For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 3.0 | 14.23 | 2.35 | 1.69 | 66 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 2.5 | 11.46 | 2.48 | 3.33 | 16 | 28 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| 3 | chess22k 1.12 | 2.0 | 10.20 | 2.69 | 4.41 | 7 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| 4 | Monolith 1 | 1.5 | 9.39 | 2.35 | 5.07 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
| 5 | Wasp 3.59 | 1.5 | 8.81 | 2.71 | 5.62 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 6 | Marvin 20190228 | 2.0 | 8.65 | 2.45 | 5.77 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| 7 | Gaviota 1.01 | 1.0 | 8.28 | 1.75 | 6.16 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 8 |
| 8 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.0 | 8.16 | 2.47 | 6.23 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.5 | 6.57 | 2.48 | 7.60 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 26 |
| 10 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 4.24 | 2.37 | 9.13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 65.018% | 17.297% | 82.315% | 7.769% | 4.229% | 5.687% | 2.431% | 1.479% | 0.921% | 0.515% | 0.274% | 0.067% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 16.552% | 27.598% | 44.150% | 18.460% | 12.422% | 24.968% | 8.873% | 6.243% | 4.559% | 3.060% | 1.736% | 0.497% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.777% | 17.224% | 24.001% | 16.208% | 13.468% | 46.323% | 11.415% | 9.895% | 8.901% | 8.049% | 6.025% | 2.038% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 3.606% | 10.474% | 14.080% | 14.853% | 15.473% | 55.594% | 14.154% | 12.549% | 11.030% | 9.032% | 6.350% | 2.479% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 3.112% | 10.113% | 13.225% | 11.949% | 12.053% | 62.773% | 11.559% | 11.645% | 11.643% | 11.856% | 11.146% | 4.924% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 2.579% | 7.385% | 9.964% | 10.665% | 12.284% | 67.087% | 12.825% | 13.102% | 13.261% | 13.369% | 10.809% | 3.721% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.566% | 5.321% | 6.887% | 8.831% | 11.058% | 73.224% | 12.256% | 12.866% | 13.659% | 14.233% | 13.183% | 7.027% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.486% | 1.929% | 2.415% | 3.856% | 5.842% | 87.887% | 7.813% | 9.580% | 12.128% | 16.126% | 23.506% | 18.734% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.226% | 2.324% | 2.550% | 6.572% | 11.693% | 79.185% | 16.392% | 19.188% | 18.450% | 14.593% | 8.389% | 2.173% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.078% | 0.335% | 0.413% | 0.837% | 1.478% | 97.272% | 2.282% | 3.453% | 5.448% | 9.167% | 18.582% | 58.340% |
Speculate Gaviota 1.01 – Monolith 1 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 73.985% | 14.381% | 88.366% | 5.326% | 2.695% | 3.613% | 1.554% | 0.983% | 0.572% | 0.322% | 0.150% | 0.032% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 10.372% | 23.983% | 34.355% | 18.167% | 13.498% | 33.980% | 11.075% | 8.680% | 6.676% | 4.380% | 2.427% | 0.742% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.313% | 19.569% | 25.882% | 15.877% | 12.728% | 45.513% | 11.343% | 10.089% | 9.046% | 7.808% | 5.329% | 1.898% | |||||
| 4. | Wasp 3.59 | 4.261% | 15.608% | 19.869% | 14.752% | 13.029% | 52.350% | 11.990% | 11.035% | 10.232% | 8.971% | 7.268% | 2.854% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 1.610% | 5.609% | 7.219% | 7.977% | 9.823% | 74.981% | 11.637% | 13.939% | 15.252% | 16.292% | 12.977% | 4.884% | |||||
| 6. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.237% | 4.848% | 6.085% | 7.825% | 9.811% | 76.279% | 11.797% | 13.370% | 14.523% | 14.987% | 13.726% | 7.876% | |||||
| 7. | Gaviota 1.01 | 1.184% | 10.695% | 11.879% | 19.807% | 22.482% | 45.832% | 19.209% | 13.574% | 7.875% | 3.740% | 1.221% | 0.213% | |||||
| 8. | Monolith 1 | 0.682% | 3.514% | 4.196% | 6.511% | 9.870% | 79.423% | 12.685% | 15.663% | 17.198% | 15.940% | 12.436% | 5.501% | |||||
| 9. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.295% | 1.371% | 1.666% | 2.941% | 4.499% | 90.894% | 6.329% | 8.742% | 12.537% | 17.110% | 24.563% | 21.613% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.061% | 0.422% | 0.483% | 0.817% | 1.565% | 97.135% | 2.381% | 3.925% | 6.089% | 10.450% | 19.903% | 54.387% |
Speculate Gaviota 1.01 – Monolith 1 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 66.055% | 17.376% | 83.431% | 7.371% | 3.846% | 5.352% | 2.318% | 1.395% | 0.843% | 0.476% | 0.258% | 0.062% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 16.401% | 27.687% | 44.088% | 18.451% | 12.282% | 25.179% | 8.732% | 6.291% | 4.754% | 3.175% | 1.757% | 0.470% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.868% | 17.784% | 24.652% | 16.163% | 13.179% | 46.006% | 11.109% | 9.697% | 8.962% | 8.131% | 6.029% | 2.078% | |||||
| 4. | Wasp 3.59 | 3.149% | 10.508% | 13.657% | 12.216% | 11.960% | 62.167% | 11.477% | 11.366% | 11.444% | 11.751% | 11.315% | 4.814% | |||||
| 5. | Monolith 1 | 2.588% | 9.142% | 11.730% | 14.770% | 16.673% | 56.827% | 15.383% | 13.719% | 11.380% | 8.873% | 5.628% | 1.844% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 2.564% | 7.483% | 10.047% | 10.442% | 11.833% | 67.678% | 12.584% | 13.020% | 13.318% | 13.874% | 11.021% | 3.861% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.645% | 5.551% | 7.196% | 9.233% | 11.050% | 72.521% | 11.796% | 12.456% | 13.332% | 14.082% | 13.391% | 7.464% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.445% | 1.845% | 2.290% | 3.979% | 5.704% | 88.027% | 7.460% | 9.156% | 12.108% | 16.590% | 23.680% | 19.033% | |||||
| 9. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.204% | 2.231% | 2.435% | 6.576% | 11.908% | 79.081% | 16.900% | 19.526% | 18.732% | 14.093% | 7.898% | 1.932% | |||||
| 10. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.081% | 0.393% | 0.474% | 0.799% | 1.565% | 97.162% | 2.241% | 3.374% | 5.127% | 8.955% | 19.023% | 58.442% |
Speculate Gaviota 1.01 – Monolith 1 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 55.303% | 19.559% | 74.862% | 10.245% | 6.108% | 8.785% | 3.861% | 2.355% | 1.352% | 0.746% | 0.349% | 0.122% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 22.393% | 27.181% | 49.574% | 18.365% | 12.216% | 19.845% | 8.082% | 5.235% | 3.293% | 1.906% | 1.040% | 0.289% | |||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 7.496% | 17.148% | 24.644% | 21.446% | 19.024% | 34.886% | 14.230% | 9.566% | 5.835% | 3.293% | 1.539% | 0.423% | |||||
| 4. | chess22k 1.12 | 6.519% | 14.259% | 20.778% | 15.031% | 14.708% | 49.483% | 13.450% | 11.556% | 9.343% | 7.387% | 5.733% | 2.014% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 3.769% | 8.421% | 12.190% | 11.677% | 14.405% | 61.728% | 15.239% | 14.255% | 12.123% | 10.085% | 7.503% | 2.523% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 2.078% | 5.941% | 8.019% | 8.584% | 10.513% | 72.884% | 12.177% | 12.926% | 13.611% | 13.582% | 13.886% | 6.702% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.740% | 4.990% | 6.730% | 8.800% | 11.836% | 72.634% | 14.011% | 14.371% | 13.758% | 12.901% | 11.368% | 6.225% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.614% | 1.996% | 2.610% | 4.198% | 6.768% | 86.424% | 9.390% | 12.290% | 13.950% | 15.878% | 19.832% | 15.084% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.073% | 0.297% | 0.370% | 0.671% | 1.334% | 97.625% | 2.260% | 3.766% | 5.859% | 9.270% | 17.757% | 58.713% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.015% | 0.208% | 0.223% | 0.983% | 3.088% | 95.706% | 7.300% | 13.680% | 20.876% | 24.952% | 20.993% | 7.905% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.24h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-11 13:48 | 17 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-11 15:02 | 18 | Bagatur 1.5f | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-11 16:16 | 19 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-11 17:30 | 20 | Wasp 3.59 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-11 18:45 | 21 | chess22k 1.12 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-11 19:59 | 22 | Marvin 20190228 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-11 21:13 | 23 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 22:28 | 24 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 23:42 | 25 | Monolith 1 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 00:56 | 26 | Gaviota 1.01 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 02:10 | 27 | Bagatur 1.5f | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 03:25 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 04:39 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 05:53 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 07:07 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 08:22 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 09:36 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 10:50 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 12:04 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 13:19 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 14:33 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 15:47 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 17:01 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 18:16 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 19:30 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 20:44 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 21:58 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 23:13 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 00:27 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 01:41 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 02:56 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 04:10 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 05:24 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 06:38 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 07:53 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 09:07 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 10:21 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 11:35 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 12:50 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 14:04 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 15:18 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 16:32 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 17:47 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 19:01 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 20:15 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 21:29 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 22:44 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 23:58 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 01:12 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 02:26 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 03:41 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 04:55 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 06:09 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 07:24 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 08:38 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 09:52 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 11:06 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 12:21 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 13:35 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 14:49 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 16:03 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 17:18 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 18:32 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 19:46 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 21:00 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 22:15 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 23:29 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-15 00:43 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-15 01:57 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-15 03:12 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-15 04:26 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-15 05:40 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-15 06:54 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-15 08:09 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |