For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
| Rank | Player name | Points | EPoints | StdDev | ERank | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 4.0 | 14.69 | 2.14 | 1.53 | 71 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 3.5 | 11.99 | 2.28 | 2.99 | 16 | 32 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | chess22k 1.12 | 3.5 | 10.85 | 2.13 | 3.82 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Monolith 1 | 2.5 | 10.40 | 2.17 | 4.18 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 5 | Marvin 20190228 | 2.0 | 8.98 | 2.32 | 5.43 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 6 |
| 6 | Wasp 3.59 | 2.0 | 8.64 | 2.38 | 5.73 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 8 |
| 7 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 1.5 | 7.72 | 2.18 | 6.55 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 13 |
| 8 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 1.0 | 6.80 | 2.21 | 7.36 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
| 9 | Gaviota 1.01 | 1.0 | 6.03 | 1.55 | 8.14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 33 |
| 10 | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.0 | 3.90 | 2.19 | 9.27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 69.897% | 16.558% | 86.455% | 6.990% | 3.288% | 3.267% | 1.779% | 0.850% | 0.397% | 0.168% | 0.059% | 0.014% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 16.958% | 31.396% | 48.354% | 19.908% | 13.222% | 18.516% | 8.621% | 5.047% | 2.789% | 1.411% | 0.556% | 0.092% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 4.934% | 18.810% | 23.744% | 21.091% | 18.839% | 36.326% | 14.566% | 10.334% | 6.349% | 3.403% | 1.443% | 0.231% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 4.894% | 15.468% | 20.362% | 20.779% | 19.397% | 39.462% | 15.484% | 11.038% | 6.945% | 3.830% | 1.738% | 0.427% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 1.435% | 7.740% | 9.175% | 11.921% | 15.090% | 63.814% | 16.620% | 15.862% | 12.807% | 9.553% | 6.883% | 2.089% | |||||
| 6. | Wasp 3.59 | 1.217% | 6.509% | 7.726% | 10.387% | 13.438% | 68.449% | 15.381% | 15.489% | 13.818% | 11.714% | 9.062% | 2.985% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.483% | 2.325% | 2.808% | 5.346% | 9.279% | 82.567% | 13.310% | 16.423% | 17.884% | 16.070% | 12.958% | 5.922% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.170% | 1.072% | 1.242% | 3.007% | 5.534% | 90.217% | 9.028% | 12.959% | 16.550% | 18.657% | 20.429% | 12.594% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.012% | 0.088% | 0.100% | 0.297% | 0.831% | 98.772% | 1.712% | 3.351% | 5.726% | 9.086% | 16.686% | 62.211% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.034% | 0.034% | 0.274% | 1.082% | 98.610% | 3.499% | 8.647% | 16.735% | 26.108% | 30.186% | 13.435% |
Speculate Marvin 20190228 – Wasp 3.59 1-0
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 68.789% | 16.941% | 85.730% | 7.132% | 3.676% | 3.462% | 1.869% | 0.903% | 0.450% | 0.173% | 0.051% | 0.016% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 18.044% | 32.268% | 50.312% | 19.380% | 12.882% | 17.426% | 8.380% | 4.801% | 2.505% | 1.176% | 0.488% | 0.076% | |||||
| 3. | Monolith 1 | 5.689% | 16.801% | 22.490% | 22.375% | 19.493% | 35.642% | 14.712% | 9.865% | 6.062% | 3.264% | 1.402% | 0.337% | |||||
| 4. | chess22k 1.12 | 4.114% | 16.206% | 20.320% | 19.571% | 18.614% | 41.495% | 16.300% | 11.820% | 7.636% | 3.856% | 1.605% | 0.278% | |||||
| 5. | Marvin 20190228 | 2.385% | 12.169% | 14.554% | 17.636% | 20.012% | 47.798% | 18.348% | 13.551% | 8.423% | 4.806% | 2.229% | 0.441% | |||||
| 6. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.485% | 2.406% | 2.891% | 5.702% | 9.690% | 81.717% | 13.774% | 17.126% | 18.052% | 15.856% | 11.712% | 5.197% | |||||
| 7. | Wasp 3.59 | 0.241% | 1.909% | 2.150% | 4.545% | 7.833% | 85.472% | 12.253% | 16.833% | 18.431% | 17.833% | 15.017% | 5.105% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.236% | 1.198% | 1.434% | 3.165% | 6.226% | 89.175% | 10.007% | 14.711% | 17.588% | 18.126% | 18.503% | 10.240% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.017% | 0.080% | 0.097% | 0.335% | 0.742% | 98.826% | 1.641% | 3.101% | 5.524% | 8.817% | 16.197% | 63.546% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.022% | 0.022% | 0.159% | 0.832% | 98.987% | 2.716% | 7.289% | 15.329% | 26.093% | 32.796% | 14.764% |
Speculate Marvin 20190228 – Wasp 3.59 1/2-1/2
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 71.983% | 16.078% | 88.061% | 6.174% | 2.929% | 2.836% | 1.511% | 0.724% | 0.354% | 0.180% | 0.056% | 0.011% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 16.047% | 32.522% | 48.569% | 20.077% | 12.881% | 18.473% | 8.287% | 5.136% | 2.859% | 1.505% | 0.605% | 0.081% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 5.168% | 20.900% | 26.068% | 21.770% | 18.108% | 34.054% | 13.514% | 9.536% | 6.063% | 3.370% | 1.348% | 0.223% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 4.527% | 15.553% | 20.080% | 21.043% | 19.201% | 39.676% | 15.239% | 10.882% | 7.077% | 4.092% | 1.860% | 0.526% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 0.852% | 5.904% | 6.756% | 11.239% | 15.015% | 66.990% | 17.110% | 16.742% | 13.873% | 10.765% | 6.793% | 1.707% | |||||
| 6. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.786% | 5.552% | 6.338% | 10.617% | 15.019% | 68.026% | 17.489% | 17.626% | 14.308% | 10.393% | 6.587% | 1.623% | |||||
| 7. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.435% | 2.236% | 2.671% | 5.510% | 9.239% | 82.580% | 12.847% | 15.551% | 17.761% | 16.739% | 13.453% | 6.229% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.190% | 1.089% | 1.279% | 2.906% | 5.502% | 90.313% | 8.579% | 12.034% | 15.671% | 18.496% | 22.090% | 13.443% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.010% | 0.124% | 0.134% | 0.377% | 0.863% | 98.626% | 1.753% | 3.109% | 5.349% | 8.745% | 16.425% | 63.245% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.002% | 0.042% | 0.044% | 0.287% | 1.243% | 98.426% | 3.671% | 8.660% | 16.685% | 25.715% | 30.783% | 12.912% |
Speculate Marvin 20190228 – Wasp 3.59 0-1
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5-10. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9. | 10. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | pirarucu 2.9.5 | 74.145% | 14.762% | 88.907% | 5.785% | 2.794% | 2.514% | 1.378% | 0.646% | 0.307% | 0.134% | 0.041% | 0.008% | |||||
| 2. | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | 13.419% | 30.041% | 43.460% | 20.763% | 14.726% | 21.051% | 9.775% | 5.682% | 3.192% | 1.608% | 0.690% | 0.104% | |||||
| 3. | chess22k 1.12 | 5.838% | 23.190% | 29.028% | 23.240% | 18.183% | 29.549% | 13.121% | 8.089% | 4.645% | 2.481% | 1.033% | 0.180% | |||||
| 4. | Monolith 1 | 3.306% | 12.710% | 16.016% | 18.329% | 19.786% | 45.869% | 18.002% | 12.369% | 7.822% | 4.614% | 2.353% | 0.709% | |||||
| 5. | Wasp 3.59 | 2.626% | 14.212% | 16.838% | 19.177% | 19.609% | 44.376% | 17.065% | 12.061% | 7.719% | 4.601% | 2.439% | 0.491% | |||||
| 6. | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | 0.315% | 1.966% | 2.281% | 4.795% | 8.640% | 84.284% | 12.688% | 16.566% | 17.624% | 16.708% | 14.134% | 6.564% | |||||
| 7. | Marvin 20190228 | 0.212% | 2.214% | 2.426% | 4.964% | 9.135% | 83.475% | 13.658% | 17.871% | 17.732% | 16.289% | 13.543% | 4.382% | |||||
| 8. | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | 0.123% | 0.769% | 0.892% | 2.209% | 4.639% | 92.260% | 7.706% | 11.715% | 15.690% | 18.731% | 23.198% | 15.220% | |||||
| 9. | Bagatur 1.5f | 0.015% | 0.085% | 0.100% | 0.367% | 0.913% | 98.620% | 1.930% | 3.555% | 5.702% | 8.998% | 16.632% | 61.803% | |||||
| 10. | Gaviota 1.01 | 0.001% | 0.051% | 0.052% | 0.371% | 1.575% | 98.002% | 4.677% | 11.446% | 19.567% | 25.836% | 25.937% | 10.539% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.19h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-11 20:12 | 23 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-11 21:24 | 24 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-11 22:35 | 25 | Monolith 1 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-11 23:47 | 26 | Gaviota 1.01 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 00:58 | 27 | Bagatur 1.5f | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 02:10 | 28 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 03:21 | 29 | Wasp 3.59 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 04:33 | 30 | chess22k 1.12 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 05:44 | 31 | Marvin 20190228 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 06:56 | 32 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 08:07 | 33 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 09:19 | 34 | Monolith 1 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 10:30 | 35 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 11:42 | 36 | Gaviota 1.01 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-12 12:53 | 37 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-12 14:05 | 38 | Wasp 3.59 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-12 15:16 | 39 | chess22k 1.12 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-12 16:28 | 40 | Marvin 20190228 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-12 17:39 | 41 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-12 18:51 | 42 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-12 20:02 | 43 | Monolith 1 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-12 21:13 | 44 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-12 22:25 | 45 | Bagatur 1.5f | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-12 23:36 | 46 | Gaviota 1.01 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 00:48 | 47 | Bagatur 1.5f | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 01:59 | 48 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 03:11 | 49 | Monolith 1 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 04:22 | 50 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 05:34 | 51 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 06:45 | 52 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-13 07:57 | 53 | Marvin 20190228 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 09:08 | 54 | chess22k 1.12 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 10:20 | 55 | Wasp 3.59 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 11:31 | 56 | Gaviota 1.01 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 12:43 | 57 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-13 13:54 | 58 | Bagatur 1.5f | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-13 15:06 | 59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-13 16:17 | 60 | Monolith 1 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-13 17:29 | 61 | Monolith 1 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-13 18:40 | 62 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-13 19:52 | 63 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-13 21:03 | 64 | Marvin 20190228 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-13 22:15 | 65 | chess22k 1.12 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-13 23:26 | 66 | Gaviota 1.01 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 00:38 | 67 | Wasp 3.59 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 01:49 | 68 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 03:01 | 69 | Bagatur 1.5f | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 04:12 | 70 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 05:24 | 71 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 06:35 | 72 | Monolith 1 | Bagatur 1.5f |
| 2019-03-14 07:47 | 73 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 08:58 | 74 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 10:10 | 75 | Marvin 20190228 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 11:21 | 76 | Gaviota 1.01 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 12:33 | 77 | chess22k 1.12 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-14 13:44 | 78 | Wasp 3.59 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-14 14:56 | 79 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-14 16:07 | 80 | Bagatur 1.5f | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-14 17:19 | 81 | Bagatur 1.5f | Gaviota 1.01 |
| 2019-03-14 18:30 | 82 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 | pirarucu 2.9.5 |
| 2019-03-14 19:42 | 83 | Monolith 1 | Wasp 3.59 |
| 2019-03-14 20:53 | 84 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 | chess22k 1.12 |
| 2019-03-14 22:04 | 85 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 | Marvin 20190228 |
| 2019-03-14 23:16 | 86 | Gaviota 1.01 | AllieStein v0.1-n4 |
| 2019-03-15 00:27 | 87 | Marvin 20190228 | ScorpioNN 2.9.0 |
| 2019-03-15 01:39 | 88 | chess22k 1.12 | Monolith 1 |
| 2019-03-15 02:50 | 89 | Wasp 3.59 | Jumbo 0.6.99.2 |
| 2019-03-15 04:02 | 90 | pirarucu 2.9.5 | Bagatur 1.5f |