For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 3.0 | 14.21 | 2.39 | 1.69 | 67 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 1.5 | 10.57 | 2.73 | 4.07 | 11 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | chess22k 1.12 | 2.0 | 10.33 | 2.60 | 4.26 | 8 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 4 | Monolith 1 | 1.0 | 9.35 | 2.64 | 5.12 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 5 | Wasp 3.59 | 1.5 | 8.85 | 2.65 | 5.56 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 6 | Marvin 20190228 | 1.0 | 8.42 | 2.64 | 5.96 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Gaviota 1.01 | 1.0 | 8.10 | 1.77 | 6.32 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 10 |
| 8 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.5 | 7.74 | 2.85 | 6.54 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.5 | 7.19 | 2.75 | 7.04 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 19 |
| 10 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 5.24 | 2.84 | 8.43 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 65.872% | 16.611% | 82.483% | 7.506% | 4.210% | 5.801% | 2.500% | 1.502% | 0.914% | 0.517% | 0.278% | 0.090% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 11.696% | 20.708% | 32.404% | 16.993% | 13.210% | 37.393% | 10.470% | 8.417% | 6.903% | 5.529% | 4.097% | 1.977% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.912% | 18.798% | 25.710% | 16.369% | 13.959% | 43.962% | 11.649% | 9.773% | 8.292% | 7.026% | 5.032% | 2.190% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 5.001% | 11.902% | 16.903% | 14.103% | 13.622% | 55.372% | 12.751% | 11.282% | 10.193% | 9.249% | 7.620% | 4.277% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 3.173% | 10.387% | 13.560% | 12.045% | 12.393% | 62.002% | 12.136% | 11.680% | 11.424% | 11.211% | 10.127% | 5.424% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 2.718% | 7.657% | 10.375% | 10.020% | 11.335% | 68.270% | 11.731% | 12.115% | 12.380% | 12.644% | 11.785% | 7.615% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.375% | 6.147% | 8.522% | 8.252% | 9.212% | 74.014% | 9.853% | 10.653% | 11.614% | 13.032% | 15.232% | 13.630% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 1.483% | 4.135% | 5.618% | 6.155% | 7.607% | 80.620% | 8.936% | 10.083% | 11.893% | 14.374% | 18.067% | 17.267% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.568% | 1.611% | 2.179% | 2.679% | 3.729% | 91.413% | 4.600% | 5.825% | 7.666% | 10.928% | 18.113% | 44.281% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.202% | 2.044% | 2.246% | 5.878% | 10.723% | 81.153% | 15.374% | 18.670% | 18.721% | 15.490% | 9.649% | 3.249% |
Speculate Marvin 20190228 – Bagatur 1.5f 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 64.703% | 16.865% | 81.568% | 7.949% | 4.476% | 6.007% | 2.575% | 1.570% | 0.948% | 0.536% | 0.291% | 0.087% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 12.482% | 21.352% | 33.834% | 17.237% | 13.416% | 35.513% | 10.346% | 8.237% | 6.625% | 5.258% | 3.608% | 1.439% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.912% | 17.848% | 24.760% | 16.088% | 13.745% | 45.407% | 11.574% | 10.074% | 8.736% | 7.488% | 5.656% | 1.879% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 5.578% | 13.038% | 18.616% | 14.902% | 14.044% | 52.438% | 12.479% | 11.097% | 9.813% | 8.777% | 6.960% | 3.312% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 3.041% | 9.943% | 12.984% | 11.122% | 11.873% | 64.021% | 11.749% | 12.020% | 11.745% | 12.156% | 11.337% | 5.014% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 2.995% | 8.314% | 11.309% | 11.770% | 13.386% | 63.535% | 13.736% | 13.350% | 12.761% | 11.824% | 8.965% | 2.899% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.428% | 6.000% | 8.428% | 8.200% | 9.409% | 73.963% | 10.243% | 11.000% | 11.774% | 13.546% | 15.837% | 11.563% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 1.591% | 4.406% | 5.997% | 6.421% | 7.840% | 79.742% | 9.305% | 10.450% | 11.988% | 14.632% | 18.633% | 14.734% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.194% | 1.862% | 2.056% | 5.403% | 10.249% | 82.292% | 15.438% | 18.522% | 19.673% | 16.253% | 9.711% | 2.695% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.076% | 0.372% | 0.448% | 0.908% | 1.562% | 97.082% | 2.555% | 3.680% | 5.937% | 9.530% | 19.002% | 56.378% |
Speculate Marvin 20190228 – Bagatur 1.5f 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 72.164% | 14.974% | 87.138% | 6.197% | 2.972% | 3.693% | 1.583% | 0.991% | 0.566% | 0.315% | 0.157% | 0.081% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 8.352% | 19.048% | 27.400% | 17.191% | 13.861% | 41.548% | 10.943% | 9.131% | 7.830% | 6.156% | 4.719% | 2.769% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 8.090% | 23.670% | 31.760% | 18.169% | 13.388% | 36.683% | 10.608% | 8.392% | 6.732% | 5.263% | 3.793% | 1.895% | |||||
| 4. | Wasp 3.59 | 4.336% | 16.002% | 20.338% | 15.699% | 13.968% | 49.995% | 11.994% | 10.561% | 9.159% | 7.976% | 6.388% | 3.917% | |||||
| 5. | Monolith 1 | 2.937% | 8.902% | 11.839% | 11.644% | 12.432% | 64.085% | 12.039% | 11.944% | 11.669% | 10.888% | 9.721% | 7.824% | |||||
| 6. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.011% | 6.223% | 8.234% | 8.483% | 9.573% | 73.710% | 10.255% | 10.782% | 11.639% | 12.533% | 13.570% | 14.931% | |||||
| 7. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.988% | 3.544% | 4.532% | 5.483% | 6.740% | 83.245% | 8.052% | 9.290% | 10.911% | 13.552% | 17.270% | 24.170% | |||||
| 8. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.609% | 2.926% | 3.535% | 5.344% | 7.802% | 83.319% | 9.697% | 12.040% | 14.594% | 17.067% | 17.387% | 12.534% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.265% | 1.332% | 1.597% | 3.015% | 4.753% | 90.635% | 6.323% | 8.431% | 11.006% | 14.875% | 20.501% | 29.499% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.248% | 3.379% | 3.627% | 8.775% | 14.511% | 73.087% | 18.506% | 18.438% | 15.894% | 11.375% | 6.494% | 2.380% |
Speculate Marvin 20190228 – Bagatur 1.5f 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 75.903% | 13.803% | 89.706% | 5.148% | 2.397% | 2.749% | 1.326% | 0.667% | 0.401% | 0.221% | 0.097% | 0.037% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 8.404% | 26.953% | 35.357% | 18.918% | 13.408% | 32.317% | 10.228% | 7.822% | 6.002% | 4.238% | 2.734% | 1.293% | |||||
| 3. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 5.454% | 15.582% | 21.036% | 15.844% | 14.381% | 48.739% | 12.283% | 10.668% | 9.356% | 7.684% | 5.430% | 3.318% | |||||
| 4. | Wasp 3.59 | 5.171% | 20.504% | 25.675% | 18.569% | 14.663% | 41.093% | 11.742% | 9.492% | 7.695% | 5.795% | 4.106% | 2.263% | |||||
| 5. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.514% | 5.812% | 7.326% | 8.223% | 9.488% | 74.963% | 10.145% | 11.328% | 12.274% | 13.131% | 13.572% | 14.513% | |||||
| 6. | Monolith 1 | 1.473% | 5.651% | 7.124% | 8.612% | 10.004% | 74.260% | 11.239% | 12.258% | 13.626% | 13.619% | 12.911% | 10.607% | |||||
| 7. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.980% | 4.161% | 5.141% | 7.631% | 9.706% | 77.522% | 11.009% | 12.443% | 13.635% | 14.782% | 13.987% | 11.666% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.629% | 2.607% | 3.236% | 4.349% | 5.636% | 86.779% | 6.982% | 8.443% | 10.908% | 14.129% | 18.307% | 28.010% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.328% | 4.039% | 4.367% | 10.584% | 16.821% | 68.228% | 19.669% | 18.937% | 14.418% | 9.273% | 4.500% | 1.431% | |||||
| 10. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.144% | 0.888% | 1.032% | 2.122% | 3.496% | 93.350% | 5.377% | 7.942% | 11.685% | 17.128% | 24.356% | 26.862% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.18h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-11 09:18 | 14 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 10:29 | 15 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 11:40 | 16 | Gaviota 1.01 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 12:50 | 17 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-11 14:01 | 18 | Bagatur 1.5f | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-11 15:12 | 19 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-11 16:22 | 20 | Wasp 3.59 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-11 17:33 | 21 | chess22k 1.12 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 18:44 | 22 | Marvin 20190228 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-11 19:54 | 23 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 21:05 | 24 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 22:16 | 25 | Monolith 1 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 23:26 | 26 | Gaviota 1.01 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 00:37 | 27 | Bagatur 1.5f | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 01:48 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 02:58 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 04:09 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 05:20 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 06:30 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 07:41 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 08:52 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 10:02 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 11:13 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 12:24 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 13:34 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 14:45 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 15:56 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 17:07 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 18:17 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 19:28 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 20:39 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 21:49 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 23:00 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 00:11 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 01:21 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 02:32 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 03:43 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 04:53 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 06:04 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 07:15 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 08:25 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 09:36 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 10:47 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 11:57 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 13:08 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 14:19 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 15:29 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 16:40 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 17:51 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 19:01 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 20:12 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 21:23 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 22:33 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 23:44 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 00:55 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 02:05 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 03:16 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 04:27 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 05:37 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 06:48 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 07:59 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 09:09 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 10:20 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 11:31 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 12:41 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 13:52 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 15:03 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 16:14 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 17:24 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 18:35 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 19:46 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 20:56 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 22:07 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 23:18 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-15 00:28 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-15 01:39 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-15 02:50 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |