For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 3.0 | 14.15 | 2.38 | 1.74 | 65 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 1.5 | 10.85 | 2.68 | 3.89 | 12 | 22 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | chess22k 1.12 | 2.0 | 10.26 | 2.65 | 4.39 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 4 | Monolith 1 | 1.0 | 9.74 | 2.66 | 4.82 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 5 | Marvin 20190228 | 2.0 | 9.07 | 2.36 | 5.40 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Wasp 3.59 | 1.5 | 8.65 | 2.72 | 5.78 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| 7 | Gaviota 1.01 | 1.0 | 8.07 | 1.76 | 6.40 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 10 |
| 8 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.5 | 7.88 | 2.83 | 6.43 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 17 |
| 9 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.5 | 7.39 | 2.79 | 6.87 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 3.94 | 2.23 | 9.29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 63.464% | 17.304% | 80.768% | 8.399% | 4.647% | 6.186% | 2.715% | 1.615% | 0.956% | 0.558% | 0.268% | 0.074% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 13.345% | 21.418% | 34.763% | 17.302% | 13.377% | 34.558% | 10.283% | 8.080% | 6.477% | 5.136% | 3.360% | 1.222% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.678% | 17.021% | 23.699% | 15.692% | 13.819% | 46.790% | 12.041% | 10.359% | 8.946% | 7.823% | 5.971% | 1.650% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 6.281% | 13.787% | 20.068% | 15.453% | 14.108% | 50.371% | 12.564% | 10.763% | 9.388% | 8.380% | 6.541% | 2.735% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 3.016% | 8.684% | 11.700% | 11.927% | 14.045% | 62.328% | 14.330% | 13.768% | 12.748% | 11.402% | 8.042% | 2.038% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 2.876% | 9.174% | 12.050% | 10.839% | 11.650% | 65.461% | 11.537% | 11.930% | 11.991% | 12.841% | 12.507% | 4.655% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.378% | 6.077% | 8.455% | 8.158% | 9.588% | 73.799% | 10.413% | 11.096% | 12.121% | 13.938% | 16.113% | 10.118% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 1.724% | 4.551% | 6.275% | 6.597% | 8.143% | 78.985% | 9.357% | 10.533% | 12.223% | 14.975% | 19.009% | 12.888% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.195% | 1.823% | 2.018% | 5.128% | 9.722% | 83.132% | 15.115% | 19.130% | 20.502% | 16.552% | 9.535% | 2.298% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.043% | 0.161% | 0.204% | 0.505% | 0.901% | 98.390% | 1.645% | 2.726% | 4.648% | 8.395% | 18.654% | 62.322% |
Speculate AllieStein v0.1-n4 – Jumbo 0.6.99.2 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 63.366% | 17.448% | 80.814% | 8.412% | 4.674% | 6.100% | 2.753% | 1.513% | 0.947% | 0.547% | 0.269% | 0.071% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 15.053% | 25.346% | 40.399% | 19.514% | 13.941% | 26.146% | 9.771% | 6.731% | 4.646% | 3.041% | 1.503% | 0.454% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.783% | 16.822% | 23.605% | 15.768% | 13.985% | 46.642% | 12.115% | 10.142% | 9.051% | 7.736% | 5.710% | 1.888% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 5.942% | 13.115% | 19.057% | 15.320% | 14.376% | 51.247% | 12.690% | 11.000% | 9.682% | 8.325% | 6.463% | 3.087% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 2.881% | 9.387% | 12.268% | 11.374% | 12.172% | 64.186% | 12.238% | 12.049% | 12.042% | 11.939% | 11.143% | 4.775% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 2.828% | 7.825% | 10.653% | 11.277% | 13.223% | 64.847% | 13.956% | 13.688% | 12.962% | 12.365% | 8.890% | 2.986% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.429% | 6.109% | 8.538% | 8.516% | 9.719% | 73.227% | 10.307% | 11.160% | 11.839% | 13.367% | 15.130% | 11.424% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.465% | 1.789% | 2.254% | 3.767% | 5.907% | 88.072% | 8.043% | 10.322% | 13.067% | 16.757% | 22.435% | 17.448% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.181% | 1.786% | 1.967% | 5.256% | 10.448% | 82.329% | 15.728% | 19.556% | 19.763% | 15.911% | 8.935% | 2.436% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.072% | 0.373% | 0.445% | 0.796% | 1.555% | 97.204% | 2.399% | 3.839% | 6.001% | 10.012% | 19.522% | 55.431% |
Speculate AllieStein v0.1-n4 – Jumbo 0.6.99.2 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 69.354% | 15.211% | 84.565% | 6.825% | 3.678% | 4.932% | 2.031% | 1.346% | 0.778% | 0.470% | 0.232% | 0.075% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 10.225% | 24.491% | 34.716% | 16.673% | 12.711% | 35.900% | 10.231% | 8.204% | 6.642% | 5.378% | 3.975% | 1.470% | |||||
| 3. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 5.183% | 13.715% | 18.898% | 15.926% | 15.101% | 50.075% | 13.429% | 11.700% | 9.814% | 7.825% | 5.285% | 2.022% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 4.579% | 11.761% | 16.340% | 13.315% | 12.997% | 57.348% | 12.125% | 11.108% | 10.367% | 9.867% | 8.742% | 5.139% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 3.885% | 10.949% | 14.834% | 13.748% | 13.996% | 57.422% | 13.562% | 12.261% | 11.265% | 10.010% | 7.607% | 2.717% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 3.121% | 11.045% | 14.166% | 12.086% | 11.598% | 62.150% | 11.464% | 11.225% | 11.129% | 11.458% | 11.458% | 5.416% | |||||
| 7. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 1.713% | 6.005% | 7.718% | 9.406% | 11.560% | 71.316% | 12.389% | 13.094% | 13.094% | 13.220% | 12.371% | 7.148% | |||||
| 8. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.686% | 4.593% | 6.279% | 6.221% | 7.413% | 80.087% | 8.278% | 9.404% | 11.041% | 13.579% | 19.200% | 18.585% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.130% | 1.659% | 1.789% | 4.569% | 8.897% | 84.745% | 13.477% | 17.309% | 19.536% | 18.416% | 12.054% | 3.953% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.124% | 0.571% | 0.695% | 1.231% | 2.049% | 96.025% | 3.014% | 4.349% | 6.334% | 9.777% | 19.076% | 53.475% |
Speculate AllieStein v0.1-n4 – Jumbo 0.6.99.2 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 69.730% | 15.329% | 85.059% | 6.647% | 3.552% | 4.742% | 2.055% | 1.246% | 0.714% | 0.427% | 0.215% | 0.085% | |||||
| 2. | chess22k 1.12 | 11.988% | 28.666% | 40.654% | 17.897% | 12.632% | 28.817% | 9.174% | 6.988% | 5.164% | 3.887% | 2.609% | 0.995% | |||||
| 3. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 4.750% | 12.608% | 17.358% | 16.604% | 15.491% | 50.547% | 13.562% | 11.462% | 9.432% | 7.633% | 5.674% | 2.784% | |||||
| 4. | Marvin 20190228 | 4.225% | 12.072% | 16.297% | 15.101% | 15.504% | 53.098% | 13.879% | 12.068% | 10.288% | 8.552% | 6.048% | 2.263% | |||||
| 5. | Monolith 1 | 3.493% | 9.572% | 13.065% | 11.986% | 12.505% | 62.444% | 12.391% | 11.860% | 11.323% | 10.741% | 9.857% | 6.272% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 2.796% | 10.575% | 13.371% | 12.337% | 12.395% | 61.897% | 12.172% | 11.850% | 11.362% | 10.972% | 10.221% | 5.320% | |||||
| 7. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 1.832% | 6.131% | 7.963% | 9.517% | 11.713% | 70.807% | 13.126% | 13.605% | 13.752% | 13.147% | 11.093% | 6.084% | |||||
| 8. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.960% | 3.204% | 4.164% | 4.740% | 6.006% | 85.090% | 7.292% | 8.571% | 10.692% | 13.836% | 20.814% | 23.885% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.134% | 0.638% | 0.772% | 1.500% | 2.498% | 95.230% | 3.767% | 5.126% | 7.267% | 11.217% | 20.231% | 47.622% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.092% | 1.205% | 1.297% | 3.671% | 7.704% | 87.328% | 12.582% | 17.224% | 20.006% | 19.588% | 13.238% | 4.690% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.27h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-11 11:45 | 15 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 13:01 | 16 | Gaviota 1.01 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 14:17 | 17 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-11 15:33 | 18 | Bagatur 1.5f | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-11 16:50 | 19 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-11 18:06 | 20 | Wasp 3.59 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-11 19:22 | 21 | chess22k 1.12 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 20:38 | 22 | Marvin 20190228 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-11 21:54 | 23 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 23:10 | 24 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 00:26 | 25 | Monolith 1 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 01:42 | 26 | Gaviota 1.01 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 02:58 | 27 | Bagatur 1.5f | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 04:15 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 05:31 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 06:47 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 08:03 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 09:19 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 10:35 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 11:51 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 13:07 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 14:24 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 15:40 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 16:56 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 18:12 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 19:28 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 20:44 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 22:00 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 23:16 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 00:32 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 01:49 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 03:05 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 04:21 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 05:37 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 06:53 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 08:09 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 09:25 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 10:41 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 11:57 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 13:14 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 14:30 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 15:46 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 17:02 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 18:18 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 19:34 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 20:50 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 22:06 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 23:22 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 00:39 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 01:55 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 03:11 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 04:27 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 05:43 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 06:59 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 08:15 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 09:31 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 10:47 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 12:04 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 13:20 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 14:36 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 15:52 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 17:08 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 18:24 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 19:40 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 20:56 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 22:13 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 23:29 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-15 00:45 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-15 02:01 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-15 03:17 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-15 04:33 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-15 05:49 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-15 07:05 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-15 08:21 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-15 09:38 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-15 10:54 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |