% | 74.670% | 9.619% | 10.498% | 11.066% | 12.796% | 15.527% | 15.164% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 2.035% | 4.801% | 6.836% | 7.005% | 8.521% | 77.638% | 9.743% | 10.588% | 12.055% | 13.791% | 16.357% | 15.104% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.694% | 1.743% | 2.437% | 2.821% | 4.032% | 90.710% | 4.877% | 6.176% | 7.988% | 10.974% | 17.991% | 42.704% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.281% | 1.659% | 1.940% | 4.514% | 8.908% | 84.638% | 13.696% | 17.619% | 19.449% | 17.535% | 11.715% | 4.624% |
Speculate chess22k 1.12 – pirarucu 2.9.5 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | chess22k 1.12 | 49.198% | 20.867% | 70.065% | 11.862% | 7.545% | 10.528% | 4.667% | 2.780% | 1.632% | 0.906% | 0.422% | 0.121% | |||||
| 2. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 14.141% | 19.821% | 33.962% | 16.535% | 13.811% | 35.692% | 11.496% | 8.772% | 6.476% | 4.507% | 2.947% | 1.494% | |||||
| 3. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 13.668% | 16.919% | 30.587% | 16.131% | 14.036% | 39.246% | 11.770% | 9.456% | 7.110% | 5.235% | 3.721% | 1.954% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 8.084% | 12.676% | 20.760% | 15.087% | 15.100% | 49.053% | 13.685% | 11.250% | 9.127% | 6.898% | 5.043% | 3.050% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 6.410% | 10.859% | 17.269% | 13.451% | 14.450% | 54.830% | 13.919% | 12.462% | 10.273% | 8.054% | 6.291% | 3.831% | |||||
| 6. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 4.345% | 9.006% | 13.351% | 11.176% | 12.231% | 63.242% | 12.652% | 12.336% | 11.329% | 10.079% | 9.347% | 7.499% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.721% | 3.649% | 5.370% | 5.427% | 7.239% | 81.964% | 8.954% | 10.653% | 12.080% | 13.903% | 16.949% | 19.425% | |||||
| 8. | Wasp 3.59 | 1.642% | 3.815% | 5.457% | 6.118% | 8.484% | 79.941% | 10.846% | 13.073% | 14.213% | 15.141% | 15.973% | 10.695% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.750% | 2.149% | 2.899% | 3.197% | 4.321% | 89.583% | 5.633% | 7.238% | 8.986% | 11.233% | 16.845% | 39.648% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.041% | 0.239% | 0.280% | 1.016% | 2.783% | 95.921% | 6.378% | 11.980% | 18.774% | 24.044% | 22.462% | 12.283% |
Speculate chess22k 1.12 – pirarucu 2.9.5 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 37.778% | 22.666% | 60.444% | 14.303% | 9.519% | 15.734% | 6.332% | 4.115% | 2.581% | 1.530% | 0.835% | 0.341% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 25.093% | 23.735% | 48.828% | 17.058% | 11.958% | 22.156% | 8.389% | 5.711% | 3.813% | 2.416% | 1.392% | 0.435% | |||||
| 3. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 15.155% | 16.331% | 31.486% | 15.826% | 13.805% | 38.883% | 11.043% | 9.077% | 7.120% | 5.464% | 4.141% | 2.038% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 7.514% | 11.086% | 18.600% | 13.851% | 14.202% | 53.347% | 13.189% | 11.505% | 9.764% | 8.218% | 6.745% | 3.926% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 5.232% | 8.406% | 13.638% | 11.058% | 12.732% | 62.572% | 13.264% | 12.492% | 11.407% | 10.442% | 9.192% | 5.775% | |||||
| 6. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 3.069% | 5.535% | 8.604% | 8.082% | 9.860% | 73.454% | 11.073% | 11.775% | 12.078% | 12.632% | 13.882% | 12.014% | |||||
| 7. | Wasp 3.59 | 2.824% | 5.590% | 8.414% | 8.547% | 10.518% | 72.521% | 11.964% | 12.653% | 13.080% | 13.320% | 13.240% | 8.264% | |||||
| 8. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.427% | 4.337% | 6.764% | 6.148% | 7.989% | 79.099% | 9.381% | 10.489% | 11.922% | 13.529% | 16.620% | 17.158% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.801% | 1.624% | 2.425% | 2.769% | 3.810% | 90.996% | 5.113% | 6.480% | 8.260% | 10.899% | 17.315% | 42.929% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.107% | 0.690% | 0.797% | 2.358% | 5.607% | 91.238% | 10.252% | 15.703% | 19.975% | 21.550% | 16.638% | 7.120% |
Speculate chess22k 1.12 – pirarucu 2.9.5 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 66.166% | 16.589% | 82.755% | 7.534% | 4.115% | 5.596% | 2.437% | 1.452% | 0.859% | 0.493% | 0.257% | 0.098% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 11.460% | 20.213% | 31.673% | 17.252% | 13.571% | 37.504% | 10.338% | 8.584% | 6.998% | 5.461% | 4.058% | 2.065% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 7.785% | 20.316% | 28.101% | 16.999% | 13.831% | 41.069% | 11.437% | 9.445% | 7.826% | 6.415% | 4.405% | 1.541% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 4.676% | 11.754% | 16.430% | 14.000% | 13.930% | 55.640% | 12.691% | 11.301% | 10.257% | 9.307% | 7.629% | 4.455% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 3.080% | 10.218% | 13.298% | 11.862% | 12.180% | 62.660% | 12.321% | 11.658% | 11.671% | 11.308% | 10.259% | 5.443% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 2.603% | 7.360% | 9.963% | 9.677% | 11.354% | 69.006% | 12.021% | 12.095% | 12.611% | 12.728% | 11.900% | 7.651% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.160% | 6.028% | 8.188% | 8.128% | 9.216% | 74.468% | 10.035% | 10.673% | 11.607% | 13.217% | 15.139% | 13.797% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 1.373% | 4.050% | 5.423% | 6.230% | 7.754% | 80.593% | 8.901% | 10.260% | 11.721% | 14.203% | 18.172% | 17.336% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.502% | 1.549% | 2.051% | 2.577% | 3.567% | 91.805% | 4.615% | 5.923% | 7.663% | 11.043% | 18.264% | 44.297% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.195% | 1.923% | 2.118% | 5.741% | 10.482% | 81.659% | 15.204% | 18.609% | 18.787% | 15.825% | 9.917% | 3.317% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.16h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-11 07:53 | 13 | Marvin 20190228 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 09:02 | 14 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 10:12 | 15 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 11:21 | 16 | Gaviota 1.01 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 12:31 | 17 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-11 13:40 | 18 | Bagatur 1.5f | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-11 14:49 | 19 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-11 15:59 | 20 | Wasp 3.59 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-11 17:08 | 21 | chess22k 1.12 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 18:18 | 22 | Marvin 20190228 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-11 19:27 | 23 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 20:37 | 24 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 21:46 | 25 | Monolith 1 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 22:55 | 26 | Gaviota 1.01 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 00:05 | 27 | Bagatur 1.5f | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 01:14 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 02:24 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 03:33 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 04:43 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 05:52 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 07:01 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 08:11 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 09:20 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 10:30 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 11:39 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 12:49 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 13:58 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 15:08 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 16:17 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 17:26 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 18:36 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 19:45 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 20:55 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 22:04 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 23:14 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 00:23 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 01:32 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 02:42 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 03:51 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 05:01 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 06:10 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 07:20 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 08:29 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 09:39 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 10:48 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 11:57 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 13:07 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 14:16 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 15:26 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 16:35 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 17:45 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 18:54 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 20:03 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 21:13 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 22:22 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 23:32 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 00:41 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 01:51 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 03:00 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 04:10 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 05:19 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 06:28 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 07:38 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 08:47 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 09:57 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 11:06 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 12:16 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 13:25 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 14:34 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 15:44 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 16:53 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 18:03 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 19:12 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 20:22 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 21:31 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 22:41 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 23:50 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-15 00:59 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |