For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 3.0 | 14.17 | 2.39 | 1.74 | 65 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 2.5 | 11.39 | 2.42 | 3.40 | 15 | 26 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | chess22k 1.12 | 2.0 | 10.23 | 2.68 | 4.40 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 4 | Monolith 1 | 1.0 | 9.69 | 2.69 | 4.86 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
| 5 | Marvin 20190228 | 2.0 | 8.87 | 2.42 | 5.57 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 8 |
| 6 | Wasp 3.59 | 1.5 | 8.71 | 2.70 | 5.71 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 7 | Gaviota 1.01 | 1.0 | 8.11 | 1.77 | 6.32 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 9 |
| 8 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.5 | 7.89 | 2.89 | 6.41 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.5 | 6.64 | 2.48 | 7.52 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 24 |
| 10 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 4.30 | 2.38 | 9.07 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 63.162% | 17.668% | 80.830% | 8.457% | 4.657% | 6.056% | 2.654% | 1.607% | 0.913% | 0.539% | 0.268% | 0.075% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 15.235% | 25.292% | 40.527% | 19.609% | 13.872% | 25.992% | 9.652% | 6.786% | 4.688% | 2.949% | 1.492% | 0.425% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.650% | 16.652% | 23.302% | 15.994% | 13.914% | 46.790% | 12.112% | 10.333% | 8.922% | 7.700% | 5.772% | 1.951% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 6.086% | 13.072% | 19.158% | 15.204% | 14.612% | 51.026% | 12.666% | 10.828% | 9.757% | 8.253% | 6.472% | 3.050% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 2.848% | 9.282% | 12.130% | 11.093% | 12.256% | 64.521% | 12.325% | 12.162% | 12.113% | 12.066% | 10.892% | 4.963% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 2.825% | 8.005% | 10.830% | 11.069% | 13.039% | 65.062% | 14.082% | 13.731% | 13.166% | 12.227% | 8.892% | 2.964% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 2.454% | 6.082% | 8.536% | 8.518% | 9.912% | 73.034% | 10.469% | 11.231% | 11.769% | 13.319% | 14.946% | 11.300% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.485% | 1.832% | 2.317% | 3.888% | 5.935% | 87.860% | 7.914% | 10.168% | 12.859% | 17.054% | 22.531% | 17.334% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.165% | 1.778% | 1.943% | 5.385% | 10.275% | 82.397% | 15.665% | 19.435% | 19.945% | 15.874% | 9.044% | 2.434% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.090% | 0.337% | 0.427% | 0.783% | 1.528% | 97.262% | 2.461% | 3.719% | 5.868% | 10.019% | 19.691% | 55.504% |
Speculate ScorpioNN 2.9.0 – Monolith 1 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 67.542% | 16.452% | 83.994% | 7.276% | 3.734% | 4.996% | 2.184% | 1.309% | 0.785% | 0.461% | 0.217% | 0.040% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 14.441% | 26.064% | 40.505% | 18.776% | 12.952% | 27.767% | 9.461% | 7.205% | 5.280% | 3.386% | 1.893% | 0.542% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.219% | 17.239% | 23.458% | 15.564% | 13.153% | 47.825% | 11.307% | 10.422% | 9.776% | 8.278% | 6.070% | 1.972% | |||||
| 4. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 4.718% | 12.792% | 17.510% | 15.318% | 14.783% | 52.389% | 13.283% | 11.729% | 10.173% | 8.446% | 6.218% | 2.540% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 3.335% | 11.404% | 14.739% | 12.634% | 12.540% | 60.087% | 12.152% | 11.640% | 11.349% | 11.233% | 9.896% | 3.817% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 1.587% | 5.304% | 6.891% | 8.234% | 10.131% | 74.744% | 11.548% | 13.190% | 15.340% | 16.517% | 13.391% | 4.758% | |||||
| 7. | Monolith 1 | 1.274% | 4.738% | 6.012% | 8.104% | 10.366% | 75.518% | 11.955% | 13.447% | 14.979% | 15.005% | 13.354% | 6.778% | |||||
| 8. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.468% | 4.182% | 4.650% | 10.151% | 16.178% | 69.021% | 19.459% | 18.812% | 15.093% | 9.983% | 4.652% | 1.022% | |||||
| 9. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.344% | 1.496% | 1.840% | 3.164% | 4.788% | 90.208% | 6.591% | 8.892% | 11.900% | 17.315% | 25.177% | 20.333% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.072% | 0.329% | 0.401% | 0.779% | 1.375% | 97.445% | 2.060% | 3.354% | 5.325% | 9.376% | 19.132% | 58.198% |
Speculate ScorpioNN 2.9.0 – Monolith 1 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 65.055% | 17.452% | 82.507% | 7.856% | 4.165% | 5.472% | 2.353% | 1.403% | 0.878% | 0.516% | 0.243% | 0.079% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 16.748% | 26.968% | 43.716% | 18.559% | 12.668% | 25.057% | 8.987% | 6.234% | 4.626% | 3.104% | 1.577% | 0.529% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.843% | 17.499% | 24.342% | 16.165% | 13.390% | 46.103% | 11.497% | 9.725% | 8.757% | 7.963% | 6.116% | 2.045% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 3.367% | 10.599% | 13.966% | 14.709% | 15.400% | 55.925% | 14.344% | 12.590% | 10.973% | 9.102% | 6.419% | 2.497% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 3.007% | 10.130% | 13.137% | 11.921% | 11.953% | 62.989% | 11.515% | 11.453% | 11.700% | 11.818% | 11.560% | 4.943% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 2.659% | 7.434% | 10.093% | 10.661% | 12.120% | 67.126% | 12.899% | 13.075% | 13.498% | 13.425% | 10.644% | 3.585% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.535% | 5.323% | 6.858% | 8.846% | 11.170% | 73.126% | 12.284% | 13.113% | 13.537% | 13.884% | 13.067% | 7.241% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.463% | 1.876% | 2.339% | 3.885% | 5.810% | 87.966% | 7.627% | 9.640% | 12.132% | 16.439% | 23.411% | 18.717% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.233% | 2.330% | 2.563% | 6.579% | 11.776% | 79.082% | 16.248% | 19.284% | 18.545% | 14.544% | 8.300% | 2.161% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.090% | 0.389% | 0.479% | 0.819% | 1.548% | 97.154% | 2.246% | 3.483% | 5.354% | 9.205% | 18.663% | 58.203% |
Speculate ScorpioNN 2.9.0 – Monolith 1 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 59.020% | 18.648% | 77.668% | 9.673% | 5.693% | 6.966% | 3.184% | 1.904% | 0.976% | 0.556% | 0.268% | 0.078% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 17.583% | 25.405% | 42.988% | 19.275% | 13.760% | 23.977% | 9.498% | 6.212% | 4.075% | 2.540% | 1.305% | 0.347% | |||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 9.469% | 18.728% | 28.197% | 20.610% | 17.132% | 34.061% | 12.501% | 8.761% | 5.991% | 3.949% | 2.142% | 0.717% | |||||
| 4. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.681% | 15.588% | 22.269% | 16.000% | 15.160% | 46.571% | 13.071% | 10.714% | 8.888% | 7.079% | 5.014% | 1.805% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 3.644% | 9.052% | 12.696% | 12.529% | 14.909% | 59.866% | 15.240% | 13.716% | 11.909% | 9.758% | 6.928% | 2.315% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 2.413% | 7.538% | 9.951% | 10.192% | 12.067% | 67.790% | 12.863% | 13.024% | 12.595% | 12.470% | 11.433% | 5.405% | |||||
| 7. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.538% | 2.008% | 2.546% | 4.191% | 6.548% | 86.715% | 9.504% | 11.792% | 14.010% | 16.936% | 19.759% | 14.714% | |||||
| 8. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.492% | 1.843% | 2.335% | 3.674% | 6.174% | 87.817% | 8.723% | 10.966% | 13.230% | 16.447% | 21.027% | 17.424% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.098% | 0.867% | 0.965% | 3.021% | 6.993% | 89.021% | 12.802% | 18.667% | 21.806% | 19.615% | 12.242% | 3.889% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.062% | 0.323% | 0.385% | 0.835% | 1.564% | 97.216% | 2.614% | 4.244% | 6.520% | 10.650% | 19.882% | 53.306% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.24h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-11 12:39 | 16 | Gaviota 1.01 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-11 13:54 | 17 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-11 15:08 | 18 | Bagatur 1.5f | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-11 16:23 | 19 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-11 17:37 | 20 | Wasp 3.59 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-11 18:52 | 21 | chess22k 1.12 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 20:07 | 22 | Marvin 20190228 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-11 21:21 | 23 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 22:36 | 24 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 23:51 | 25 | Monolith 1 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 01:05 | 26 | Gaviota 1.01 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 02:20 | 27 | Bagatur 1.5f | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 03:34 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 04:49 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 06:04 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 07:18 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 08:33 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 09:48 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 11:02 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 12:17 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 13:31 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 14:46 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 16:01 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 17:15 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 18:30 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 19:45 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 20:59 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 22:14 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 23:28 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 00:43 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 01:58 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 03:12 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 04:27 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 05:42 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 06:56 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 08:11 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 09:25 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 10:40 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 11:55 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 13:09 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 14:24 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 15:39 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 16:53 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 18:08 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 19:22 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 20:37 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 21:52 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 23:06 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 00:21 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 01:36 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 02:50 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 04:05 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 05:19 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 06:34 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 07:49 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 09:03 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 10:18 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 11:33 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 12:47 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 14:02 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 15:16 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 16:31 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 17:46 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 19:00 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 20:15 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 21:30 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 22:44 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 23:59 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-15 01:13 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-15 02:28 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-15 03:43 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-15 04:57 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-15 06:12 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-15 07:27 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-15 08:41 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |